1689 replies to this topic

[forkyfork]

Big bust potential friday

[TheTrials]

Big bust potential friday

high or low

[Brian5671]

Either way trials...front looks to be right on NYC--areas SW could be 70 while we are 50.....if the front is 20 miles off then whole different ballgame for alot of folks...
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Ask the folks in Philly how the forecast of 70 is working out today

[earthlight]

The visible satellite loops aren't overly encouraging right now...but the NAM has been pretty consistently indicating that the low clouds will burn off, at least away from the immediate shores, by around 2-3pm today. We'll see if it is correct.

[Snow88]

Nothing like 43 and cloudy after a 70 degree day.

[jm1220]

Marine layer looks awfully resilient on satellite. to days like these.

[forkyfork]

the edges of the cloud bank are eroding... most of us will have sun by 2 pm

[Weathergun]

These are 2m temps the 12z 4km NAM has tomorrow at 5pm. Many of us, will probably see our highs, late in the day.

 12zNAMtemp39.gif   121.85K   1 downloads

[pazzo83]

the edges of the cloud bank are eroding... most of us will have sun by 2 pm

Yea starting to get a little brighter here in midtown. Hopefully we hit 60.

[tornadojay]

GFS is showing 60's tomorrow. It is showing winds shifting from onshore to offshore tomorrow around mid-day

[Isotherm]

55 and sunny in Villanova. Low cloud deck this morning has burned off. Too bad, I was hoping for a nice overcast day. Mid 40s back home in Monmouth.

[psv88]

Its cold out.

[jm1220]

Sun looks like it's trying to fight through the cloud deck here in Midtown.

[Allsnow]

Still cloudy and cool here

[CooL]

Sun is out here. You can see the clearing going on in north jersey

[TheTrials]

what happened to my 2pm sun i was promised?

[jetski09]

No sun and chilly, especially compared to yesterday, only 47 compared to 70 yesterday.

[NYCSuburbs]

Sun is out here. You can see the clearing going on in north jersey

There's been some clearing here over the last hour or little more, the sun is showing up at times but it's still leaning towards only occasional breaks in the cloud cover.

[TheTrials]

I doubt anyone outside of NW Jersey is seeing any real sun right now.

BUST

[Snowlover76]

Better day today than yesterday.

[Snowlover76]

its too cold. This is ruining our leaf out. Hopefully we recover over the weekend.

How is it too cold out?

This is still 5-10 degrees above normal.

[Weathergun]

I've had some breaks of sunshine, in last half-hour or so. But it's still mostly cloudy here.

[TheTrials]

How is it too cold out?

This is still 5-10 degrees above normal.

because I said so, that's why.

[tornadojay]

I've got a very dim sunshine here, but sunshine, nonetheless.. It's definitely a lot brighter.. Temp is above 50 here now.

[Snowlover76]

because I said so, that's why.

Yes sir.

[Cfa]

How is it too cold out?

This is still 5-10 degrees above normal.

Wow I keep forgetting it's mid March, not literally but weather wise. It's still a little cold though.

Still cloudy here in Southeast Queens, the sunflowers would normally be leaning towards the sun at this time of day but there's no sun to lean towards today....

[tornadojay]

Next week, it's possible we could go at least 4-5 straight days with the temperature not once even dropping below the average high temperature. That'd be pretty impressive.

[TheTrials]

if we had wall to wall sun today, we would def. have seen leaf out on 90% of trees by next Wednesday, today cost us. Oh well.

[Snowlover76]

if we had wall to wall sun today, we would def. have seen leaf out on 90% of trees by next Wednesday, today cost us. Oh well.

LOL, I don't think we will see any full foliage until the first week of april, and that is at the earliest.

[Allsnow]

We are 3 hours past 2pm.....

[TheTrials]

We are 3 hours past 2pm.....

it's a huge bust, maybe 2% of the nyc viewing forum so sun today,. real sun that is.

[NYCSuburbs]

The 12z ECM joins the CMC in backing away from most of the big warmth for next week with that cutoff right over the area. If that happens, we'd spend almost every day (except Friday taking the run verbatim, but tomorrow's temps could go either way) from today until next Wednesday stuck in the 50s to low 60s with occasional clouds and some showers while even New England surges into the 70s. Perhaps it could be exaggerating the scenario a little, but it's definitely possible that the big warmth is only limited for a day or two at most, with the peak of the warmth focused over the central US with some of it spreading north of NYC before getting here. The models are still going to have issues handling the smaller details in the pattern next week as they typically do, but the high pressure and the ridge aren't in favorable positions, noticeably less than the ideal torch set up, which makes the very warm models less likely to verify in my opinion while noticeably increasing the probability of some cutoff or BDCF limiting the warmth for a good part of the time frame. The 4+ day 70+ degree spell as still shown on the GFS is not out of the possibilities, but in the scenario where the cutoff low is stronger like the ECM shows, NYC could fail to reach 70 degrees until next Wednesday or even Thursday, even if there's still a 1-2 day period of highs in the mid-upper 70s once the warmth arrives.

12z ECM for Wednesday, showing the cutoff stuck south of the area:

 f144.gif   95.04K   0 downloads

[uncle W]

cloudy still...47 degrees...

[Snowlover76]

cloudy still...47 degrees...

lets keep it that way.

[Snowlover76]

I am now down to 43.2 degrees.

I wonder if I will be able to get down to the upper 30's tonight?