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It was above 55dbz for a while. 55 is 4 inches per hour and 60 is 8.5 or so.

Incredible rainfall rates over the last hour or so. It was coming down so hard a few minutes ago that it looked almost like snow in the street lights.

For the most part all of these seasonal/climate models are depicting a boilerplate Nino wrt the h5 height anomalies. Basically we can see its gonna be a Nino and not a Nina lol. Beyond that, the devil will be in the details and we just can't know yet.

If you want to be adventurous, try Dolly Sods. Very rugged and very unique for the area and has a Canada vibe- 'Features rare sphagnum bogs, heath barrens, and stunted red spruce trees typical of Canada rather than the mid-Atlantic.' Rough ride up from Canaan Valley but lots of trails and a great view east from Bear rocks, at about 4000 ft. Also check out Seneca Rocks. Not a long hike up but steep so a decent workout and a great view.

I’m getting gusts over 25 what is up

87 today. Beautiful day to sail the new boat. Winds gusting to 20 mph or so was perfect

But the summer just pretty much died after this point last year.

Looks pretty good for gully-washer tstms Sunday. GFS/ECMWF show PWATs over 2" (max 2.5") for the entire region. SW to NE training a good bet in some areas w/ the HRRR showing a 5.93" max just SW of DC. RRFS is similar to the HRRR. just not as high w/ the QPF maxes, but the point is the atmosphere is primed to big rains. A full-latitude, positively-titled trough to our W w/ broad SW flow over us should easily support some big QPF. Showers/sct tstms already in wrn VA and it all slowly moves E during the day, continuing into early Mon AM. Svr risk is marginal. Some supercell structures could be supported for short times. 01/18z ECMWF gives SHRA/TSRA every day through Thu. Nothing stands out for sig svr, just persistent, moist SW cyclonic flow, so lots of tstm activity.

We are spending 4 nights in a cabin near Davis, WV in a week. I know some of you have spent some time there - any trails, out of the way place we should know about? I've looked into the immediate area and well known hikes

Event total of 1.98" here. Definitely much appreciated.

Ham sandwich

Just got dumped on for 30 seconds haha this is amazing. Didnt put a dent in the fire duh.

Let's flood out wrn CT again! 00z HRRR.

A rouge shower just rolled thru. Who knew!?

Ended July with 2.83” of rain. Average is nearly 6”. Started August off on the right foot with a spectacular thunderstorm this evening. 1.7” in the gauge.

