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  2. 40/70 Benchmark
  3. Winter Wizard
    Record warmth now covers most of the Gulf. northern Caribbean Sea, and portions of the Atlantic. Wouldn't take much for a spin-up to occur in a prime spot with the right steering flow to put parts of the US in danger over the coming weeks. I do worry that the narrative of "record low" activity (which is true) is going to cause people to let their guards down. @GaWxshowed proof of that. Additionally, if this combo does not occur in 2026, then that becomes extra concerning for 2027, especially if there is a flip back to a cool ENSO state.
  4. michsnowfreak
    November 19th
  5. NorthHillsWx
    0.01” here for September, hopefully this weekend produces
  6. bluewave
    Both the Euro and GFS are hinting at a record Southeast ridge next week.
  7. forkyfork
    in a few years the definition of torch will be +20
  8. Torch Tiger
    your avg. is like 73. +10+ is torchy
  9. forkyfork
    look at this mauve stinger sting i got because of climate change
  10. BrianW
    Yeah. I set my t-stat to 68 cool from pretty much April to October. This is what my central air usage looks like just about every year.
  11. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  12. A-L-E-K
    sometime in 2027
  13. Typhoon Tip
    i think that's in AMS' official glossary, yeah... 5 = torch
  14. Typhoon Tip
    We know this ... but just in case. The idea that acorns can predict a wet warm or snowy cold winter has very low or no skill as a forecasting metric. Years with perceived surpluses of acorns have nothing to do with ensuing seasonality. According to all science/peer reviewal, those were influenced/triggered by past environmental factors - so yeah... , it was cold and snowy last year. or warm and wet... which ever. tell us what we already know. but obviously... we are so fantastically bored -
  15. Today
  16. ChescoWx
  17. mitchnick
    Don't disagree, but more for my Mid Atlantic peeps who have suffered through enough snow falling within 500' asl with rain/mix at the surface. I witnessed it enough times living/working under or near flight paths near BWI to scar my weenie memory. Lol
  18. dendrite
    Some nice, plump red oak acorns this year.
  19. ChescoWx
  20. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  21. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  22. Damage In Tolland
    Pretty big acorn year. Not the worst I’ve seen here, but there’s a lot . Nightmare
  23. Damage In Tolland
    A torch is 5 or more AN. Just like toddy and how it’s mainly been Torch !
  24. mitchnick
    September Copernicus (Euro related) DJF Monthly Temps & Precip
  25. OSUmetstud
    I used 850t anomaly because I feel thats a better metric for snow but either way.
  26. George BM
    It's time for the increasingly annual tradition! Happy Peak Season everybody!
  27. Maggie Valley Steve
    I'm beginning to see some consistency in the the various models that the first shot of chilly air could arrive in about 10 days. Fingers crossed that those models are correct!
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