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  2. I count approx 90 wind reports for New England today. Not something CoastalWx can just go "MEH!" LOL. Looks like we have at least one spinner. I was thinking 1-2 spinners for the event all along. As WxWiz said, event about as expected. Limited CGs makes sense given the low CAPE. Funny, almost like a cool season event b/c of the high shear/low CAPE and limited LTG! So a victory for the models and pattern recognition well in advance.
  3. You can definately see the environmental wind shear from the cloud motions at different levels!
  4. That looks suspicious. Anytime you see trees sheared/snapped off mid-way like that, that suggests PSBL SPINNER!
  5. Max I see so far is 2.76" Kingfield ME. Meso models showed the NNE R+ well. Mt. Mansfield 2.08"
  6. That S+ event was truly exceptional! Even I was impressed! It takes a lot to impress me big for wx events these days. When you study wx history and records a lot, that tends to do that.
  7. Well, CoastalWx had a spinner in Weymouth a few years ago, and he is still EEYORE! How many of us can claim we had a spinner in New England history in their hometown, given how many cities/towns there are? My claim to fame is an F2 in late Oct 1925 in Woburn - the strongest spinner for so late in the season in New England.
  8. If the 30C isotherm gets all the way to 140W (like the Copernicus is forecasting to happen by November), you aren’t going to have to worry about it. I think these big WWBs/DWKWs cause that entire WPAC/Indo warm pool to discharge and slosh east this time. This event isn’t playing
  9. Yes it is! For comparison, the July 10, 1989 "WxWiz PT event" (most spinners on record in one day in New England (9) and largest NEUS outbreak for spinners adding in ern NY/LI and nrn NJ (17), the sfc low that tracked across srn Quebec and nrn ME deepened "only" from 1000 to 998 mb during the event. However, this event had an excellent EML, and no upstream convection the day before, so EML pure!
  10. Have faith, it’s coming tonight
  11. Seems like Woodstock, VT saw a legit EF1 or EF2 tornado based on the photos and drone images. Enough to peel some roofing off and level trees.
  12. Alaskas beauty was incredible. Highly recommend a visit. They had a very harsh winter so there was still lots of snow left on the higher mountains and I got to enjoy multiple feet drifts haha. Also saw a massive glacier up close. What a way to run summer.
  13. Today
  14. I have had Zero measurable rain in Garner today A few hours ago we had gusts and the Big raindrops 3 feet part for 30 seconds It did drop the temp about 13-14 degrees
  15. Now that's stupid. What, now cancel everything for a slight risk of svr? We can't be "held hostage" by the wx for the mere fact there is risk out there! I am reminded of the 2009-10 winter when DCA got slammed and CoastalWx was shutout. The hype was SO out of control, locations in the Northeast such as BUF, that were not going to see a single flake of snow, they cancelled things b/c of the crazy storm hype. I recall OCMs from YYZ at an AMS conference in 2012 stating the stupid hype from the U.S. stations bleed into Canada, and that was messing things up in Toronto! This is one reason why I slam the MSM so much, this constant hype and installing fear is counterproductive for society. There are real social and economic costs/losses b/c of being put in a state of alert all the time. Every inclement wx is treated as "so dangerous." The ordinary gets turned into the extraordinary needlessly. How did society ever survive and progress back in the day before all this nonsense? Society is being turned into a bunch of softies, unable to handle physically or psychologically any risk/hazard.
  16. I was hoping for a little more but I'm starting to think I am the rain shield. So far .18" this evening. Better than the shut out. Radar looks to be quieting down now. One more last chance of maybe a heavier shower with that cluster near asheboro. looks good up I 85 towards the state line though.
  17. Over 3 inches has fallen here since 3 PM.
  18. I will be surprised if that blob of rain goes higher than I64.
  19. Yes, we can see the shortcomings in AI in simple daily tasks , so how can we possibly expect it to handle complex problems/issues? There will be a societal/business self-realization soon enough once the hype and novelty of AI wears off. We will eventually figure out what works well and what does not for AI, and I think that will benefit society overall.
  20. So much for everyone saying we can't have Super Nino's so close together. That's what I want to stress with a lot of this ENSO stuff, historical data isn't extensive and different periods of time have different conditions that are not universal constants.
  21. 54 and rain at 0z on the 22nd of June would be something.
  22. I'm just tired of the Debbie Downer attitude from CoastalWx. Might as well call him EEYORE!
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