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  2. powderfreak
    Inside the danger zone is the Armageddon zone, ha. That’s how the public reads that.
  3. vortex95
    The Colesville storm has the "look," like it is ready to go anytime! EDIT: Ragged wall cloud evident seen from College Park.
  4. wxmeddler
    MLCAPE of 1100 and skinny. 0-3km CAPE is only ~70. The 3-8km shear is only ~10kts. I'm thinking water loading in the upper levels is leading to cold pool production that's killing the balance. If anything today I expect low level rotation with scud tendril funnels.
  5. weatherCCB
    0.39” in 10 minutes sun trying pop out now
  6. mappy
    The line forming is going to be so lame when it comes thru here… then will blow up and hit the same spots that have been getting storms all summer
  7. vortex95
    It can be confusing to the public and emergency management. They have procedures in place when a SVR box is issued, and then 25 min later a TOR? Just not very efficient. Some may ask, does it mean anything to have "both" at the same time? This is valid question for the non-met! And what about watch box stats for a given area? Just have two discrete boxes issued at the same time. N area TOR and S area SVR in this case.
  8. rjvanals
    Quite the storm in Potomac
  9. BlizzardNole
    Looking like a sunny, hot and dry evening in southern MD. Glad I watered earlier! I do think we get some rain on Saturday
  10. yoda
    Initiation trying near Harrisonburg
  11. A-L-E-K
    HI just rocked and they'll be dodging atmospheric rivers for a while
  12. mitchnick
    Just under 2" in 25 minutes and more to come.
  13. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  14. BlizzardNole
    We were thinking of grilling out this evening and that looks to be a go. Bright sunny afternoon/evening down here
  15. canderson
    Heavy, heavy rain. Blustery too
  16. Chrisrotary12
    This made me chuckle:
  17. mitchnick
    Crushed up here right now. Noah said he'd be back to get me, but he didn't have change for a 20.
  18. Interstate
    Yeah I am waiting for the rant of how everything is missing him to the north, east, south, and west.
  19. vortex95
    That is outstanding low-level shear. "Hockey stick" hodograph at low-levels. 0-0.5 km shear of 29 kt? Wow. SCP 14.8. Mid-level lapse rates not good, but mesocyclone presence can compensate for that if we can get a storm established/persist. Ride any boundaries! And yet the current storm closest to DC just can't do it!
  20. mappy
    Severe warned storm to my north
  21. SnowenOutThere
    That’s an impressive sounding for us. The low level directional shear is way better than I expected.
  22. weatherwiz
    I would be willing to bet that was planned that way. Goal was to get the SVR out first and then hone down on an area where combination of ingredients overlapped most for a tornado risk. Probably why the time delay between the two...discussion on the SVR with local offices and then discussion on the area for the tornado watch
  23. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  24. yoda
    AFDLWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 331 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Severe and Tornado Watches have been issued for parts of the area until 10 PM. && .KEY MESSAGES... - Severe and Tornado Watches are in effect until 10 PM. - After a brief lull Friday, additional showers and a few thunderstorms are possible Friday night into Saturday. - Thunderstorm chances increase on Sunday before drier conditions move in early next week. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...Severe and Tornado Watches are in effect until 10 PM. KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... Our atmosphere is characterized by 90F temps and mid 70s dewpoints with up to 3500 J/KG of MUCAPE, DCAPE of 418 J/kg, 40 kt of 0-6 km shear, and 0-3 km SRH of 220 m^2/S^2 based on our 18Z IAD sounding. Storms have already exhibited mid-level rotation, particularly the one over the eastern shore of MD. Expect discrete supercells this afternoon with a sig tornado potential, particularly along and south of I-70 where 18Z gridded NUCAPS data showed a tight low-level moisture gradient. By evening, storms may congeal into an MCS or line as shown in earlier and most recent HRRR forecasts. Flash flooding risk is expected to remain low due to progressive storm motions of around 27kt, but brief intense rainfall rates of 2"/hour are possible.
  25. wxmeddler
    18z LWX Sounding
  26. ravensrule
    @EastCoast NPZ really has to move there. Are you looking for a roommate?
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