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September 2026 Medium/Long Range


JenkinsJinkies
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3 hours ago, midatlanticweather said:

12z GFS back to bringing in some cooler air in the long range! Better than the blowtorch yesterday, but it is really flip-flopping! Euro 12z will shed light, but it keeps it pretty warm/hottish on previous runs. 

 

Ens are pretty rough. EPS goes cool for a bit around labor day before running back the heatwave we're in by late next week. CMCE keeps things cooler with more backdoor fronts. GEFS is a bit of a mix between the two that keeps us on the south side of any fronts, but has colder air up in PA. 

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3 hours ago, IronTy said:

It's gonna be the warm and droughty base state until it isn't.  No signs of change yet.  

I've asked around since June and first the niño precip change was supposed to be later in the summer, then it was September, then it was October, now it's late October if we're lucky. It just keeps getting can kicked.

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52 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

I've asked around since June and first the niño precip change was supposed to be later in the summer, then it was September, then it was October, now it's late October if we're lucky. It just keeps getting can kicked.

Well, for most places east of the BR it has gotten wetter.  Much wetter.

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