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NAM is still very amped. Nice model battle. Back to bed.

Who remembers the huge ice storm we got the first week of December 1989? I was in Wilson Co.. Sleet was like 6 inches deep...ice cycles were a foot long but like 6 inches wide? No power...the WRAL tower collapsed! Man I miss those storms we used to get!!

First NWS snowfall map - looks like the NBM, i.e., a compromise between most of the models showing little to no snow along/SE of 95 and the Euro/AIFS camp which are obviously more bullish on 95 snowfall.

Cool little storm! East view from Willis

0z euro congrats Ralph lucky 7" Doylestown

Man, NAM is out to lunch but I would take my chances riding those dynamics in Greenfield, despite my low elevation.

You’re back! I wasn’t worried, just disappointed in your prolonged absence. I think it will be a fun winter for all in SNE. Especially inland.

Still going here in Kenosha at 1am. LES adding to the totals. Wind was ripping earlier and was actually kinda worried about my flag pole. My bird feeder isn’t doing well lol. But now it’s so peaceful. What a great fucking long duration storm this has been.

I’m no MET, but that’s not a bad look at this juncture imo. Thank you for posting Will.

Making up for the slow onset by avoiding the dry slot. Good night!

They look a bit juicier than the OP in terms of amplification but not by much. But that’s prob a good sign we’re gonna see model convergence. Betting OP is still a bit too flat

35/24 here in the nw bronx. Might we see some flakes before dec?..it feels like snow outside rn.

How does the EPS look?

Euro AI itself is a massive hit for us in the moderate interior. But trusting any OP right now is asking for trouble. I think we’d take a model blend right now and run.

Dancing on the edge of danger as always. 10kft of above -3C temps. And this is Westminster.

8.7" here at home as of midnight.

I know man. So close but so far. Always the case. Hopefully things trend colder for us in future runs.

Flew into Bishop from Nashville this evening (pretty smooth flight given the circumstances). Probably under 2" on the ground at FNT when we landed around 9:45 but boy was it a slick drive home. Took an hour to get to Waterford from the airport via 75 and Dixie Hwy. Kept it around 40mph the whole way to Exit 93; two tracks at best on the interstate and snow-covered mainline roads. Still barfing snow out, NWS DTX reported 3.1" at 1AM in White Lake, I'll go out and measure in a bit after this titillating ND/Stanford game

Last little burst coming through here, what a lovely storm.

Do we value them? Is AI doing better than the regular Euro?

EPS is very aggressive

Man, that was one hell of a weenie run from the 00z Euro. Guess it can only get worse from here lol. I imagine December '95 was a bit similar to what it's showing. No KU but just a nickel 'n dime pattern with 3-6/4-8" type events every 5 days or so.

8.4" at ORD as of midnight. 8.0" at RFD. This snowstorm is now tied for the 5th largest on record in November for Chicago.

Man, EURO AI ens are enfuego.

Euro bumping things up. .