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  3. The storm a couple of days ago was a light show with little rain for me but this one is a definite and almost continuous sound and light show for the past 3 hours. Currently have 0.83" total after an initial round 1 of 0.67". Temp dp both 69.
  4. Storm came through around. Lots kf thunder and heavy rain.
  5. The storm that came through here early this morning was highly electrified. Almost non stop loud cracks of thunder. Picked up 0.53". 1.24" since yesterday.
  6. I took the snapshot below at 4:36am The nam brings this newly developed complex over the lakes through western Pa The rrfs and hrrr target Cpa,with some pretty potent storms later this morning with that same Lake Erie complex.
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  12. Seems like parts of the Detroit area have seen at least several inches of rain from tonight's round, and possibly more on the way...
  13. The 18z ECMWF operational is more gradual with Lowell's northward turn and is slower with the capture of both Karina and eventually Lowell by the mid-to-upper trough. Lowell passes by at a further distance from Ni'ihau and Kauai before turning back towards the NW as the trough fills/weakens. The 00z GFS is much faster with Karina's capture, and the trough has a stronger influence on Lowell, impacting both islands. To be clear, at this range, both OPs are too close for comfort, and I am sure this is going to further fuel speculation tomorrow. Here is the 00z ECMWF. Still misses to the west, but it appears to be a closer pass than the 18z run:
  14. Congrats PA as usual. That will just bring us clouds all day Thursday to cap any chance of anything interesting. I've heard thunder like twice this summer. Most boring thunderstorm season i can remember.
  15. That's pretty incredible. I don't know how much of this is going to come through, i'll echo @pawatch and say, stay safe out there.
  16. And that Elba NY unreal HP supercell Wed. Look at the radar loop. Classic splitting and merging supercells and then a raging SQLN same area right after? Again, WCWGT???? At least NW flow is living up to is name for nasty cells somewhere in the NEUS.
  17. ORD had a low temp of 78° yesterday, which tied the record high min temp for the date of 78° (1913).
  18. Chicago/O'Hare had a low temperature of 78° on September 2nd, which tied the record high minimum temperature for the date of 78° (1913).
  19. Peaked at 96° at ORD and MDW yesterday. ...2026 90°+ Day Tally... 15 - MDW 14 - ORD 14 - RFD 13 - PWK 13 - ARR 12 - UGN 12 - LOT 10 - DPA
  20. Also, see this ydy in wrn NY? That is *unreal* supercell structure for the East! https://x.com/voglerweather/status/2095284232893473216/ Radar loop shows classic splitting supercells and then a raging squall line into the same area. Why can't we get that?
  21. Well damn, looks like round 2 for Detroit right now...
  22. Darn it! You'd think w/ the BDF getting much farther SW than fcst, and a general rule about 50 mi N of the front when EML-type NW flow, we'd have a nice nocturnal MCS right over the DC area now, but it's still way N still in PA/NJ at this hour, which has got hit repeatedly in the last few days. Also, the squall line that came through early aftn ydy, you'd think that would have meant convection firing farther S as that what usually occurs in NW flow Two days ago the axis was just to our NE, and moves S for ydy aftn, but apparent has moved back N? Odd. Maybe today finally w/ the svr risk axis fcst right through us, but it was ydy also.
  23. This is the first time I recall seeing the white shading, which is warmer than a +5C anomaly, on the TAO surface maps. It is within the E section, in a narrow corridor just S of the equator and E of 110W.
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