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Mesos are throwing more precip back this way. NAM, RGEM, RRFS all have an advisory event here

Not at all. 4-8 is the range

Stj energy is still there. This might be one of those longtrack systems/patterns that flip flops for a few more days.

I’m looking for bitchin nachos. Any suggestions

I checked in this morning and it looked like a last minute hail Mary might be in the works region wide with much of the 6z suite but I guess that unraveled right on schedule later on. Glad today worked out here in death valley.

Likely go together, further east less dynamics warmer solution, better dynamics would lead to a colder solution.

Sw in the pacific off of cali cut off, whereas before it was phasing in with another s/w. Maybe not a bad thing. There is still another s/w that phased into it..or whatever...but it's weaker so far. Nothing jumps out attm

Wow GFS barely has a storm. Continues the trend of NAM and HRRR further east. Looks like an initial wave and then the low gets pulled east so we never really get going here. Warm too

Stuff starts vanishing as soon as it stops falling lol Entering the big dog or spring stage of winter fatigue here

Winter as it should be. Great photo.

Cold chasing moisture never works. It’s gonna be 38 and rain.

Cold day with temps in the teens. Lake effect compaction is real though. Down to about a 6” snow pack. I know you’re all feeling bad for me.

My approach is pretty much that's it going to snow. Low expectation = low disappointment.

Euro wasn't into this morning either and it overperformed the Euro forecast x5 in some places like Mappyland and other northern MD locations and x2 imby. The most/more conservative runs of the mesos prevailed over the globals this morning imho. I'll roll with the same winners tomorrow since it's a similar looking system in some ways.

I don’t know I think the pattern is meh. I kind of side with 95. Even when it tries to get favorable, there’s still crap to inhibit it.

snow

Desperation weenie move for the person who did the measurements. Was probably JI.

That's fairly ambitious.

Yeah, out west GFS h5 is vastly different for that wave that produces our ice storm from 12z. Anemic out there

The Euro has owned this event. Barely budged the last few days. Tbd on the final outcome, but it showed why it’s the king…it’s just more consistent than the others, period.

GFS had 1-2” for my much of my area on some of the recent runs overnight. Had 4-6”. So much for the GFS.

What the hell are we looking for again?

A little more snow today at BWI (0.2), DCA (0.1), and IAD (0.3). @rjvanalsneeds a combined 0.6 inches at BWI, DCA, and RIC to take the lead.