All Activity
- Past hour
-
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
Typhoon Tip replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
https://phys.org/news/2026-05-hot-years.html It addresses the 'surge' nature in which the ongoing GW recency has been observed. It doesn't specifically attempt to nail down why-for that behavior; altho, it does attempt to implicate a contributing faster warming Arctic, citing less ice and snow and pan-dimensional Albedo as causal ... but that's not in depth enough. The last global surge of import took place during the mysterious lurch of late February thru early May, 2023. Yes ... prior to both the onset of +ENSO, but even so... vastly too soon to be sufficiently lag correlated in the first place. I'm still not fully convinced that the switch from negative to positive mode of the ENSO was causal in the global temperature surge that spring, because of those incongruencies in specific timing - yet I continue to encounter narratives that the El Nino was instrumental. Interesting... Be whatever that may be ... we are in the similar window now, with the expected onset of +ENSO, so it's a testable moment . -
I work weekends that's why
-
Unless I’m getting pasted, I’ll pass on mangled crap. Why can’t this be on a weekday.
-
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Okay, I stand corrected. Colder than I recalled. -
I’d honestly be cheering it on if it was June. But I’ve seen plenty of mid to late May flakes the past couple of decades…granted this would be the latest.
-
You aren't married are you. Wives tend not to be so fond of this idea.
-
Pretty sure this is the first time in 7 or 8 days that any ray of sunshine has hit my house. (We haven't had as much rain as many, but more overcast)
-
2.46" for the 'event' and sitting at 3.90" for the month here. Partly cloudy skies with some sun this morning! AC just kicked on at 8:15 am, but I'll attribute that to the warm kitchen as wife and sister are making biscuits and gravy for breakfast for the 8 folks here visiting.
-
Nearly 5” the last 8 days. Next 10 days look dry so hopefully after that the pattern provides regular rain.
-
ymmv but i'd tear that shit up and plant native prairie plants
-
If we can manage heavier rates.. might be a few cat paws mixed in.. would be cool to see anyways
-
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think the cooler February reference was in regard to long ranger seasonal models like the CanSIPS and EPS monthly which had the cooler stock February El Niño composite for the Mid-Atlantic. -
Sprinkle fest from central PG over to the coast. You can hardly tell it rained here. Dry lakes, and creeks are almost dry again. 30 miles nw got over 4". Here only like 1.60".
-
-
-
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 60 with .13" of rain, marking nine straight days I've recorded measurable precip, totaling 2.46". That streak ends today as an unimpeachably beautiful stretch of weather settles upon us. Onward. -
The way the low sort of pinwheels back south adds a bit of momentum. What a Saturday lol.
-
Event totals. I didn't extend over to DE, but they really got screwed with less than an inch in the southern part of the state. DCA ended up with less than 2" and will end up with a negative departure on the month.
-
Beautiful morning
-
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
donsutherland1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Some exceptional temperatures are being reached in parts of France today. National highs of 38.0°C or above in May: Villefranche: 40.0°C (104.0°F), May 29, 1947 Fitou: 38.4°C (101.1°F), May 28, 2026 (through 1 pm) Argeliers: 38.1°C (100.6°F), May 28, 2026 (through 1 pm) Lacanau: 38.0°C (100.4°F), May 19, 1958 Pissos: 38.0°C (100.4°F), May 27, 2005 Salindres: 38.0°C (100.4°F), May 29, 1947 -
Yeah was thinking that as well. The GFS is close to 60 knots at the top of the mixed layer at the coast.
-
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It wasn't supposed to be as warm as it was, which is the point. It was supposed to be mild, though. Yea, I def. fell into that trap to a degree.......it's tough to wipe the slate clean an not try to overcompensate for the previous effort's errors. Hey, least we know I don't have unilateral cold bias now. haha I def. thought the polar domain would prevent a 1972 redux that season, but it didn't work out. The other mistake I made was misinterpreting the competing cool ENSO influence as some sort of Modoki influence. - Today
-
I've decided to give up on any gardening other than containers this year. This extreme drought is too much with almost a complete shutout for April and only 2.2 total for May. I expect Jun-Aug will be just as bad. Hopefully we get a wetter fall/winter and I will plan some garden beds for next spring. As for the lawn, I might try something in September if the super-drought is ending.
