Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Yeah he seems a bit cold on his response to it. Almost reluctant to talk about it. Its probably something that WCVB signed up to use and Harvey kind of just goes with it. I could be wrong though, maybe he likes showing it as one possibility...but he never seems all that excited when he's showing it. Looked like it developed a low center off Race Point but not in time to hit anyone to the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Yeah he seems a bit cold on his response to it. Almost reluctant to talk about it. Its probably something that WCVB signed up to use and Harvey kind of just goes with it. I could be wrong though, maybe he likes showing it as one possibility...but he never seems all that excited when he's showing it. Will, do you know what model they use for futurecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Lol @ consistency this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Will, do you know what model they use for futurecast? I don't unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Will, do you know what model they use for futurecast? They use an in-house model. It's a WSI in-house WRF I believe, but it runs every 3 hrs and solutions can change. It's pegged ne mass for the last couple of runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 They use an in-house model. It's a WSI in-house WRF I believe, but it runs every 3 hrs and solutions can change. It's pegged ne mass for the last couple of runs. Was going to say it always seems to be along the lines of the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 They use an in-house model. It's a WSI in-house WRF I believe, but it runs every 3 hrs and solutions can change. It's pegged ne mass for the last couple of runs. Does it pan out like this?http://wrf-model.org/plots/showforecast_20.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Does it pan out like this? http://wrf-model.org...forecast_20.php The link didn't seem to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 NOGAPS less interesting. NAM is out on its own per NCEP. GFS/GGEM/EC mix FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 No thread to put this in so, huge ice storm in the south at 126+ , then it's probably our ice storm possibility post day nine, looking more and more like 94 next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Was going to say it always seems to be along the lines of the NAM. I don't know if that's what they use or not...I could be wrong, but that's what I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 The link didn't seem to work. No we are getting the big question map I see when I click that link, thought you were out ,LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 The ensembles have an extremely sharp inv trough pointing into BOS harbor and right down I-90 at hr 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 I don't know if that's what they use or not...I could be wrong, but that's what I thought. oopshttp://wrf-model.org/plots/realtime_main.php Choose total precip. It sounded like what you described. FWIW I think this is going to be similar to the WRF we're running. This is 20km initialized off of the 0.5 deg GFS and run on the WRF. I think we're aiming for higher resolution than that though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 The ensembles have an extremely sharp inv trough pointing into BOS harbor and right down I-90 at hr 60. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 oops http://wrf-model.org...altime_main.php Choose total precip. It sounded like what you described. FWIW I think this is going to be similar to the WRF we're running. This is 20km initialized off of the 0.5 deg GFS and run on the WRF. I think we're aiming for higher resolution than that though. Yeah our 21z wrf looks similar. We actually run a 4km wrf in house too. The one he uses I think, is 12km. I don't like to use it beyond 24 hrs, but it performed fairly well in the last storm we had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 NAM looks to be on its own light to moderate long duration snowfall on tap for everyone AYT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 The SUNY is a little out of its range, but it's hammering Ray and NE MA through 48hr. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 The SUNY is a little out of its range, but it's hammering Ray and NE MA through 48hr. lol It should start to become a useful model tomorrow night. It can do well in these setups like 24h out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 While we wait for the Euro I'll post the JMA for entertainment purposes. Looks a bit like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Euro looks pretty good for CT...then gets central/W MA bit through 54...but precip is weakened by 60h...we'll see if it flairs back up at 66-72h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Euro looks pretty good for CT...then gets central/W MA bit through 54...but precip is weakened by 60h...we'll see if it flairs back up at 66-72h A little flare up this way, but not much. It's looking like a fairly paltry run outside of GC and upstate NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Euro looks pretty good for CT...then gets central/W MA bit through 54...but precip is weakened by 60h...we'll see if it flairs back up at 66-72h hows the qpf is CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 hows the qpf is CT? A general 0.30 or so...it gets a quarter inch to this area too...its not a good run for coastal MA though. But expect run to run changes as we are 48h+ out....as said before, that is an eternity for these inverted trough type setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 hows the qpf is CT? north central ct-north is .25+ and south ct is .10+.....boston is .10+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 EC is piling up the -SN in C NH through 84hr. LEB has the NE jackpot through that time with a hair over 0.50". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 It actually tries to rotate some precip down to Ray's area at 78h as the 5h low really strengthens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 EC is piling up the -SN in C NH through 84hr. LEB has the NE jackpot through that time with a hair over 0.50". Nice little late bloomer for NH and S Maine at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 So it's good for my area I take it..... Hey I think next week's Miller A nails us from me to your area in NH, but of course I'd like to get a head start with this inverted trough. A little flare up this way, but not much. It's looking like a fairly paltry run outside of GC and upstate NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 EC is piling up the -SN in C NH through 84hr. LEB has the NE jackpot through that time with a hair over 0.50". I just forecasted 2-4 as a first guess... we'll see what cooks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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