BDR Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Unreadable How's this? I'm hopeful that a NW trend kicks in and we get another foot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 This thread has gotten absolutely unreadable. It's worse than any mid atl thread ever has been. sometimes I think you get more satisfaction out of what is forecasted versus what actually falls. you'd be happy as long as people called for your 6-12" even if it didn't verify. I'll hand it to you...your forecast often pan out better than people give you credit for...but I don't think this will be one of those times it pans out. although I do agree people shouldn't be all bent out of shape over a light 2-4" event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 It snowed in ct today? Lowest temp I see on the sne roundup is 35? nah...just busting balls as the Rev called for 1-2" region wide today in the other thread early this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 thats WCVB? i get the RI news channels not familiar with BOS channels, I was just on NWS Taunton's site and there isn't even a HWO out right now. somthings not right here WCVB is ch 5 and they're going for 5-9 and 4-8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 sometimes I think you get more satisfaction out of what is forecasted versus what actually falls. you'd be happy as long as people called for your 6-12" even if it didn't verify. I'll hand it to you...your forecast often pan out better than people give you credit for...but I don't think this will be one of those times it pans out. although I do agree people shouldn't be all bent out of shape over a light 2-4" event. hopefully this is a deal where models don't catch on till tommorrow lol. as messenger said....uh let wait till the sw that makes up the base of this trough get out the rockies....ya ...that sounds good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I had rain...as did most of CT Bochard on channel 7 has 6+ Friday for all of cape cod, se MA, most of ri, just south of keV down into s central ct. Basically about from Quincy to southwest ct 6+...saying ten tops. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freedom Rider Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 thats WCVB? i get the RI news channels not familiar with BOS channels, I was just on NWS Taunton's site and there isn't even a HWO out right now. somthings not right here. WBZ WCVB had 4-8" if I remember correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 hopefully this is a deal where models don't catch on till tommorrow lol. as messenger said....uh let wait till the sw that makes up the base of this trough get out the rockies....ya ...that sounds good to me. The northern disturbance was basically over the NW Territory on the 12Z runs, that might be too far north...it sure was for the 12/26 event where it seemed the models were north fully latched onto it til it neared the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 WCVB is ch 5 and they're going for 5-9 and 4-8. I'd gladly take that, but what models have this solution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I'd gladly take that, but what models have this solution? Who knows? The 0z runs should have a better handle on both systems. Kind of surprised at how much snow the Boston mets are forecasting. Bouchard is talking about ocean effect too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Who knows?The 0z runs should have a better handle on both systems. Kind of surprised at how much snow the Boston mets are forecasting. Bouchard is talking about ocean effect too? Im surprised too, Im wondering if Im missing something Bouchard says this too Friday: Snow is likely through the morning and early afternoon. How much is still in question as the models are split 50/50. Some say nearly a foot, others say just a few inches. I'd say for now we'll call it a chance of 6" of snow Friday morning/early afternoon. Highs in the mid 20s so it's a light, fluffy snow. Ive been away all day so Im not sure where hes getting this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 It snowed in ct today? Lowest temp I see on the sne roundup is 35? Oh come on, temps? It snowed...it didn't stick, but it snowed Everyone keeps looking at each run and throwing it aside when it shows, as nearly every one before it has, a 2-5 or 3-6 event. I don't get it. That is likely what it is. Right now it is time to hope for those high ratios to get the higher range of the totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Is that Channel 5 graphic from the mid-day shift with Mike Wankum? Harvey's web forecast that he did an hour ago didn't show a graphic but he said 3-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Oh come on, temps? It snowed...it didn't stick, but it snowed Everyone keeps looking at each run and throwing it aside when it shows, as nearly every one before it has, a 2-5 or 3-6 event. I don't get it. That is likely what it is. Right now it is time to hope for those high ratios to get the higher range of the totals. Ultra low ratio snows! Every Boston met has a moderate regionwide snow event Friday. 