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It's the CC that's fake or over hyperbolized that's "not" causing massive upward frequency of these large scale "holocaustic - like" fire explosions setting off all over the world over recent years... This is how Gaia rids the planet of cancer. She/he/it slowly turns up the heat up on the frogs, using temperature like chemotherapy. With brilliantly insightful enabling throughput of "there's always been wild fires", this keeps the agency smoking, so there's more cancer, thus, more chemotherapy ... turning up the dial toward their own demise. I also like the metaphor for the "Clean" end of said dial on a convention electric oven's settings.

I just noticed that the 0Z UKMET has a TD from this on Sunday and a TS on Tue: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 27.8N 83.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 19.07.2026 108 27.8N 83.1W 1011 33 0000UTC 20.07.2026 120 28.5N 83.2W 1007 26 1200UTC 20.07.2026 132 29.2N 82.1W 1008 27 0000UTC 21.07.2026 144 30.2N 81.2W 1007 32 1200UTC 21.07.2026 156 32.2N 79.1W 1002 40 0000UTC 22.07.2026 168 34.7N 75.5W 1000 47

The world is now orange.

I don’t remember it being as frequent in my childhood (90s &00s). But memory could be clouded by youthful ignorance. I definitely remember that one.

Best wishes to NJ State Climatologist Dave Robinson on his retirement. His name has been a fixture in NJ weather and climate for as long as I can remember. https://www.njweather.org/articles/june-2026-recap-plus-first-half-2026-review

Certainly, although Guilford county only saw .5-1.5" for the most part over the last week we'll see on all of D4 being removed

May was the month in 1998..it went from moderate nino to modeate nina in a month.

I could see the mean being more like 140W, but either is reasonable.

I'm beginning my work on the polar domain, as far as solar, QBO, Atlantic subsurface (with help from Chuck) and ENSO considerations....I should have a more definitive stance by next week.

The sunbeam my cat is sitting in is making her look orange-pink. It's like it's sunset.

Really extreme to see parts of France go +10° F for the first half of summer using the warmest 1991-2020 climate normals. With a +4.2°C deviation from the already warmed 1991-2020 baseline, the tally for the first half of the meteorological summer is eye-opening. The 2026 anomaly forces us to scale up the graph, to the point of literally compressing 2003 (+2.8°C "only"). ➡️From the Center-West to Burgundy, we're seeing unprecedented values of +5 to +6°C. ➡️The rainfall deficit is just as stark, ranging from -30% in the north to -100% in the Var. The Center-West, where the vegetation is already completely scorched, hovers between -60 and -80%. ➡️Over the past month, nearly every day has been spent above the heatwave threshold, with only a 4-day pause at the start of July. ➡️The third heatwave should wrap up this weekend. But in the southwest, temperatures will remain heatwave-level (34 to 38°C) for an indeterminate period. Given the hot air mass south of Europe, we're far from safe from a 4th heatwave later in the summer. France is dry and scorched. After already surpassing 2003 with the hottest day ever observed in France, the year 2026 now exceeds the droughts of 1976 and 2022. The soil moisture index reaches its lowest level ever measured for a July 9. And the situation continues to worsen. A new hairdryer effect is expected in the central west starting Sunday. From the sky, France appears literally burned: parched meadows, defoliation of forests, summer crops in great distress (corn, soy, sunflower), and early winter harvests contribute to this color. As if that weren't enough, we have just broken the NATIONAL RECORD for the hottest night ever observed with 30.6°C in Céret in the Pyrénées-Orientales at the "coolest" point of the morning. Photo from the NAOO-21 / VIIRS satellite (true color).

Yeah I don’t think the Hadley cell will just park at 120W all winter. Kind of like what Snowman is showing in the Hovmoller above, I can see it wobbling 30-50 degrees in the mean.

Was it 2002 when we had the wild smoke from the fires around Montreal(?). That was nuts

Happens. Maybe a little more frequency in recent years, but it’s not anything new. Social media definitely hypes it up more.

