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RRFS also likes Jeff.

If it wasn’t for the strong -NAO, the record ridge across the Southern Plains would have expanded closer to our area.

They are not the only ones trending colder so is Noaa

After the last month of frigid temps and 3” of snow .. I’m admittedly nervous . I expected a low snow year again. But thought we’d at least reach double digits

An interesting storm. I ended up with 3.2 inches here about half that fell in the hour and a quarter I got into the heavy band. I measured 3.2 inches at 10 o'clock. At noon it had settled and compressed and probably melted a bit down to 2.6. One last good band came through and at 1 o'clock I was back to 3.2. Under old methods that would be recorded as 3.8 inches but now it's a 3.2, maximum depth at any point during the day. At least until they change the rules again. Personally I preferred the clearing of the snowboard every six hours, or when precip has stopped on changed. To me that gave the most accurate measurement.

Just want to say congrats to all who live and or are visiting in NNE on just an idyllic Bing Crosby Christmas scene. I have so many Christmas memories up there. Nothing better

18z NAM/12z GFS is what I'm thinking for Friday..

Because the models were wrong with the warmth. Snow is coming.

But what will they say next run? The variability is crazy this year.

Very blocky

Im Thinkng 2-4/3-6. Should trend north. We’ll see

Sketchy drive? Maybe. The GFS has 850 at -8C for State College and +8C for Morgantown. Don't forget ur umbrella.

a low is showing up near hatteras ????

Yes, but I'm very skeptical of this snowstorm. They were predicting 50s on Friday until of a sudden yesterday morning, now they're predicting 30s and snow.

Started here about the same time as you. 31.6. Expecting more than the 0.2" Dover has been locally forecast to get.

Raindrops and 36 in Canton, MA

Nam looks decent still going strong 84 hours a bit too south if you ask me

Kind of a rain mangled flake mix.

I don’t think that it’s an exaggeration to say that today’s Euro Weeklies colder changes in the aggregate for the E US are at least near the largest I can recall this entire season with 4 of the 5 weeks notably colder and only the other (Jan 5th-11th) staying about the same (pretty mild). If you want to look specifically at the big changes in the ecmwf in-house maps, themselves, vs yesterday, you can go here to the main ENSO thread:

What's up with Upton - the forecast says little or no snow accumulation for NYC BUT the discussion says chances of accumulating snow are increasing ? ZFP from KOKX

Fri/Sat has trended much colder and now the NAM has us with severe icing. Still long ways to go for that s to play out, but something to watch.

Still (barely) above freezing. Hopefully we'll avoid stickiness and manage fluff. 32.4*

I don’t think that it’s an exaggeration to say that today’s Euro Weeklies colder changes in the aggregate for the E US are at least near the largest I can recall this entire season with 4 of the 5 weeks notably colder and only the other (Jan 5th-11th) staying about the same (pretty mild). I’ll leave it to @Carvers Gapto post more about them as he normally is thorough communicating about them here. But if you want to look specifically at the big changes in the ecmwf in-house maps, themselves, vs yesterday, you can go here to the main ENSO thread:

These days they pretty much do model watching. Some may do legwork 80%dont

I'll take the under and be happy with 5"