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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
First of all, in the mean the WPO was very positive...secondly, the NAO was very positive througout February....thirdly, even during any brief instances during which the WPO and NAO were favorable, the PNA ridge was OFF of the west coast. Sorry, that would work in 1925, either. Thanks for the link! -
Yeah nonsense over later next week. Summer begins and the greatest time of year is upon us.
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Not bad looking for here east of DC. Still nothing impressive. A few showers this morning and hopefully rain tonight.
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Def need one of those some days. Cant have cake anymore because it can’t hold up under the weight of all the candles. It craters
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Thank you!! I’m now at the point where I stop counting and anyone who tries to say my real age is fake news.
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I’ve barely had the stove off. Euro finally starts warming it up after Monday. At least it torches info the following weekend.
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I agree with you that the 500 mb pattern in February was actually -PNA. But it was also -PNA in February 2014 with lower heights in the PNA region when we had around 30” inches of snow that month in NYC. The main difference was that the Southeast Ridge and Pacific Jet weren’t factors back in 2014 like they have become today. That big jet extension east of Japan coupled with a Southeast Ridge keeps the storm tracks through the Great Lakes.
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Thursday? I turned pellet stove on yesterday and this morning
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Happy birthday to @H2O!
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Radar looking mid for DC-north
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I love the smell of wood smoke in the morning. It smells like...victory
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Central PA Spring 2025
Mount Joy Snowman replied to canderson's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
56 when I left the house with no measurable rainfall but some spotty stuff starting to fall as I drove to the train station. -
Heat in my house is still on
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A burnt-out educator decided to play every golf course in the state. That became his new career. Sean Melia is attempting to play all 350 or so courses in Massachusetts, and a growing number of golfers are following along. https://www.bostonglobe.com/2025/05/21/metro/golf-every-course/
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45° outside and 58° inside. Feels more like morch.
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- Today
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Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 414 AM EDT Wed May 21 2025 PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-035>037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066-220815- Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield- Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin- Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan- Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland- Adams-York-Lancaster- 414 AM EDT Wed May 21 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Showers and thunderstorms may produce heavy rain, and bring the risk of small stream and urban flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.
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Argar56 joined the community
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What a change in the monthly outlook from two weeks ago Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 78% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 66.0° (2.8° above normal). That would tie 2025 with 1986 as the 9th warmest May on record. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 53% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.1° (0.1° below normal).
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Yes. He was walking across my garage floor. I think he may have been too soon from emergence to fly.
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Fixed MapsGL not loading completely. API update messed it up.
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
We're not getting that tripole Atlantic SLP pattern that you see in April-May's before hyperactive seasons -- it's actually more opposite, +NAO. -
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Wowww you find this at your house?