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  2. Thanks for posting this radar -- it just covers my area as well. Didn't realize it would. The COD NEXRAD radar (the local one here is down right now) is SO much better than the standard low bandwidth radar.
  3. The complex that was out by Williamsport seems to have weakend, but there's another line behind it that looks fairly potent. If it can hold together, perhaps we can get a good nocturnal showing out of it.
  4. 6 straight months of -PNA ongoing. This Winter may be more challenging to forecast than your typical Nino.
  5. Once again we failed because 1. Early morning WAA crapvection and 2. Too much forcing for ascent driven by a strong synoptic system, which ultimately leads to clusters of storms every which way simply occupying the same spaces. It's the same problem we had with the Moderate Risk bust a few months ago. Too much convection.
  6. It ended up being largely a nothingburger for Michigan any way, outside a narrow corridor from the Tri-Citirs to Lake St. Clair. Instability, low-level moisture and shear were sufficient, but the nebulous forcing wasn't enough to overcome the residual cap and the dry air advecting in aloft. Kind of unfortunate, because I'm sure meaningful rain would have been nice for the Detroit area after the past few days..
  7. Picked up .92" so far today. BGM radar cover NWNJ pretty well. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=BGM-N0Q-1-48-100-usa-rad OKX radar cover the rest of the area https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=OKX-N0Q-1-48-100-usa-rad
  8. @87storms you what you said about me missing the lightning… ah it is insane here and the wind just blew in howling.
  9. Another heavy downpour going on here now.
  10. All heading for where the warm front passed. Far SW CT to NYC. Rest of region is screwed
  11. My new window track weep holes couldn’t keep up and overflowed during the heaviest
  12. Last of the rain has moved through. Right around 1.5" for the day.
  13. Go with the Badlands profile pic. It instantly worked for me lol.
  14. Another flood watch where we watch others flooding.
  15. My roof has already leaked in 2 places today. Thankfully very concentrated and not terrible. I’m going up on the roof tomorrow. I’m worried about that line in Jersey. I’m in West Babylon. Just get me to tomorrow
  16. Just about a half inch here. I'm glad we didn't have widespread wind and tornado activity so far, and I hope it stays that way through tonight. No one needs that after the damage we already had around the 4th. Went to attend a birthday party just over the border in New Hope, PA. Heading down 287 got hit with some mega rates, people started pulling over. Also while there a few solid downpours came through, I imagine the totals down there had to be near 2 inches. Looked like a creek in the parking lot.
  17. Getting the atmospheric ducting thing with low rumbling extended thunder now. Must be a bit of an inversion layer.
  18. FYI That line east of KBGM has a tor warning. You had interest in that line earlier. Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Binghamton NY 637 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026 NYC025-182300- /O.CON.KBGM.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-260718T2300Z/ Delaware NY- 637 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN DELAWARE COUNTY... At 636 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Harvard, or near Walton, moving east at 40 mph.
  19. That part of DE always gets spinners, be safe!
  20. Worst seems to be over now 1.60", time for a Steady Eddie
  21. got another 1/4" of rain today, so that was good. I don't think we are getting jack out of the next round.
  22. That is an exceptional amount of CAPE (nearly 6000) for a location on the East Coast. I am surprised there were not more svr hail reports. Low-level shear is weak. 0-6 km shear 37 kt so there is your supercell support. I think the storm coverage was a bit too much and that is what precluded more sig svr wx overall. A bit stronger capping probably would gone a long way.
  23. Cell in Mercer is warned for Middlesex and southern somerset
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