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Sign of very strong LL shear. I've seen it when arriving to the target area on nearly every chase day I've had when I've either seen tornadoes, or there were tornadoes in the vicinity but I missed them due to being dumb. Shame it will likely go to waste for anyone north of I-72 today.
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The low-level clouds turboing by is just absolutely crazy
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another 90F at DCA.
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Summer 2026 Med/Long Range Discussion
BeastFromTheEast replied to Brian D's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Looks like no major heatwaves in the extended for the GLOV area through at least the start of July. I’m feeling like Mother Nature will even things out and we torch pretty hard afterwards. Early July through mid-August will be the prime window to stack up 90s. -
No Weather Hazards For Us
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nws initially had me extremely excited with there talk of an EML surging this far east out ahead of a potent system.. By the next morning, I was pretty sure they'd picked up the wrong pipe. It seemed to me that the NWS was much more bullish, with their forecast than the SPC. The spc definitely, seemed to use more cautious wording in their forecast and I don't believe they ever mentioned anything about an EML. -
Aside from the cells near Springfield (which might be outflow dominant for now, though it seems to be becoming more surfaced based now) the area to watch are there cells here to see if they can remain discrete or semi-discrete as it moves eastward into a loaded environment. If it congeals into a line quickly, it obviously greatly diminishes the strong tornado threat.
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Def had me fooled for a frame or two as well.
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they got duped. most, if not all of that, is contamination.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It's in the billing -
Pouring here right now.
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Need a t warning on that Macon county cell
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
anotherman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You should have used a different finger. -
they might want to do another check on observations (radar, satellite, surface obs), because it is definitely over north of us24.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
When you enter this part of town in Mechanicsburg, they literally have a plaque that says you are entering the homes of the Upper Class. They put it up in 2020 when everybody else was struggling. In the twenty years, i've been working at this home I've never even seen it used. I've been trying to get them to fork me out some money for some upper class lawn care but apparently, a new Maserati comes out every month. -
IWX obviously isn't bailing due to the south trend, mainly because of their thought that we are still in the game south of 30 with the warm front, as you alluded to earlier. From discussions, I got the idea that they aren't very happy with SPC's demoting us to slight, but of course they won't come out and say it, hence their post.
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super el nino banter thread
snowman19 replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
And? Your point? You’re another one of the snow and cold obsessed weenie assholes I’m going to throughly enjoy watching squirm this winter. It’s going to be 7th Heaven trolling you and the others all winter long. A dream come true. Can’t wait to see your tears. Have a beautiful day -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
1986...40th anniversary this year. Remember like yesterday. They came back from a commercial and Geraldo was like, we found a bottle...good night thanks for watching. Anticlimactic in every sense of the word. Drought guy lurking. How about this drought? -
92 stl 60 pia is just so wild to stare at in late June.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
78F/DP 63F Radar looks bleak...couple scattered showers. -
On the SPC surface map its 992mb as its been for 4 hours now, currently in SE MN. The Euro had it at 989mb at this time. It'll deepen more overnight near me to 988 so I'm going from 1005 to 989 in 12 hours which of course I've never seen for June here.
- Today
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Unfortunately unable to chase tomorrow.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
This looks like a classic pike north severe event . I’d head to ORH if I were you -
Kind of a bummer how this played out locally after much of the forecasting had IKK pretty comfortably in the warm sector.
