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From what the media and weather outlets forecasted this was overhyped for many on LI. A few hours of heavy rain overnight when they all made it seem like a multiple day all day event
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Texas 2026 Discussion/Observations
Stx_Thunder replied to Stx_Thunder's topic in Central/Western States
EN influence definitely did its job keeping Bertha a sheared TS last week. Although the convective displacement to the south of the center was unusual, as it's usually always on the eastern/northern quadrants with southerly/westerly UL shear. The only other time I remember the majority of rain/storms being on southern quadrant was TS Don in 2011. Which the overall pattern that year was really off key in the state. -
Instability showers today under the upper low.
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With temps in the low 60s and windy conditions, it felt like fall in Western MD except for all the green trees. Muddy Creek Falls
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Another good day for my general area, but man my house is rain repellant. Flash floods to my west, heavy rain to my north and east, and heavy rain to my southwest headed my way, but drying up 2 miles down the road.
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Good.
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Little cell over rockland earlier put me over 5” for the storm total.
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Nice little downpour in west babylon
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That's essentially my own thoughts all the time now on particularly NWS mets. Who are really suppose to be "the most reliable" out of all, being the government. It wasn't an issue at all 20 years ago as I've seen in AFDs, but now you literally only have a very certain few who are (seriously) doing their job down here in TX. I always just go straight to model/ensemble data now, rather than even think about looking first at what any met (including media ones) would say is going to happen. Especially a week or more out. You will seriously learn a lot more nowadays doing the meteorology or forecasting homework yourself, for where you live.
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August is around the corner! Someone open the August 2026 thread...
