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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Maestrobjwa replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Why do you say? I mean haven't all super ninos kinda been 50/50 boom or bust? As it happens...every other super has produced in the Mid-Atl and NE. 65-66 good, 72-73 bad, 82-83 good, 97-98 bad, 15-16 good (one hit wonder, but still) -
A sound I don't want to hear again for a while after a 66 hour stretch recently.
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This will be a very rare pancake heat dome Notice how compressed the forecast record 600 dm heights for the MSP area will be. So the 850 mb plume will be fairly narrow. If it ejects perfectly coinciding with the daily highs next week around 4pm then my guess is the warm spots could reach 100° to 103°. If the warmest 850 mb temperatures occur at night then the daytime max could only be 96° to 100° for the warm spots. This is probably why each model is flipping from run to run since the timing of the peak 850 mb temperatures keeps changing. Fairly narrow 850 mb plume
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No thunder yet, but at least it has started raining.
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Thanks! Yeah we did a visit of Cape Henlopen State Park but want to explore it more. So defiantly on the list.
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Getting a heck of a storm here. Torrential rain for more than 20 minutes so far and still going. Booming thunder and frequent wind gusts above 40 mph.
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Generator just popped on.
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Sun is back out in full force here.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
brooklynwx99 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
yeah, leaning on the 2015-16 or 1982-83 outcomes right now -
Stephens City getting the goods don't tell NPZ
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Yep with 2 big heatwaves it's a good chance unless the last 10 days is cool or something.
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Just drove north up 97 from 495 towards Olney, and, yes, it did. Very disappointed in what the radar looks like at home.
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Lots to do in the area. Cape Henlopen State park is awesome. Dunes are pretty impressive. The town of Lewes is very nice- chill vibe and not overrun with people in Summer like Rehoboth. Breweries nearby and some nice places to eat. https://www.thearmchairexplorer.com/delaware/lewes-byway.php
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Pouring in Columbia
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Looks like some nice building of echos west of dc metro.
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I’d say I had 7/8 house rattlers with a 3 second span between flash and sound
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1” in 23 minutes kemp Mill
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Up to 2.2” for the day -
Pretty accurate. Id be surprised if we didn’t get dumped on at some point this evening.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Heavy rain
