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Stayed in the mid 30's all afternoon with winds gusting to 30. Snow grains falling at times under partly sunny skies. High of 36.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I agree....I'm fine with that. -
Will this remain the odd one out or will all the other models cave to this over the next 40 hours?
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Same here…brief, but ‘twas snow.
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Looks like serious taint if I am being honest.
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
TheNiño replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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Decided to bike in this nonsense and was treated to a light flurry while I was pumping air in my tires. This might be the year. Edit: Was supposed to go in Obs.
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Yeah. That would be game over for everyone. Is what it is.
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
jaxjagman replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
Chicago Storm replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
understatement. -
Hopefully it’s interesting. 2020, as well as other December’s, jaded me so much that it’s hard to get my hopes up, especially if we torch right before Christmas.
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
Radtechwxman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I would love 21z rap to verify please -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Me, neither. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
Snowcrazed71 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Or does it? -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Were not seeing 2" qpf, Probably 0.5-1.0" would be more realistic, 18z GEFS looks nothing like the OP, Its SE of it. -
41/29 today east side of Columbia
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Yeah I don't understand...y'all just won the SB LAST YEAR and you're still leading your division for crying out loud! I really don't get this level of angst...
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Everything looks relatively encouraging for I-95 NW except the GFS. It's insistent on a packet of vorticity and associated sharp shortwave tracking from MO through OH through northern NY. Most other guidance is AR through KY through PA or SNJ. If a shortwave tracks that far NW it will be very hard to keep snow anywhere along the coastal plain. From memory I feel like if any model sees this kind of shortwave tracking near the Lakes with a coastal SLP, it ends up verifying.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
bristolri_wx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I feel like the weighted blend right now would be 75% Euro, 25% GFS, only because there's more modeling supporting the Euro right now. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
homedis replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Interesting, they even mention lake enhancement. Doesn’t match up with LOT at all. Edit: looking at it again, its actually matches up. Just a really odd look to the LOT map with the 5-9” stripe in the heart of Cook County. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Sell’em all. 2” interior QPF runs? Not buying it. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Sell that GFS run. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
WxWatcher007 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Don't worry, you have backup now, quietly cheering you on. Yeah, I think that's way overdone.
