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I believe Wdrag's analysis is on the mark with rainfall potential for parts of the area. The system responsible is an impressive and strengthening coastal low (non-tropical). The guidance can sometimes be too sharp with the cutoff of precipitation. It wouldn't surprise me to see Atlantic City wind up with 0.50"-1.00" to perhaps 1.50" of rain and NYC wind up with around 0.25". I do think we'll see amounts fall off sharply north and west of New York City. In terms of outcomes, Atlantic City and Georgetown have already received more rainfall than had been expected on the guidance for the 6-hour period that will end at 18z.

Keep in mind that this wasn’t even given a 10% chance in any TWO to become just a subtropical depression. The TWOs cover both tropical and subtropical depression+ development potential.

Keep in mind that this wasn’t even given a 10% chance in any TWO to become just a subtropical depression. The TWOs cover both tropical and subtropical depression+ development potential.

There's a pill for that.

Low of 57. Any rain we can squeeze out tonight or tomorrow would be much obliged.

go on....

By rafting, do you mean walking 10 miles down a river towing a raft behind you?

Can you raft?

They are hyping for likes, follows, clout, retweets and views, as per usual. If just the NE PAC was warm and it was cold in the western North PAC around Japan (2013/2014) then yes that would be a +PDO alignment and would have that correlation. We don’t have that

I noticed that after the bridge, but went away towards HYA. I was told that is due to the cicadas. They peal away the bark of new growth to lay eggs or nest or whatever and that kills the new growth. So that's why you see the edges with the brown leaves.

Is Saharan dust/dry air not included in this factor list because of its difficulty to forecast long term? It seems like that's been a significant limiting factor for many storms in the past few years, especially in the early season

Looks like healthy radar for south of DC - hoping for some scraps Baltimore north

People get mad when the NWS names slop for “inflating the numbers.” Now it’s the opposite? Tough job

Another 1947 for Maine? PWM had only 2.00" total rain for August/September that year, then had no measurable for October 1-28. Bad things happened.

The cfs is dog sh

maybe the pac jet will relax this winter

Fingers crossed for the stuff on the eastern shore holding together and crossing the bay.

That could only happen with a parade of anomalous SWFE's. If you are snowing, Dave and Ineedtorelax are most likely snowing.

https://www.wcvb.com/article/west-nile-virus-middlesex-county-3rd-human-case/65994951

Bright sunshine across the Piedmont. Wasn't expecting that!

Looking at the local NWS stations, they have info on this regarding wind and flood, but I imagine this will unfortunately catch a lot of people by surprise from a communication standpoint. Weather Story for Southeast VA, Northeast NC & Southern MD

I haven't heard much about EEE or West Nile so far in the news. I wonder if the dry conditions will help with that

Record low streamflow. Memorable.

It's still a 2.5 hour drive from her campus... if she can get the Outdoor Club or whatever interested so they can carpool or take a van I think she should go for it. Her car is pretty old to make that trip a lot.