Right at normal for the month, temp-wise 000 CXUS51 KILN 010528 CF6DAY PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) STATION: DAYTON OH MONTH: JULY YEAR: 2026 LATITUDE: 39 54 N LONGITUDE: 84 12 W TEMPERATURE IN F: :PCPN: SNOW: WIND :SUNSHINE: SKY :PK WND ================================================================================ 1 2 3 4 5 6A 6B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 12Z AVG MX 2MIN DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR ================================================================================ 1 93 73 83 7 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 7.9 16 260 M M 1 1 23 210 2 92 73 83 7 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 6.4 15 210 M M 3 21 280 3 94 74 84 8 0 19 0.00 0.0 0 6.1 29 280 M M 4 35 270 4 92 72 82 6 0 17 0.05 0.0 0 7.6 20 250 M M 7 13 26 260 5 86 69 78 2 0 13 0.00 0.0 0 6.5 14 310 M M 7 1 19 300 6 84 70 77 1 0 12 0.00 0.0 0 7.1 14 20 M M 6 1 18 330 7 85 69 77 1 0 12 0.00 0.0 0 7.3 13 20 M M 7 1 28 20 8 88 67 78 2 0 13 0.00 0.0 0 3.5 10 350 M M 7 1 15 80 9 88 71 80 4 0 15 0.00 0.0 0 8.1 18 260 M M 7 3 32 290 10 88 69 79 3 0 14 1.00 0.0 0 8.4 36 20 M M 8 13 50 360 11 77 67 72 -4 0 7 0.78 0.0 0 4.9 15 100 M M 9 13 18 120 12 85 66 76 0 0 11 0.00 0.0 0 8.3 18 40 M M 5 1 23 40 13 87 64 76 0 0 11 0.00 0.0 0 7.2 15 10 M M 2 26 20 14 89 66 78 2 0 13 0.00 0.0 0 3.3 8 330 M M 2 12 10 15 89 69 79 3 0 14 0.00 0.0 0 5.4 12 260 M M 2 15 260 16 91 72 82 6 0 17 0.00 0.0 0 6.3 13 310 M M 5 8 21 310 17 92 72 82 6 0 17 0.42 0.0 0 6.1 21 260 M M 8 138 24 250 18 89 72 81 5 0 16 0.44 0.0 0 10.8 32 330 M M 7 13 47 330 19 81 65 73 -3 0 8 0.00 0.0 0 7.6 14 30 M M 4 18 17 30 20 84 60 72 -4 0 7 0.00 0.0 0 5.7 10 260 M M 5 18 15 270 21 88 71 80 4 0 15 0.13 0.0 0 13.2 24 260 M M 7 13 33 250 22 72 59 66 -10 0 1 0.00 0.0 0 7.8 16 360 M M 5 21 10 23 75 54 65 -11 0 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.8 13 30 M M 3 16 20 24 76 56 66 -10 0 1 0.00 0.0 0 5.0 12 40 M M 7 17 100 25 80 59 70 -6 0 5 0.00 0.0 0 4.2 14 250 M M 4 19 240 26 81 65 73 -3 0 8 0.00 0.0 0 6.0 12 230 M M 8 1 15 240 27 85 66 76 0 0 11 0.17 0.0 0 7.5 31 300 M M 5 13 45 280 28 83 68 76 0 0 11 0.00 0.0 0 10.0 21 350 M M 7 1 27 340 29 80 64 72 -4 0 7 0.00 0.0 0 7.9 16 30 M M 4 1 21 30 30 84 59 72 -4 0 7 0.00 0.0 0 4.6 13 340 M M 2 18 10 31 86 64 75 -1 0 10 0.00 0.0 0 3.5 13 150 M M 6 18 160 ================================================================================ SM 2644 2065 0 348 2.99 0.0 209.0 M 164 ================================================================================ AV 85.3 66.6 6.7 FASTST M M 5 MAX(MPH) MISC ----> 36 20 50 360 ================================================================================ NOTES: # LAST OF SEVERAL OCCURRENCES COLUMN 17 PEAK WIND IN M.P.H. PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) , PAGE 2 STATION: DAYTON OH MONTH: JULY YEAR: 2026 LATITUDE: 39 54 N LONGITUDE: 84 12 W [TEMPERATURE DATA] [PRECIPITATION DATA] SYMBOLS USED IN COLUMN 16 AVERAGE MONTHLY: 76.0 TOTAL FOR MONTH: 2.99 1 = FOG OR MIST DPTR FM NORMAL: 0.0 DPTR FM NORMAL: -0.96 2 = FOG REDUCING VISIBILITY HIGHEST: 94 ON 3 GRTST 24HR 1.78 ON 10-11 TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS LOWEST: 54 ON 23 3 = THUNDER SNOW, ICE PELLETS, HAIL 4 = ICE PELLETS TOTAL MONTH: 0.0 INCH 5 = HAIL GRTST 24HR 0.0 6 = FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE GRTST DEPTH: 0 7 = DUSTSTORM OR SANDSTORM: VSBY 1/2 MILE OR LESS 8 = SMOKE OR HAZE [NO. OF DAYS WITH] [WEATHER - DAYS WITH] 9 = BLOWING SNOW X = TORNADO MAX 32 OR BELOW: 0 0.01 INCH OR MORE: 7 MAX 90 OR ABOVE: 6 0.10 INCH OR MORE: 6 MIN 32 OR BELOW: 0 0.50 INCH OR MORE: 2 MIN 0 OR BELOW: 0 1.00 INCH OR MORE: 1 [HDD (BASE 65) ] TOTAL THIS MO. 0 CLEAR (SCALE 0-3) 7 DPTR FM NORMAL 0 PTCLDY (SCALE 4-7) 22 TOTAL FM JUL 1 0 CLOUDY (SCALE 8-10) 2 DPTR FM NORMAL 0 [CDD (BASE 65) ] TOTAL THIS MO. 348 DPTR FM NORMAL 7 [PRESSURE DATA] TOTAL FM JAN 1 651 HIGHEST SLP M ON M DPTR FM NORMAL -43 LOWEST SLP 28.98 ON 30 [REMARKS] #FINAL-07-26#

Not sure what is worse: losing 3 toes or losing almost 3 toes.

My numbers for the month of July 2026. Averaged high temp was 83.7 degrees vs a normal of 83.9 degrees, -0.2 degrees below average. The warmest temp recorded was 93.3 degrees on the 4th. Averaged low temp was 64.2 degrees vs a normal of 62.8 degrees, a +1.4 degrees above average. The overall averaged temp was 74.0 degrees vs a normal of 73.4 degrees, a +0.6 degrees above average. The total rainfall for the month was 4.50 inches vs a normal of 4.01 inches a +0.49 inches above average. The greatest rainfall was on the 21st with 1.07 inches. There were 16 days with measurable, 2 days with a 'T' and 12 dry days. There were 3 days with winds above 25 mph, with the highest wind happening on the 21st and 22nd at 26 mph. Three new records were set, a new daily rainfall on the 21st, a new record high on the 4th and a new 'warm minimum' set on the 19th. A very hot start to the month, with average to slightly below average the rest of the month and finally a month with above average precip.

I know that the right sides of these are typically overdone and that’s nearly certainly the case here, of course. But the last 2 weeks of the 12Z 8/1/26 CFSv2 AAM prog is one for the books with the earliest 4+ amp. in a run from a member that I’ve ever seen (day 20) as well as the first run I’ve seen with more than two members at 4+ at the same time! This one has ALL 4 members at 4+ on the far right allowing them to actually have room to put the 4 member color key on the far right instead of on the far left like it always has been: @snowman19

Raining.

It doesn't! Imagine that!