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Hit -1 yesterday morning so it's good to get that out of the way for this Winter. I just got back from a long journey into the Main Forum. Such an odd place. Everyone seems to reference where they live as the only place that exists in current setups and past winters. It's good to be home.

Surface about the same so far thru 66. Going just switch to that since those panels come in quicker

on 10:1 as well

Hey man - I'm really sorry.. I'm just a little frustrated because my family disowned me after I used my dad's credit card to DoorDash a yardstick from Ace hardware. Now all I'm left with is spending most of my day on the forum trying to make funny posts using sexual innuendo. In all seriousness (which is rare from me), congrats on getting into UVA and all the best

And we still got double digits

heh, 10:1 too… wow

Definitely some warm air issues at the coast

Looks fairly consistent to me

Very similar to UKie. Probably 13-14 with ratios. It seems we have reached max tonight. Not sure it could have gone better. Now gotta hold this for 3 days.

Yeah EC AIFS followed same pattern as GFS... 0z and 12z similar, 18z outlier 0z and 12z better phase, coastal redevelopment, big hit SNE especially east

Euro AI has ticked north yet again. the 0z op run may be something special

I could be very wrong, but I don’t think that’s how the AI models work.

Those temps at onset on the AI are pretty mouthwatering. Around 10 degrees out this way.

Heights a hair higher out in front.baja sw in about the same position

when I was at UMD for grad school we'd have weekly department meetings and sometimes Louis Uccellini - or as I call him - Louis Uccellini - would show up. I gave a research update one time and he told me, and I quote, "good job"

How is this compared to the previous run or two?

It’s got that new new data. .

Look at the arctic high, this is going to be a big time CAD event.

AI took primary to WV smh...so much for being the rock solid model of consistency

00z ECMWF AI Ensemble ended up a bit farther north with snow precip max in NW AR.

Euro AI AIFS

UKIE looks about the same as previous runs on the 10:1 maps although there is now a much cleaner cut on the northern edge of the 6” snows.

Well that sucked real bad driving home from the Celtics. I expected mood flakes and got a full blown storm. About 3” on the driveway.

euro 00z ai aifs yotal QPF storm

Just caught up and took a moment for myself after that GFS run.. Ukie looks huge, as well. Let’s bring it home with the euro