5/9 or 6/10 is the common theme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I'd gladly take that, but what models have this solution? The good ones tend to look past the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Is that Channel 5 graphic from the mid-day shift with Mike Wankum? Harvey's web forecast that he did an hour ago didn't show a graphic but he said 3-6. Not sure I just got home and thats what's on their web site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Ultra low ratio snows! Every Boston met has a moderate regionwide snow event Friday. 5/9 or 6/10 is the common theme. Indeed it almost made the rain more painful as it transitioned to even 100% snow for a time! Ugh. That is unbelievable. I'm catching up here and seeing some graphics that look like they were done by weenies. They thinking it comes in close, we get mega ratios, it slows, what? Maybe all of the above? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwoman Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 It snowed in ct today? Lowest temp I see on the sne roundup is 35? We had a burst of moderate snow on and off after rain here in Monroe for about 2 hours....nothing accumilated given the temp was 34! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 WCVB is ch 5 and they're going for 5-9 and 4-8. That map is old. Harvey is on tonight and is calling for 2-5 above the pike and 3-7 below it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Ultra low ratio snows! Every Boston met has a moderate regionwide snow event Friday. 5/9 or 6/10 is the common theme. Common theme during the noon broadcast, but my guess is everyone has downgraded at 5pm except Pete Bouchard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 It snowed in ct today? Lowest temp I see on the sne roundup is 35? Nothing more than a bit of snow/ rain mixing for a brief while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Upton from a couple hours ago - interesting how they don't seem to love the ratios, though playing it safe there is likely the best course: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Tweet from Noyes Understanding that uncertainty, the weather pattern favors a 6"+ snowfall for all of Southern half New England Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Even Matt Noyes from Necn is saying with this set up it favors a widespread plowable snowfall for all of New England. ? he has the low tracking right near cape cod?? He is a very good met maybe he is on to something. not looking at models. may be using experience? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Indeed it almost made the rain more painful as it transitioned to even 100% snow for a time! Ugh. That is unbelievable. I'm catching up here and seeing some graphics that look like they were done by weenies. They thinking it comes in close, we get mega ratios, it slows, what? Maybe all of the above? Beats me, doesnt matter much either way until post 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Tweet from Noyes Understanding that uncertainty, the weather pattern favors a 6"+ snowfall for all of Southern half New England Friday. BASED ON A CONSENSUS QPF AND EXPECTED TEMPERATURES...WE CAME UP WITHAMOUNTS IN THE 3-5 INCH RANGE EXCEPT FOR A BAND OF POTENTIAL 6 INCH AMOUNTS IN PARTS OF CT-RI-SOUTHEAST MASS. WE ELECTED TO NOT ISSUE A WATCH AT THIS TIME. WHILE OUR AMOUNTS ARE BORDERLINE AND WOULD JUSTIFY AN EVENTUAL WARNING...THEY ARE TRENDING LESS FROM AMOUNTS GENERATED FOR THIS STORM YESTERDAY AND ANY FURTHER DRIFT TOWARD LESS WOULD KEEP THE AREA BELOW THE 6 INCH WARNING CRITERIA. 6-12" region wide Kev. La, la lock it up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 6-12" region wide Kev. La, la lock it up! We'll see Bobarino won't we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 That WSI-WRF simulated model used by NECN and WBZ has the rain/snow line getting up to Foxboro to Hingham on its most recent update <BR><BR>Looks pretty impressive for central New England southward (and DE ME) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 That WSI-WRF simulated model used by NECN and WBZ has the rain/snow line getting up to Foxboro to Hingham on its most recent update <BR><BR>Looks pretty impressive for central New England southward (and DE ME) I'm guessing it's the in house models driving some of the forecast. Not one of the resident mets here has felt anything like those amounts are likely ATM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I don't think any "NW trend" has anything to do with us receiving more snowfall, this is a very progressive system, much more progressive than any other system we have seen this year, precip is only going to be falling in a 5-8 hr span. This system is not strong enough to produce lift good enough to generate 2''+ per hour totals. At the height of the heaviest snowfall were probably looking at 1''/HR rates...maybe 1.5''/HR. This is a good 2-4/3-6'' type deal with potentially isolated higher amounts across eastern sections of MA. Forget what "trends" occurred with other systems, this system is nothing similar to any of those, were not even seeing this thing close off anywhere, were pretty close to the event, were not going to all of a sudden see models start closing off this system at 850 and 700. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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