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  2. weatherwiz
    Violence Thursday on the 18z NAM.
  3. BlizzardNole
    I see what you did there! Our soil is definitely the most dire
  4. John1122
    Today's rain was a total dud here. It rained west of here all day and then it moved over my area finally and was a 20 minute light shower.
  5. CAPE
    Microclimates due to terrain effects, mostly in the western areas(orographic lift/rain shadow) largely determine winners and losers. In areas at lower elevations it is random in a lot of cases, but there are localized boundaries that can help trigger storms due to bay/sea breezes enhancing lift in some cases. When a legit cold front runs into a warm, unstable airmass the chances for more widespread coverage of storms is increased, but there will still be locales that maximize more than others. Again over time, that seems to even out. A linear/elongated line of storms(QLCS) probably gives the best chance for all in the affected area to be impacted in a similar way.
  6. JACKASS
    Still can’t get 3 days without any rain!
  7. FPizz
    I'm pretty sure we will all pull through just fine...
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    Pretty strong Solar Max 2-3 years ago. We are hitting this +ENSO +time wrt Solar Cycle. Based on the far extent of the aurora borealis and now how strong this El Nino is getting, it is possible that the Solar Max as reported was underestimated (just an unsubstantiated theory).
  9. Stormchaserchuck1
    I think it's just catching up to the -ENSO state we have held since 1998. ENSO tends to balance, historically. The thing with global temperature is that it would have actually been going higher if we had an equal number of + an - ENSO events over the last 28 years!
  10. SnoSki14
    It's not clicking with people who don't live in reality
  11. SnoSki14
    Nino pattern finally kicking in
  12. SnoSki14
    My region is forecast to get down to 50F tonight so 40s are in the cards. Even with all this heat we still manage to see some pretty cool readings.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Calvert County soils appear to be the direst west of the Bay. 0.01" water content in Lusby!
  14. weatherwiz
    Well I guess its cooler if you're going to compare 86 versus 93 lol.
  15. Today
  16. OrdIowPitMsp
    Meager 0.04” is all we could muster in Minneapolis. Almost comical how all this precipitation keeps missing us. At least there is active wx in the region to look at.
  17. kdxken
    At least the folks whining about needing more rain will get their wish.
  18. Typhoon Tip
    Looks cooler to me ... It may be transient but it's hard to ignore or gaslight a -2 SD seasonal regression spv rollin through the Lakes. It may be overselling in the runs and destined to normalize some... okay, but just as is? that's definitely colder.
  19. kdxken
    Summer's over.
  20. mjwise
    I never start threads but I thought there should be one for this with a Day 3 enhanced and Day 4 30% severe delineation already posted. Smarter people can discuss.
  21. Torch Tiger
    Yeah it'll be cooler than high 80's-90's. Not shocking
  22. dendrite
    Def cooler next week.
  23. snowman19
    @bluewave @donsutherland1 @forkyfork @LakePaste25 The projected median (peak) of +3.0C RONI come November would be an all-time record on that index. The projected median (peak) of +3.4C traditional ONI, also come November, would be an all-time record as well
  24. ravensrule
    I think it may be time to move for your mental health.
  25. weatherwiz
    I didn't look at the AI's. I have not been particularly impressed with them lately. That seems extremely overstated to me
  26. Damage In Tolland
    Gotta settle diwn on your colder than normal forecast next week. It won’t be 90’s and June but that cool will struggle to make it over the Apps. Probably 80’s
  27. Birds~69
    Rather have another memorial day weather patter kick in but this isn't too shabby... 77F/DP 55F
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