All Activity
- Past hour
-
I don't see any rain on the radar at least
-
It was pretty refreshing walking the 50 miles in the Bronx Zoo.
-
Got the keys to the cabin on the mountain, construction complete! Too bad the wind is blowing like crazy, I'm sooo sick of wind this year. It's relentless.
-
Brutal. Fun watching Holliday. That’s about it.
-
A little help guys,,,,,I started staring the spindles on my deck rails today and I want to do the tops of my rails BUT whats with these dark clouds that just showed up as there was about zero chance of rain when I started this earlier today and tomorrow Im looking to stain the deck with no rain in site until Wednesday but is it gonna shower tonight or soon ????? WTF
-
Orioles Only 2 months until NFL training camp begins!
-
2025-2026 ENSO
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The thing about the -10, -15 temperature departures in the Eastern US in February 2015 is that it was balanced out by similar positive temperature departures in the Western US: -
I’m sure they’ll be some mild days thrown in but meh.
-
Outflow from the downstate severe storms lofted the dry dirt/dust
-
Tomorrow and Tuesday will be somewhat cooler but still pleasant days. However, it will turn noticeably cooler Tuesday night. Once it turns cooler, an extended period of below normal temperatures is likely. A moderate to significant rainfall is likely Wednesday into Thursday. A gusty wind will likely accompany the rainfall. Showers could persist into Friday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.1°C for the week centered around May 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.55°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer. Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal). The SOI was +7.83 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.290 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 50% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.2° (near normal).
-
Lots of 70’s - low 80’s. No big heat or big dews … yet
-
Nah big heat. Starts next weekend.
-
Lock it
- Today
-
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, he is the first person I have ever seen argue against the idea that a warmer climate has more moisture available...irregardless of the degree of warming cancelling that out. -
-
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think its more about the orientation of the cool ENSO event than it is the QBO. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That isn't the case up here....IDK about the mid Atlantic. -
They’ve been horrible as has EPS. This is spring version of Scooter doing Scooter things .
-
I would travel for a golf gtg. I would say I could combine with a trip to the PGA stop in Cromwell but that has gotten too expensive.
-
TDS with that storm now (though velocity scans haven't looked overly impressive in the last few scans). Storm keeps cycling as well. CO tornadoes are always photogenic and have interesting evolutions.
-
If it's 70 degrees and sunny and low humidity all summer, I will be a happy man.
-
Can’t speak for him but 60’s is perfect for golf. Much better than high 80’s.
-
I think true summertime conditions this summer will begin late probably in mid to late June. In the meantime we can catch a single day here and there like yesterday but there is virtually no chance of lasting warmth or probably of any heat. An active storm track and frequent cold fronts with the trough centered just to our east and northeast prevents it. WX/PT
-
The weeklies are cooler than normal across the US the entire run out to mid June.
-
This wind is atrocious.