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When we have a cold, or slightly colder winter like we are having. I go through 150 gallons of oil per month. Currently: Mostly cloudy. 18.9

Yup. Only thing I could do without is that ice crust from last Monday. That’s not going away easily.

Same. Quarter tank in a month. Can’t remember last time that happened

Models generally rush a pattern change (both for bad patterns and good patterns). However, the models appear to be converging on the 11th for a flip back to colder weather after our torch. But it would likely take a few days after that to be able to usher in a snowy pattern. Hopefully not just for us but for Central US as well. They’re having a record warm and snowless winter. Start getting some storms passing through that region and then we can get some more passing through here as well. Our odds are better when we’re not just limited to northern stream clippers

It won't let me post the other pictures

Got our snow fix in for awhile in wisconsin and Minnesota. This was the first morning we where there. Snowed several more time throughout the week

I haven't been able to really follow UMD once they left the ACC. I miss the days of players actually staying for 3 or 4 years That championship team with Juan Dixon, Steve Blake, Lonny Baxter, Chris Wilcox and Byron Mouton was all home grown and you could see it building year after year. Final four the year before they won it all and should of been in the championship game that year also. ( blowing a 20 pt lead to Duke)

Thanks

Per Ai DC winter weather is like ordering a steak and getting a salad. Technically food. Emotionally devastating.

southernwx

What message board is this?

I won’t mind a little bit of a warmup. Been going through heating oil like water

Yep. I stopped watching ACC Basketball soon after the late, great Len Bias met his sad end. The Terps did have some good years with Gary Williams with 1 Championship, but things were different in the stands once Lefty was pushed out, like no more rubber skull caps on opposing fans lol. My friend from high school went to UVA from 76-80 and would come back home during breaks with stories from basketball games and parties. Boy was I jealous. Of course, it was a different world back then and a lot of what he experienced wouldn't fly today.

from eric webb:

Wow another flip flop. These models suck past 3 minutes

Brownsville got into the 90s today, and broke the record of 91 F set back in 1982.

Yeah walked the dog at like 1:00pm and it was such a beautiful winter day out there. Not only has the pack stayed around for a bit, the little 1” refreshments have kept it pretty clean looking which is always a bonus for winter scenery.

Yeah, like I've been saying. This can start to become a very beneficial feature if you can bump it east from climo enough. I'm still having a really hard time finding any problems with any of this situation out there. It's not a bad look and with the big WWB in progress and some potential for more in the future... +

Some maximum temp records could be in jeopardy again this upcoming week as ridging aloft looks to reassert itself over the Plains states early in the week.

When is it supposed to start?

Cant trust these models at all. Another turnaround.

Every day I wake up and expect torch or frigid based on the model discussion and my point and click 10 day forecasts over the last month or so. Yet every day it just ends up seasonal. Granted we had a couple of peak days at Christmas, and some 20s and teens in early Dec. But for the most part, it sure does seem like our model trends are muted in both directions. Extreme swings don't pan out. If anything, this season thus far has been very "normal" if I had to describe it. And underwhelming, if not boring. Is it just me?

Coldest Jan 7th+ for Chicago lows on GEFS runs thru today’s 18Z:1/2 12Z +251/3 0Z +256Z +2112Z +1918Z +15 So, the GEFS mean coldest low at Chicago on the 18Z is a whopping 10 F colder than it was just 18 hours ago and is actually now slightly colder than the 12Z EPS’ 17. The normal Chicago low is for then ~18. So, the source for potential cold in the SE has gotten sig. colder. That’s the point of following and posting these. This colder 18Z run was largely related to a stronger -WPO, -EPO, and -AO vs the 12Z.

Careful …AMATT will say you’re trying to protect the pack

Im sure he's just being sarcastic.