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We live in the foothills west of Fort Collins and you can add about 5 mph to what Fort Collins had. It kinda tore up our trailer cover, that had previously survived fierce winds the past several years. Oh well the damage could have been worse - our house and trailer are still standing .

Agreed. Currently surrounded by 4 - 100 year old white oaks near the GW Parkway. Considering taking family to library for when the line passes. My wife thinks I’m overreacting.

The irony is that we could have a 20" pack in place on April 1st ...

Fake news.

I'd be having a mental breakdown. lol

Still some deeper patches, big piles, and pond frozen at my folks. Amazing what radiating will do. Local pond in Weymouth pretty much ice free now except for a smaller area.

Back to snow here after a brief dry slot

Good point - that was such an unusual day, I remember following the line from the moment I woke up, all the way through the work day, then that evening when it actually arrived.

MSP was at 8.5” as of 1pm.

DTW had a trace of light snow early this morning. It was 40° at 11am and has shot up to 70° at 4pm

Subtle upticks in accumulations further east.

View from their house in WI this morning. The trees are maybe 100 yards from the window.

Down to 37, bottom really fell out fast

Also the wind is going to be cranking tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night. We will probably see temps crash fast as the front blows through. Could see some dramatic temperature drops all at once with temps heading to the single digits and teens.

NAM 3k showing some very heavy snowfall tomorrow afternoon around the area as the low blows up over us. This could make for some fun times. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

LOT sticking with their guns, smart move imo.

yeah - these were more fun when I lived in a condo building in downtown DC lol

Was not well forecasted at all. This was the outlooks for that day

Lfg

Big thunderstorm ongoing here. Our cat has made her scurry behind the couch for protection.

I should have mentioned that - yea he’s writing for VA/MD specifically. We don’t have the prime atmospheric conditions VA will have. But that’s mostly for tornadic activity. The QLCS will mix down major winds. LWX mentions this in this afternoon’s write up which I have to say is much more in-depth than CTP’s. Granted however their entire coverage area is in the mod risk. CTP’s isn’t and they have a more dynamic atmosphere than we do. I don’t see tornadoes as much of a thing north of BWI. Once any earlier low stratus are scoured out, expect ample diurnal heating as temperatures rise into the upper 60s to low 70s. Prolonged south to southeasterly flow should also raise dew points into the upper 50s to low 60s. The seasonably warm/moist low-levels coupled by strong forcing aloft and cyclonic turning of the winds with height will make for a very active convective day. While the degree of vertical shear is impressive on its own (0-6 km values around 55 to 65 knots), this comes with more than sufficient buoyancy levels as surface-based CAPE values push into the 500 to 750 J/kg range. The shear/instability combination will be conducive to supercell development, particularly for any discrete cells that form ahead of a likely squall line. Additionally, the degree of deep-layer shear should make this more of a quasi-linear convective system (QLCS) which will be capable of tornadogenesis. Aside from any tornado risk, the strong cloud-bearing level winds should easily mix down in convective downdrafts. With 850-700 mb winds around 60-70 knots, any of this higher momentum air being transferred to the surface could yield surface wind gusts into the 65 to 75 mph range. Thus, SPC has a broad area of significant damaging wind potential (45-74%) advertised from I-81 eastward in their latest outlook.

We've got some decent icing on trees/raised surfaces. Temp down to 31F now. Thinking the next batch of precip moving in from S/SW should be snow. Well ahead of schedule (per models).

Wasn't Ian like the first one to start talking Derecho? I remember that day...if it wasn't for this site I would have been clueless on what was coming.

ORD just tagged 60. Should be near freezing there by midnight though

I just finished reading it, and it's an excellent write up. One thing, though, is that the biggest threat seems (per his post anyway) is south of the M-D Line. If I'm deciphering it right, things might not be as bad up this way as previously thought?