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October 2026 OBS
WinstonSalemArlington replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
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Lamar needs to play this week. His ankle sprain is mild. I doubt Mahomes would have missed any time. He needs to be willing to play less than 100%. Get yo ass out there and practice, and play on gameday. Stop with the contract BS. You will get paid. Go effing play.
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October 2026 OBS
WinstonSalemArlington replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
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N. Pacific low is not necessarily bad. Our biggest snowstorms come from that composite. Give me +PDO/Super east-based Nino 50 times and I bet it will be good 30 times vs recent averages. The problem is -PDO is completely overwhelming the N. Pacific pattern right now. You see this on models for the next 15 days.
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Gotta wonder what they're gonna do with him. The misses from 40-49 are consistent enough to wonder if it's something mechanical as opposed to simply choking under pressure. If mechanical maybe it's fixable? But we can't keep doing this all season.
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It was stunning this morning when I walked the dog. Totally still and silent other than the leaves hitting the ground
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2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
franklin NCwx replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Had a high of 66 and a low of 30. Heading to Florida early AM for a week. Going to miss a perfect October week here! -
Quite a few frosted roofs in the neighborhood this morning; I was surprised. My low 37 on a DP of 31. Burning first fire now. (Happy wife)
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This is the kind of validation I need more of in my life lol
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To be fair to the other guys I might be as big a “thunder weenie” as they are lol
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23.2F here this morning.
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Beautiful, but dry wx. Highs in the low-mid 60's the last couple days. Lows in the 40's.
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Bottomed out at 30.0 even here. First freeze will officially be October 17 as midnight temp was 32.2.
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This morning was the coolest morning so far this season. Parts of the regiono experienced freezes and frost. Lows included: AlbanY: 29° Allentown: 31° Atlantic City: 36° Binghamton: 29° Boston: 37° Bridgeport: 38° Danbury: 29° Hartford: 28° Islip: 40° New York City: 41° Newark: 38° Philadelphia: 41° Poughkeepsie: 28° Providence: 31° Trenton: 36° Westhampton: 42° White Plains: 36° Temperatures will begin to moderate starting tomorrow. Most of this week will see highs in the lower 60s. A strong storm will stay too offshore to bring rain to the region this week. Some elevated high tides are possible. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.3°C for the week centered around October 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.73°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.03°C. ENSO Region 3.4 has set a new all-time record. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The SOI was -32.94 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.460 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 63% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.6° (0.7° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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Low of 36
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Was 61 today and already down to 56.
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We had first flakes yesterday and then a low of 24 this am. IMG_7877.mov
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Week ahead is basically a chamber of commerce autumn spectacular.
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About 20 or 25 years back I went to the NE Weather Conference and one of the presenters mentioned that there is no such thing as a thundershower, just thunderstorms. My reaction then as it is today is that is a Thundershower is a thunderstorm that you can only hear but hits the next town over. A thunderstorm hits you. Not scientific but it is how I differentiated them.
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2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Just a beautiful day with a high of 62 and back down to 57 degrees currently. Some may drop lower than last night I think. -
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