All Activity

Already above freezing here. Not expecting anything here today. Maybe a little white rain and a high near 40. One thing that never rug pulls is heat. This upcoming heatwave was nailed by models weeks ago lol

80s are not common before 3/11 there…nevermind mid 80s. But yeah it usually ramps up mid month.

26 / 3 clouds pushing in. Coldest day of the next while today / tomorrow. Warm and wetter and plenty of cloudy days through Saturday. An inch of rain over the next 5 days with Thu/Fri the wettest. Ridge balloons into the east and peak of the warmth between March 8th - March 11th first 60s and 70s since October. By mid month its back towards normal.

We will see well below average temperatures both today and tomorrow before we see about a 10-day period of well above normal temperatures. We turn colder again around the 13th of March. Some southern areas could see some light snow developing this afternoon with snow spreading northbound across the rest of the area after 1am. Expect to see some Winter Weather Advisories issued later for many areas N and W of Philly. Any snow will change to freezing rain and then all rain by no later than about 10am on Tuesday. It could be a slippery commute in spots. For the rest of the week, we warm to well above normal temperatures with solid changes of needed rain for most days with the exception of Friday.

We will see well below average temperatures both today and tomorrow before we see about a 10-day period of well above normal temperatures. We turn colder again around the 13th of March. Some southern areas could see some light snow developing this afternoon with snow spreading northbound across the rest of the area after 1am. Expect to see some Winter Weather Advisories issued later for many areas N and W of Philly. Any snow will change to freezing rain and then all rain by no later than about 10am on Tuesday. It could be a slippery commute in spots. For the rest of the week, we warm to well above normal temperatures with solid changes of needed rain for most days with the exception of Friday.

not a torch; how bout a normal spring; 70s and high southwest winds don't do much for me. and they are always followed by cold damp periods...

33 degrees after near 70 yesterday. screwy weather, typical March.

Temporarily

at the end of each fishing season i have had it; am cursing the regulations, the east winds, the cold fronts, the offshore swells etc. but right now i am itching to get back into things.striper season is open though it is never too good in the spring anymore, and i might give some south jersey perch a whirl.

KIAD will be good to track as snow starts making it's way into the lower atmosphere. SPC shows some scattered FGEN at the 700mb level but better dynamics out west. Which, to be fair, I didn't think this would start so early.

Exactly. It’s like we forgot that this could happen. Then start thinking back to the good ol’ climate days… Recency bias. We were in a persistent cold spot like the one in your stagnant warm backyard pool that just needs to get mixed out or cooked by increasing sun angle

Problem is only 4 days hit 60 and 2 are rain and 1 cloudy lol. This is the extended TWC forecast.

Can’t get out of winter soon enough with energy prices spiking. Nat gas included…

'nough said,

heh..yeah, different discussion.

Exactly. That providence record is a joke. If they beat the real winter season then that’s legit. Other than that, it’s Man made nonsense. Beating their all time amount in one storm…that’s legit. But not this.

LWX is down for hopefully just an hour but if you try and approximate with KDOX band doesn’t seem to be setting up too far north. Guess we’ll see.

Fantastic winter. Hopefully a great finish after the 15th. Torch for a 4 day period that easily could get ruined by any strong NE E SE S wind. But first highly ignored by our CNE crew is some deep winter for them

I think 90% of the people here would be happy with a March torch. I for one am done. Time to get outside and start living again.

DCA: +5.0 NYC: +5.5 BOS: +6.0 ORD: +5.0 ATL: +4.0 IAH: +3.0 DEN: +4.0 PHX: +3.0 SEA: +0.5

Ratio of pages to inches of snow will be 100:1

I mean not uncommon for DCA their Cherrys blossom soon.

Fine print DJF reason I hate Met winter and any Met season record doesn't reflect on the true season

Not ready to buy into an idea of sustained winter return just yet. We might get intermittent cold shots, but on the ensembles it still looks quite brief, and even the long-range GFS/Euro have tempered the cold look for next weekend. A couple days of high 30s spread apart. EPS and GEPS are generally warmer outside the northern plains. GEFS shows a more matriculating cold into the east, but that's at the very end of the run, so the potential length is unknown. +AO and +NAO look persistent. -PNA, as well. MJO into Phase 5 is what I'd call "tempered" or neutral in March, but Phase 6 is straight warm. Magnitude dependent. Seems like a more balanced or oscillating pattern - no full torch or deep winter. Maybe later in the month things move definitively, either way.