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Although the timestamp has updated, the actual geo image has not updated since yesterday. .

Although the timestamp has updated, the actual geo image has not updated since yesterday. .

62F for the low in the valley in E CT; less humid and no smoke currently; let’s see what the day brings.

We might finally break the all-time warm low record at Dulles. Doesn’t look like they’ve broken below 80.

This summer is following the 2020s theme of top 10 warmth from June 1st to July 15th. This has allowed several of the warm spots around the region to record 20+ days reaching 90°. Harrison is in 2nd place for the most 90° days by July 16th. Time Series Summary for NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE, NJ Warmest June 1st to 15th Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2024-07-15 76.1 0 2 2010-07-15 75.5 0 3 2026-07-15 74.9 0 4 2025-07-15 74.4 0 5 2013-07-15 74.3 0 - 2008-07-15 74.3 0 6 1994-07-15 74.2 0 7 2021-07-15 74.0 0 8 2020-07-15 73.8 0 9 2005-07-15 73.7 0 10 2012-07-15 73.4 0 Time Series Summary for POUGHKEEPSIE/HUDSON VALLEY REGIONAL AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2024-07-15 73.5 0 2 2025-07-15 73.3 0 3 2005-07-15 72.8 1 4 2020-07-15 72.4 0 5 2026-07-15 72.2 0 - 2013-07-15 72.2 0 6 1949-07-15 72.1 0 7 1973-07-15 71.9 0 8 2010-07-15 71.8 1 9 2016-07-15 71.7 0 10 2021-07-15 71.6 0 Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2024-07-15 73.8 0 2 1995-07-15 73.6 32 3 2025-07-15 73.5 0 4 2010-07-15 73.4 1 5 1966-07-15 73.2 0 6 1999-07-15 72.7 2 7 2026-07-15 72.6 0 8 2013-07-15 72.2 0 9 1994-07-15 72.0 1 10 2008-07-15 71.8 0 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2025-07-15 74.1 0 2 2010-07-15 74.0 0 3 2024-07-15 73.7 0 - 1999-07-15 73.7 0 4 1966-07-15 73.2 0 5 1994-07-15 73.1 0 6 2026-07-15 72.8 0 - 2013-07-15 72.8 0 7 2020-07-15 72.6 0 - 2008-07-15 72.6 0 8 2019-07-15 72.3 0 - 2014-07-15 72.3 0 9 2011-07-15 72.2 0 10 1993-07-15 72.0 0 Data for January 1, 2026 through July 16, 2026 #90° days Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. ESTELL MANOR COOP 23 HARRISON COOP 23 TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 21 Atlantic City Area ThreadEx 21 ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP WBAN 21 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 20 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 20 TETERBORO AIRPORT COOP 20 Newark Area ThreadEx 20 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 20 Time Series Summary for HARRISON, NJ Most 90° days through July 16th Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2024-07-16 24 0 2 2026-07-16 23 1 - 2010-07-16 23 17 3 2021-07-16 21 0 - 2018-07-16 21 0 4 2012-07-16 20 19 - 2002-07-16 20 5

luckily looks like the real high grade stuff should stay east of mby

May see a decent line of storms move through Saturday evening...probably some decent wind potential. maybe even a TOR

Hmm I dont smell smoke and this image would show the highest smoke density up North still

This could be the first event that is still a super El Niño into March using Nino 3.4

96 here yesterday with a dp of 79 seen a heat index at times of 112

Yuck. I think the highest I saw on my phone during Smokeageddon '23 was in the high 300s. 156 right now. Definitely has that hazy look and campfire smell.

Advancing smoke shield just after a cloudy sunrise.

All these wildfires have their own scent, this one is nasty

For now it’s not bad sitting at 115. But the extreme AQI is not far to our NW.

@Mitchnick Which models are you looking at that always show the trade winds coming back? Because you’ve been saying that for quite awhile now and all we’ve seen are record breaking WWBs, westerlies and a complete trade wind reversal

A little cooler here this morning at 69 degrees. We got 0.05" of rain from the storms that missed to the east yesterday afternoon. Despite that, the high was 95.

Good 2-part blog from last year on Canadian wildfire history outlining the role of forest management and climate. Canadian forest fires are less numerous than in the past; but, larger and burning a wider area. The cause of fires has transitioned from mostly man-made in the past to mostly ignited by lightning today. https://thetradeoff.substack.com/p/north-americas-forests-used-to-burn https://thetradeoff.substack.com/p/part-2-many-of-north-americas-forests

AQI 104-120 Yuck

70 degrees this morning. DP 69 Looks like the 90’s today for the high. Only made it to 97 yesterday. Missed a line of thunder storms.

Wait.... i thought we were going to have low dews for this heatwave. Dewpoint here is close to 80 lol. Yay! Smoky, hot, dry, super humid. I can't understand how anyone can love summer. Give me a 4:47 sunset and a -10 wind chill over this bs any day. And snow!! Feet of snow!

Perfect weather for this time of year!! Today Widespread smoke, mainly after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Light west wind increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Tonight Isolated showers before 10pm. Widespread smoke, mainly before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Friday Sunny, with a high near 77. Northwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Friday Night Increasing clouds, with a low around 58. Calm wind. Saturday A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Light southwest wind increasing to 8 to 13 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday Night Showers and thunderstorms likely before 9pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 9pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Low around 65. Southwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Sunday A chance of showers before 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Northwest wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Monday Sunny, with a high near 77. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Calm wind. Tuesday A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Tuesday Night Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Wednesday A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. West wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

He's not talking about right now, but that it will trend more basin wide as supported by subsurface and is depicted on seasonal models. Models apparently seeing westerly anomalies weakening during the fall allowing trades to move the warmth in the esst back west.