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  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    Again, the most positive 7-year ENSO time in history (since 1948) followed the only other time we had 5/6 La Nina years (1970-1976) (ONI) 70-71: Moderate La Nina 71-72: Weak La Nina 72-73: Strong El Nino 73-74: Strong La Nina 74-75: Weak La Nina 75-76: Strong La Nina Only other period on record to have 5/6 La Nina's, until 2020-2026 (RONI):20-21: Moderate La Nina21-22: Moderate La Nina22-23: Moderate La Nina23-24: Moderate El Nino24-25: Moderate La Nina25-26: Weak La NinaENSO tends to even out, historically. Here is what followed the 70-76 streak:76-77: Moderate El Nino77-78: Moderate El Nino78-79: Neutral79-80: Weak El Nino80-81: Neutral81-82: Neutral82-83: Super El Nino
  3. frd
    Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ Issued by National Weather Service New York NY 302 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2026 MDC029-035-201915- /O.CON.KPHI.TO.W.0024.000000T0000Z-260820T1915Z/ Queen Anne`s MD-Kent MD- 302 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2026 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL QUEEN ANNE`S AND CENTRAL KENT COUNTIES... At 301 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Chestertown, or 9 miles north of Centerville, moving east at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Chestertown, Church Hill, Starkey Corner, Morgnec, Old Town, and Kingstown. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3923 7613 3929 7600 3910 7596 3911 7611 TIME...MOT...LOC 1901Z 255DEG 18KT 3918 7607 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN $$ Staarmann
  4. vortex95
    @JACKASS just wants the real deal! No wishcasting, whining, or waffling!
  5. kdxken
    When does this thing abruptly turn south?
  6. 87storms
    Whoever gets these bands further east is gonna love the rainfall rates. Straight up tropical downpours.
  7. vortex95
    I don't think I have ever seen a TOR watch "nested" inside a larger SVR watch. Has that ever occurred before?
  8. AlexD1990
    took em long enough
  9. 87storms
    Yea I spoke too soon. Getting rocked rn. We’re just really good at humidity and storms now.
  10. 87storms
    Yea I thought it was supposed to be further south. Actually just got under a torrential cell here with thunder.
  11. WxUSAF
    Now the TOR watch comes out
  12. IronTy
    Seems like the storms and rain are everywhere but where the actual risk region is?
  13. NEG NAO
    Severe Watch just south of Immediate NYC metro from Middlesex - Somerset Counties and points south...
  14. WxUSAF
    Hrrr has been insistent that the Loudoun-Frederick cluster is the entire show for areas north of DC
  15. Chinook
    By Chestertown MD
  16. weatherwiz
    nice looking supercell with a TDS down in Maryland
  17. NoCORH4L
    I think you'll have a better chance of staying dry on Saturday than SNE at least
  18. 87storms
    Yea this one is yours lol. Raining here, though.
  19. Mrs.J
    Pouring here right now and under that Thunderstorm Warning.
  20. Maestrobjwa
    Nooooo (good for some areas though)
  21. LeesburgWx
    Pouring precip for the past 20 minutes here
  22. winterwx21
    I hope we get at least an inch. We've had almost nothing here since that severe t-storm with the hail 2 weeks ago. The ground is back to being very dry so we could use some heavy rain.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Looks pitiful on the TIAD and TBWI radars.
  24. midatlanticweather
    Did give the Tornado Possible in the warning. Good looking hook at times.
  25. AlexD1990
    and now its warned
  26. vortex95
    That kind of SCP/SIGTOR bulls-eye is excellent for this time of year Mid-Atlantic or NEUS. And despite all the clouds and earlier showers, sfc-based CAPE is high w/ the bulls-eye just SE of the metro and a good gradient N suburbs. Current svr storm to the W ride that gradient (boundary)!
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