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Yep I’m glad the N Gulf finally caught something of a break with this one. Laura, Michael, Ida etc were horrific and broke the pattern of rapidly weakening N Gulf storms as they come in. Of course 2 are dead and hundreds of thousands are suffering with power out and other damage so hopefully things are running again soon.

0.06" here. The guidance has varied so widely for my location I have no idea how much more I'm going to get. Could be nada or could be a couple of inches. RAH has me in the 1 - 1.5" zone which would be much appreciated. Based on persistence the lower end is definitely in play.

Last night was awful. Bad pain and no sleep.

@LibertyBellhas the record for most quotes in one response.

Just started pouring here with gusty winds.

Regardless of strength (I’ve seen Andrew & Michael up close). Unless you have boots on the ground you don’t realize the amount of damage even a storm of this strength can cause. My thoughts are with the many people who are dealing with issues big or small. I can tell you the Emerald Coast got smacked by this. Glass half full thoughts, are the shear and dry air saved us from what could’ve been a monster! .

You are viewing a monthly mean, which is important considering any potential pattern change around that time...but I see some decent ridging out west.

Due to the pressure gradient between Isaias’ remnants and the wedge, along with sig. ongoing rain, together with a secondary astronomical tidal max due to the new moon, the NE winds were long and strong enough to produce moderate coastal flooding in CHS and minor S of there to Ft. Pulaski. 0842 AM COASTAL FLOOD 1 E CHARLESTON 32.78N 79.93W 10/10/2026 CHARLESTON SC OTHER FEDERAL A MAXIMUM TIDE LEVEL OF 7.76 FT MLLW (2.00 FT MHHW) WAS OBSERVED AT THE CHARLESTON HARBOR TIDE GAGE. MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING TYPICALLY BEGINS ALONG THE COASTS OF CHARLESTON AND COLLETON COUNTIES WHEN TIDE LEVELS REACH 7.5 FT MLLW (1.74 FT MHHW) IN THE CHARLESTON HARBOR.

from 4-6 inches in on the NAM To .50-.75 on the GFS LOL

Been pouring for the past hr and wind is ripping!

That what happens when I live on the north side of the mountain in a valley beside the creek.

In my area overnight, we got some beneficial rainfall from rapidly N moving scattered convection. Per Cocorahs, there was ~0.75” in the area. I’ll check my gauge later. Winds were brisk but no big deal as expected (highest gusts low 20s). Sun is peaking through. The sun will eventually lead to sig. instability, which will fuel scattered or bands of tstorms this afternoon, some of which could be severe with a couple of tornadoes possible.

Most models show some strengthening of the storm as it approaches our area

N Gulf hurricanes that come this way sometimes “wake back up” over our area like Ida which caused more deaths here than anywhere but this won’t be one of them. You can already see it’s sheared apart and won’t be a very coherent system here. Probably a general 1-2” rain like most models are showing.

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/50147669/sources-ravens-held-cam-jurgens-physical-trade-eagles Expected to play next week, not this Sunday

Foliage is going fast but the views are still pretty

Yeah so ridiculous. Other models like RGEM, HRRR and GFS have our area closer to 1 inch.

41 here for the low. It uncanny how many times you are two degrees colder than I am. More times actually than I've posted.

Looks like the NW side has become the wettest side.

That band will have to overperform later for us to get the big totals. I'm only at .54 so far.

WB 12Z NBM

What are "swooping hodographs," other than a great name for a rock band according to Dave Barry?