I was thinking the same thing. I remember occaisionally having smoke from fires make its way here but not every year.

Very hazy, almost partial eclipse sky over here just north of Syracuse Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Yea, I highly doubt we see as much MC interference as 2023, and while I am not yet convinced that there will be less than 2015, I am certainly open to the idea.

It already is in South America. Chile is getting slammed in the short-medium range models.

I know you cannot be this dense . That doesn’t mean cool and dry . I mean wow

July 15 1980: Straight-line winds of nearly 100 mph cause enormous damage, mainly in Dakota County. 43 million dollars in damage is reported and 100 thousand people lose power. For Wednesday, July 15, 2026 1916 - A dying South Atlantic Coast storm produced torrential rains in the southern Appalachian Mountains. Altapass, NC, was drenched with more than 22 inches of rain, a 24 hour rainfall record for the state. Flooding resulted in considerable damage, particularly to railroads. (David Ludlum) 1954 - The temperature at Balcony Falls, VA, soared to 110 degrees to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1983 - The Big Thompson Creek in Colorado flooded for the second time in seven years, claiming three lives, and filling the town of Estes Park with eight to ten feet of water. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Unseasonably cool weather spread into the south central and eastern U.S. Fifteen cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Houghton Lake, MI, with a reading of 37 degrees. The high temperature for the date of 58 degrees at Flint, MI, was their coolest of record for July. Thunderstorms spawned several tornadoes in Illinois and Indiana, injuring a cow near Donovan, IL. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Twenty-six cities east of the Mississippi River reported record high temperatures for the date. Charleston, WV, established an all-time record high with a reading of 103 degrees, and Chicago, IL, reported a record fifth day of 100 degree heat for the year. A severe thunderstorm moving across Omaha, NE, and the Council Bluffs area of west central Iowa spawned three tornadoes which injured 88 persons, and also produced high winds which injured 18 others. Winds at the Omaha Eppley Airport reached 92 mph. Damage from the storm was estimated at 43 million dollars. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms drenched Kansas City, MO, with 4.16 inches of rain, a record for the date. Two and a half inches of rain deluged the city between Noon and 1 PM. Afternoon thunderstorms in South Carolina deluged Williamstown with six inches of rain in ninety minutes, including four inches in little more than half an hour. (The National Weather Summary)(Storm Data) Observances: 15 Wed National Hot Dog Day 15 Wed National Give Something Away Day 15 Wed National Clean Beauty Day 15 Wed Blackcurrant Day 15 Wed Celebration of the Horse Day 15 Wed Developmental Disability Professionals Day 15 Wed National Be A Dork Day 15 Wed National Gummi Worm Day 15 Wed National I Love Horses Day 15 Wed National Pet Fire Safety Day 15 Wed National Tapioca Pudding Day 15 Wed Orange Chicken Day 15 Wed World Youth Skills Day

I remember a summer trip to visit a large, midwestern city in 1983 as a school age child. The air was so polluted from coal fired industry my eyes would tear after only a few minutes outside. This was certainly a man made phenomenon. If there was wildfire smoke in that era, I don't know how you could tell. I do believe on balance the air is monumentally cleaner today as a baseline, but it's hard to argue that wildfires spawned by lightning strikes are somehow a new thing.

Earlier in the week my forecast high for today was 100F. It's been scaled back to 96F. Wonder if the haze from the wild fires is a factor? 84F/DP 72F

Has the Canada smoke always been “a thing” around these parts? It’s like I never even heard of the phenomenon until a few years ago?

Yea, it's clearly BOSS in the tropics...just need to get that into the mid latitudes, which it ultimately will with any luck.

Smoke is nasty here too. Had to get up very early, and shut the windows. What a rude awakening. Temps in the 70's today tho. Update: Rain just moved in. Hopefully that help some.