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Wow

Good morning BW. Is this anomalous heat over a permafrost area? Could repeated outbreaks like this cause a a more extensive release of methane gas? I remember in my younger days reading about snows in the Dakotas during September. The white blanket, north to south, may now be marching to quite a different drummer. Thank you, Don, Walt,Tip, S19 and many others for your posts. They help to fill my extensive void in the relevant knowledge department. As always ….….

I saw that yesterday around 9am in Marlborough, MA yesterday; hundreds were aimlessly zooming around a fresh-paved work zone of rt. 20/Boston Post Road. I wondered if a nest were disrupted, or they were attracted to the heat and/or smell of morning asphalt It's easy to see with the shadowy morning sun angle

Making a run at futility here with only 0.06" for August. Doesn't look like much more, if any, the rest of the month.

Low of 60. Onward.

Got lucky and got pegged by a rogue downpour early this morning and picked up a quick 0.16".

This board about to be quiet AF let’s just all accept it and enjoy the nice wx lol

Low of 56

A rare epic weather warning was just issued. It runs through late morning. Epic weather conditions are being reported across the entire region.

A mid-September cold front tease

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Southwestern Atlantic (AL90): Satellite images indicate that an area of low pressure has formed about 500 miles south-southeast of Bermuda, and the associated showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization. A tropical depression is expected to form later today or tonight, with further intensification to a tropical storm likely on Sunday while the low moves northward over the southwestern Atlantic. An Air Force Reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system as watches could be still required later today. For additional information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

Yeah we don't need any early cold. So much fun stuff to do in the fall I'd rather have it warm and dry.

Looks like we may finally get AOA normal today. Ready for it.

Hope so, but I think we’re in for more of the same. Hopefully there’s no early freeze up here this September.

The most important factor for our area is how strong the Northern Stream of the Pacific Jet has been since 2018-2019. So this has found ways to overpower what has been favorable teleconnection patterns in the past. This is why we have experienced the lowest 7 year winter snowfall average on record for many spots from Philly to Boston. Last winter featured what would have been considered favorable teleconnections in the past for snow. Just looking at the seasonal 500mb map, you could make the assumption that it could have been a snowy winter from the means. But on the 11 days NYC had their heaviest precipitation of .25 or more the average temperature was 41° degrees and a strong Southeast Ridge. So the storm track was too warm even if the background temperature of 34.8° was much colder. So the only metric I am interested in at this point for next winter is where the storm track sets up. If it continues the Great Lakes cutter, I-78 to I-84 hugger, and suppressed Southern Stream storm tracks, then it won’t matter what kind of poleward extension we get with the ridge near Alaska. This has been the dominant storm track with the record Northern Stream of the Pacific Jet. If we get to December and the storm track is still unfavorable, then we’ll know that it will be another well below average winter for snowfall. Hoping to see some improvement in this department. We will know soon enough by December when we get the early La Niña snowfall indicator which has worked nearly all of the time since the 1990s like it did last winter. Last December was below 4” and the rest of the winter finished well below average again. But with the record mid-latitude warmth we are currently experiencing, it would tend to support the Southeast Ridge and strong PacificJet being a factor again. Don’t mind warm winters as long as the storm tracks that are cold like we got in 15-16, 16-17, and 17-18. But there is very little we can do with a warm storm track.

We pray

Low of 54. Ridgely and Goldsboro mesonet stations recorded lows of 53 and 52 respectively

Septorcher coming it seems

Another summer day.

Low of 56.

June was boring, but the last several weeks have been one of our most interesting summer stretches in years. The recent break has been nice, although it has remained somewhat humid. That is finally over at about 9am this morning when the strong front moves through.

56!

Really comfortable pattern here the rest of the month as the next heatwave will miss well to out north with record mid 90s staying up near the tundra. This should be one of the more extreme late season over the top warm ups we have seen. Unfortunately, it will promote more drought and wildfire activity up in Canada.

Same here, but I think it's drought rather than coolness.