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Around 8pm this evening looking N from the N side of the Beltway, I could see robust ACCAS, almost MDT CU. So there is your elevated instability in place. RRFS MPAS suggest a few cells may form in the DC area the next few hrs (DCA already reporting LTGIC NE), and we have those storms in the far nrn Delmarva w/ a distinct OFB. The EIR sat loop is impressive. Look at the backbuilding and sharp cloud temp gradient in far NE MD. NW flow is neat! hanimate.mp4
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
soadforecasterx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Over an inch if rain here in west grove. Lightning here is insane as well. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Loads of lightning headed this way. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
KamuSnow replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Wound up with 0.65" of rain from this storm. It did cool things off a few degrees as well, thankfully! -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
This may be some of the most apocalyptic lightning I've ever seen. The amount of cloud to ground lightning and cloud to cloud lightning is insane. Non-stop flashing and loud cracks. Unbelievable. -
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
A couple of big bangs of thunder a breeze maybe 15 mph and picked up a whopping 0.10" here in Media. It almost looked like the radar did not match what was happening at the surface here. The lightning around our area was impressive from the surrounding areas but that here was only thing really noteworthy with these storms. Before the storms came 86f humidity 75% dew point was 74f felt like 94f Now: 74f humidity 89% dew point 71 serious waste of calm conditions and just still latent heat here, but I am sure that was dished out in other areas. The ring of fire. -
I’ll talk with John and the otber admins about space. There’s a lot of members here to spread the space around.
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Looks like a perfect labor day weekend
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5 Super east-based Nino's on record since 1948 (ONI) [72-73, 82-83, 97-98, 15-16, 23-24] had the following ENSO +1-2 years after (RONI): 9 La Nina's 1 ENSO Neutral 0 El Nino +1 year: 5 La Nina's 0 ENSO Neutral 0 El Nino +2 year: 4 La Nina's 1 ENSO Neutral 0 El Nino
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Yes. I never had an issue at 33andrain, WXSPHERE, or WXdisco. I will try another method. Screenshot is just fast for me...no biggie. Now I know
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
KamuSnow replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Wow to the light show with this storm! Just had a couple of close ones and elected to come inside. Impressive! -
I have never seen this type of real-time analysis map be +1.0 degrees C
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Ah, okay...that makes sense. I agree with that. -
-AO/+NAO. There is like 90% corrlation between nao and ao, mostly over Greenland. The actual 60-90N Im calling AO but officially it's 90% correlated to NAO domain, further SE.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
KamuSnow replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
So that implies +AO/-NAO? I'll bet against that- -
Since 2012 May-Sept SLP 60-90N is reversing 60-90N H5 for the Winter. A lot of that raw +correlation is NAO-related.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
dendrite replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
That’s wild -
Thanks, Don. Wow, this isn’t even close to the cold JB showed though it was unlabeled. Is he by chance using normals from the Eocene epoch?
