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  2. high risk
    Let's fire up the severe thread for one last hurrah! SLGT for parts of the region tomorrow; MRGL for just about everyone else. Strong front approaches Friday evening with a good signal for a line of forced convection just ahead of it. Shear will be very strong, and some forecast soundings have a little bit of instability. The threat of a few damaging gusts seems legit. (I'm ignoring the 2% TOR for now.)
  3. CoastalWx
    Might be a decent week next week.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    @LakePaste25I'd love to hear why the PDO isn't reflective of crucial forcing. The "X" emoji's are similar to the gaudy AI visuals in that they add very little value. -PDO is not reflective of El Nino, but rather a competing force...you can ignore it at your own peril, or figure out what said force is and account for it.
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Well finally some sense. Agreed, it’s not that big of a problem (yet). But not thinking about future generations is selfish. I’m sure there are a few environmental issues from the past you would have wanted not to have happened. Personally I wish we left at least a percentage of old growth forest on the east coast. Easily avoidable in retrospect. But past generations were, selfish. Same game here. Difference is we can do something about it. .
  6. Juturna
    Euro had a heckuva run with that potential coastal low last night
  7. A-L-E-K
    ready 2 torch
  8. bluewave
    At least another period of extended onshore flow with the big high to the north and developing low somewhere underneath.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right, but it's a refection of hemispheric forcing that absolutely has a profound effect on the long wave pattern. You are missing the point....it's like seeing a juiced-up disturbance ridging the STJ and up the coast, but telling people not to worry about the arctic high parked over Ottawa because it can't produce precipitation. Sure, but it will interact with entities that absolutely can. Stop viewing the atmosphere in a vacuum and focus on how everything interacts. You don't consume a bag of flower for dessert, right? No, you bake into the pie first.
  10. Typhoon Tip
    https://phys.org/news/2026-10-countries-vulnerable-fossil-fuel-phaseout.html seein' as y'all arguing about it. apropos timing from Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) ...
  11. SJonesWX
    are you new here? the nonsense talk happens year 'round. Certain posters constantly wishcasting is nothing new. oh, and I am pretty sure that @Prismshine Productions is not a he.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Eh, details...it looks awesome, though, right?
  13. Guest

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  15. dendrite
    Yeah breezy morning. The chickens are molting hard and are not pleased.
  16. mahantango#1
    48 this morning.
  17. CoastalWx
    Speaking of winds, I did not expect to be this windy this morning. Gusting over 30 easily.
  18. WxUSAF
    Well all of a sudden there’s this giant quasi stationary low offshore forming at the tail end of tomorrow’s cold front. That’s worth watching.
  19. Guest

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  20. CoastalWx
    Good luck chief
  21. SnoSki14
    That slowdown is what's causing the energy to get left behind and potentially become an ocean storn in the onshore flow environment. Don't know what, if any impacts will result from this but another coastal storm wouldn't surprise me.
  22. TSSN+
    Long range looks pretty zzzz for the time being.
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  24. Interstate
    71.6 at midnight 59.4 currently
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  26. bluewave
    Right on cue the models are slowing the frontal passage for Friday into Saturday. This has been the theme all year from weekend winter snowstorms to thunderstorms and nor’easters into the fall. So it looks like we’ll have more measurable rain here early Saturday. Luckily not the all day washout that we just had this past Sunday. But just enough light morning showers keep the measurable weekend precipitation streak going before we clear out during the day Saturday. New run Old run
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