DomNH Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 This run is a bit N of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Well, The good news is the 18z gfs is a little kinder to the NNE crew, Low track looks similar to the ensembles..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Looks like right over the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 This run is a bit N of 12z. I think it's just faster with the timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Looks a bit more robust NW than the 12z run...so def good for those who have been a bit on the north and northwest fringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I think it's just faster with the timing It is, but it looks maybe 20 miles further north as well. To me anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Definitely more robust...good trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Appears to make it to a slightly higher latitude before the east scoot as well, so that's an improvement. Need it to tuck closer for optimal crushing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 It is, but it looks maybe 20 miles further north as well. To me anyway. Yeah agreed. It takes more of a NE trajectory once on the benchmark as opposed to ENE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Appears to make it to a slightly higher latitude before the east scoot as well, so that's an improvement. Need it to tuck closer for optimal crushing. Tick, tick, Precip was not all that impressive on SV... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Yeah agreed. It takes more of a NE trajectory once on the benchmark as opposed to ENE Went towards the ensembles in that regard, hopefully it'll continue the trend at 00z. Can't wait for the new ensembles now. EDIT: General 6-12'' region wide seems like the best call as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Looking forward to the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrokenASOS Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Well, The good news is the 18z gfs is a little kinder to the NNE crew, Low track looks similar to the ensembles..... Still going to be a close call though for the Midcoast though. This UL trough is just so progressive and we never get that nice slight turn northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Still going to be a close call though for the Midcoast though. This UL trough is just so progressive and we never get that nice slight turn northward. Hi, where are you located? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Yeah agreed. It takes more of a NE trajectory once on the benchmark as opposed to ENE The 500 is faster - quite a bit. 1st is old, 2nd is new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The 500 is faster - quite a bit. 1st is old, 2nd is new. Bad thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrokenASOS Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Hi, where are you located? Right in Portland, ME. I guess I should change the KGYX eh? I got excited for this storm (probably unrightfully so) after the NOGAPS run a few days ago, and then seeing the Euro ensembles fall into line, but it just looks like I miss the best forcing from this thing as it passes to my southeast. I'm still holding out for some plowable snow though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Bad thing? Only if it continues! The GFS timing - it just made a pretty huge shfit v 12z. Doesn't mean anything other than there is still instability even in this easier pattern. Note the little lobe of vorticity north of us jumped a few hundred miles again too.... We'll see tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Only if it continues! The GFS timing - it just made a pretty huge shfit v 12z. Doesn't mean anything other than there is still instability even in this easier pattern. Note the little lobe of vorticity north of us jumped a few hundred miles again too.... We'll see tonight. Got it. Definitely some big changes from 18z vs. 12z. The 00z suite tonight should be very interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Bad thing? Its stronger at H5...thats why it extends things a little further NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Right in Portland, ME. I guess I should change the KGYX eh? I got excited for this storm (probably unrightfully so) after the NOGAPS run a few days ago, and then seeing the Euro ensembles fall into line, but it just looks like I miss the best forcing from this thing as it passes to my southeast. I'm still holding out for some plowable snow though. Cool, I work in downtown Portland (Time & Temp building). We have a few members from our area here ... Standish, Lewiston, Scarborough, Bath. Anyway, welcome to AmWx .. lots of smart people and a few dumba$$es. I think we see plowable, just how how many passes they need to make is in question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Its stronger at H5...thats why it extends things a little further NW. So we want things to be more amped at H5, but everything has to close off in time and not scoot east too far quickly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 So we want things to be more amped at H5, but everything has to close off in time and not scoot east too far quickly? Yeah pretty much...if it stays an open wave longer, it will try and kind of scoot E or ENE. At any rate, I like what is going on upstream, so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrokenASOS Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Cool, I work in downtown Portland (Time & Temp building). We have a few members from our area here ... Standish, Lewiston, Scarborough, Bath. Anyway, welcome to AmWx .. lots of smart people and a few dumba$es. I think we see plowable, just how how many passes they need to make is in question. Oh awesome-definitely can see that building from my house. I actually just moved up here this summer from DC and I definitely appreciate the higher frequency of accumulating snows. And thanks for the warm welcome...I posted a long time back when I was in High school when easternuswx was still around and tried to log on the other day and realizing that everything had moved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Oh awesome-definitely can see that building from my house. I actually just moved up here this summer from DC and I definitely appreciate the higher frequency of accumulating snows. And thanks for the warm welcome...I posted a long time back when I was in High school when easternuswx was still around and tried to log on the other day and realizing that everything had moved. This winter is awful so far .. PWM is at less than 50% avg to date. Might even be more like 30%. Just hoping that we can get a good storm in here. Keeping fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 GFS ensembles are very close to BM...maybe just a hair W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 18Z ensembles take the low over the benchmark and then NE to Eastern Nova Scotia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 GFS ensembles are very close to BM...maybe just a hair W. Yeah a hair... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 18Z ensembles take the low over the benchmark and then NE to Eastern Nova Scotia Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 If we go conservative CT wide 6-12 some places will have nearly met their annual average on Jan 13 , perspective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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