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I’ll have to check the high temperature at home today, but honestly, I think yesterday was a little bit warmer here.

It’s coming. Soon the dews will get you with rapture.

yup, ugliest part of winter is right after an extended snow cover melts off and you're left with gray parking lot piles of snow, mud, and everything just looks dirty and salt-stained.

We had a two week warm up in January. What tenor?

ya it will get warmer here probably few days in the mid to upper 30s.. but not a all out torch.. Midwest and west get the real warmth.. You could feel the stronger sun today though..

Looking more cloudy out there all of a sudden. Current temp and high for the day is 37.

February 15

18z NAM 3km tries to get us a little love going this run.

Mount Holly Snippet- KEY MESSAGE 3...An arctic cold front will bring a shot of snow (and potential snow squalls) on Friday Night, with strong winds expected in the wake of the front on Saturday. A clipper system will slide by to the north on Friday Night, dragging a cold front through our area. This front looks to pack a bit of a punch as it moves through. Medium range guidance continues to show a shot of snow as it moves through. Global deterministic guidance is not the best at depicting snow squalls, however from a pattern recognition standpoint, it would be not be a surprise for some snow squalls to develop as the arctic front moves through. Better confidence for the snow-squall potential will come once we get in range of the CAMs, but a quick inch or two of snowfall is certainly possible on Friday evening/Friday Night along with the usual impacts from snow squalls (gusty winds, reduced visibility, brief heavy snow).

March during the 2020s through 2025 has been the least snowy decade. Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 0.5 0.5 2025 0.0 0.0 2024 0.0 0.0 2023 1.6 1.6 2022 1.6 1.6 2021 T T 2020 T T Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 8.2 8.2 2019 4.1 4.1 2018 31.9 31.9 2017 7.4 7.4 2016 3.2 3.2 2015 19.7 19.7 2014 5.4 5.4 2013 7.4 7.4 2012 T T 2011 2.1 2.1 2010 0.4 0.4 Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 5.4 5.4 2009 13.6 13.6 2008 T T 2007 3.8 3.8 2006 3.2 3.2 2005 13.3 13.3 2004 5.7 5.7 2003 3.7 3.7 2002 T T 2001 10.3 10.3 2000 0.2 0.2 Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 5.8 5.8 1999 9.1 9.1 1998 1.6 1.6 1997 3.7 3.7 1996 12.0 12.0 1995 T T 1994 5.0 5.0 1993 13.3 13.3 1992 7.6 7.6 1991 1.9 1.9 1990 4.2 4.2 Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 3.0 3.0 1989 3.0 3.0 1988 3.4 3.4 1987 1.7 1.7 1986 0.1 0.1 1985 T T 1984 13.0 13.0 1983 T T 1982 T T 1981 7.1 7.1 1980 2.0 2.0 Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 3.1 3.1 1979 T T 1978 10.4 10.4 1977 4.0 4.0 1976 3.9 3.9 1975 1.2 1.2 1974 8.0 8.0 1973 T T 1972 1.0 1.0 1971 1.0 1.0 1970 1.0 1.0 Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 6.9 6.9 1969 11.0 11.0 1968 3.0 3.0 1967 21.7 21.7 1966 0.0 0.0 1965 4.5 4.5 1964 1.0 1.0 1963 M M 1962 M M 1961 M M 1960 M M

Start it 3 or 4 days before the event. The way things have been going, looks great this far out then seems to fizzle out, go south or maybe north with some rain as the the cold retreats.

I missed the pics thread so I will post them here instead from Greensboro and from here in the screw zone:

https://x.com/bam_weather/status/2018778226676687145?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

I was driving around the cottman/cottman region yesterday, roads were still congested. Took me forever to get out of there during rush hour. Snow mounds everywhere. I can’t imagine what another 1-2’ of snow would have done to this region

Yup…if it wasn’t for the clouds, we’d have done it for sure. I phone weather app stuck at 32 still. Keep checking it.

Radar looks way better than I thought it would. It looks like it likes route 50. Come to me weak ass frontal thing.

Models continue to show some snow with the arctic front Friday night. Looks like a dusting to an inch, but we have a few days to go so maybe it will beef up a little bit.

It’s the tenor…been doing it since mid November.

Not that I enjoy refuting Schwartz here, but wasn't the -AO from 2009/10 winter much more sustained, overall? It averaged -3.4 in December, -2.6 in January, and -4.3 in February. The AO actually had a positive average this past December. January is clearly going to be negative, and I'd guess February is, too, but it's flowing positive in the short-term and the rest of the month is TBD. Even in 12/13, there were negative AO departures from October to March.

I still think about the what if of this last weekends storm. Just a small change in the overall pattern and that’s a MECS/HECS for us. With the frozen temps and lack of snow melt we’ve had I have no idea where we would have put the snow. It would have been a really serious emergency…..man I would have loved to see it lmao

HRRR looks a bit more north even Philly gets in on it.