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  2. Not sure, but I wouldn't bank on much more than 1:1 ratios
  3. As usual, model extremes were wrong... not a shutout like AI-GFS had for days, not a 3-day washout like EC / ens had a few days ago... converging towards a 1.5 of 3 days dry: completely dry Saturday (probably copy of today cloudy highs to 60s) worst day Sunday Monday looks dry 2nd half... Only reason I'm scrutinizing is a family event on Charles Saturday evening so thankful it looks dry
  4. I'm more impressed with the NAM 12
  5. So when is this shit gonna start shifting S? Feels like winter
  6. Given the last couple years its been bleak so yeah, no surprise. EC canes dont exist anymore.
  7. Big fan of the 3km NAM. Let's do that.
  8. ENSO subsurface is approaching the warmest ever, below Nino 1+2. El Nino seasonal patterns may follow, except for temps which effected by the -PDO/-ENSO state that is currently strong in the North Pacific.
  9. 15 miles south-east of you... 0.00
  10. got about 0.40" here yesterday, the sky never really opened up like it threatened to... until today, as we have had a couple legitimate downpours in the last hour or two. steady rain now, approaching 1.00" over the last 24 hours
  11. heh...12z CMC transports 570 dm thickness to Pike on Mem Day, with a low going up the St L. That's a low lcl tvs look there.
  12. Saturday'll be a lot like today is ... It's really only Sunday. Monday's unclear. Some guidance suppress the next roll up
  13. My garden and landscaping is rejoicing today. This is the perfect type of rain for veggies, fruits and flowers.
  14. .61” so far today, more incoming
  15. Click on 2nd chart on right at this link: https://s2s.worldclimateservice.com/climatepanel/ It dropped to -1.04, which is equivalent to the NOAA being in the ~-1.75 to -2 range.
  16. Ha, I came here specfically to post that my temp is down to a glorious 53 degrees. I finished with 0.21" of rainfall yesterday and am sitting at 0.19" so far today with rain falling.
  17. Your amateur altered facts and fake math do not change the facts. To just prove it to you yet again - let's simply take the next period of time after all those changes that you think made such an impact. Let's target the modern era from 1970 through 2025. Again clear as it can be that PHL is clearly and statistically warming faster than Chester County both the trend line and the slope prove this as fact. The gap due to PHL UHI continues to widen - just wait to see by 2036 how much further apart these get!
  18. Steady light to sometimes moderate rain ongoing. Very chilly and damp with temperature currently at 54 degrees. Had an overnight low overnight of 50. As of 8am had received .12". Ongoing rains will moisten the soil so that the upcoming weekend rains will be more able to soak in instead of just initially running off. Going to put some fertilizer down tomorrow. Been waiting for some decent rains to apply it. Totals as of 8am this morning. Some places did really well. Click to zoom.
  19. Hopefully we can squeeze out a couple days of the weekend with similar weather as today. I'd take that and run.
  20. Today
  21. I like it. The models certainly agree. My temp is down to 55 as we approach the lunch hour, impressive.
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