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N one going right over Eveleth. Hope it's not on the ground.

Agree. 94 or 100, zero difference, just like -5 or 0.

Possible two tornadoes near Hibbing (one previous tornado by Aitkin MN)

Tornado sig near the Iron Range area of NE MN, which is NW of me. 2 possible tornadoes in the area up that way with this one more defined.

dry heat is better than humid heat I keep thinking to July 2010, 101 with 45 dew point so refreshing.

I had a few more drops.

Same here

If the ridge gets too steep it’ll turn our winds southerly and the worst heat will overshoot our area again. Still plenty of time for that to happen.

it’s so beautiful outside next week i will die

Dr Mary Jane can help you.

Too far out to know exacts but the latest GFS has more onshore flow than the Euro next week, so it has lower temps (mid to upper 90's) with higher humidity. Unfortunately it's been the theme of a lot of our heat waves in recent times

I was born and raised in this kind of weather. I'll be fine! (Just kidding. It was only like 72 degrees outside and once the sun came out I was suffering. I know you all like to make fun of me, but I think the low heat tolerance is probably medication related, and yes, I'm talking to my doctor about getting off of said medication).

Nothing Sat and about 0.2" between last night and today. Did some planting and watered everything yesterday so the gentle rain on top has been nice. Plants visibly enjoying.

Today was awesome. High around 80F. Dews in mid-50s. Sun.

.01 through the tipper. I was actually getting concerned because I had gone 24 hours without a trace not thankfully some showers moved through.

DCA: 102 IAD: 100 BWI: 101 RIC: 101

It will become somewhat warmer tomorrow with highs reaching the lower 70s. By Wednesday, the mercury will likely reach 80°. A sustained period of above normal temperatures will then develop by midweek. No exceptional heat appears likely through the first three weeks of June. However, that could change shortly afterward if some of the extended range guidance is correct. Excessive heat is possible starting early next week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around June 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.05°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least late summer. The SOI was -12.72 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.731 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 69% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.5° (1.5° above normal).

Have we had any doors this year? Next week maybe?

That last two years i got boned every rain event so this year seems to be making up for it a bit. I'm sure the curse of Stephens City isn't far away

As an after thought the 80F in some Febs and Marches over the last 20 years may qualify … but part of climatology is the time of year. There may be circumstantial limitations (physically) that prevent really truly gaudy I-95 buck.10s that aren’t there in the earlier spring

0.15” today and sultry. Even with several showers still made it to 92

The northeast has mostly been spared from these CC infused heat waves but is it our time now? The fact ensembles are going this high already is concerning and we have several days to go.

So what are the odd's that this dome sticks around much longer than what's being forecasted?

Too early to go big ... responsibly, anyway. It's tricky though because ginormous events have a real statistical proven ability to "show up" early and establish themselves in guidance with relative persistence ... compared to say, a big bomb in the winter that comes and goes in the guidance...only to verify as a pedestrian winter storm. Heat is very fragile in the guidance. That's problematic - early detection of historic heat is not really so statistically clad. As I was pointing out earlier, these so -called "synergistic heat events" - codified that way in attribution science related to CC ...etc. - were not seen in the same way prior to their occurrence. The reason for that difference is that they are non-linear - they emerge within the on-going signal. The analogy to "rogue wave" in a choppy sea really does work well. We can predict the stormy sea, we cannot tell if that stormy sea will synergize. In other word, unless we unpack the quantum manifold that excludes time in such a way that all possibilities are known, ...we ain't forecasting Pac NW anytime soon. We can only see the warm pattern. When I see that pattern like that... I agree, let's get the pattern definite. The other aspect is that I don't think the eastern OV up through NE has ever seen a synergistic heat event. It's not a region conducive to that non-linearity. There are places in the ocean where rogue waves are more apt to occur, for example. I'm under the impression that as the analog goes, we are not as heat prone here. Those that hate heat and see 101 on the thermometer would probably rage that we do heat just fine, but Heathrow AP up at London, put up a 105 in 2022, at a latitude 5 degrees N of Caribou Maine. Relative to their climatology, that is a whopper SD larger than anything Boston has seen. That was a patented SHE ... An equivalent temperature at Boston is ~ 112 If the megalopolis from PHL to BOS 2-meter hover T'ed a 112 some fateful afternoon, particularly after it'd been 100 for a couple of stressed out bonker days of it already, ah-heh. right.