Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?

[Hailstoned]

Off to the races here in Monson, with heavy rain and a close lightning strike.

[Damage In Tolland]

Getting missed yet again with precision .Smoky , hazy sun 78/72

Can  hear the thunder 

[nutmegfriar]

Just drove from Old Saybrook to Deep River/Chester.  Nothing doing on the immediate shore but Deep River/Chester had an impressive downpour.  Storms moving inland and feeling very juicy out there.

[kdxken]

26 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

 no cool? what do you call the last couple weeks?  dews near or over 70 for weeks? why didn't you tell us you moved to Florida? 

He also believes gas prices are low and we won the war back in February. No telling what he will believe.

[Modfan2]

Looks pretty wet I-84 West

[Hailstoned]

.66 in about a half hour here, and still pouring.

[ineedsnow]

radar looks great for here.. hopefully it doesn't die out by the time it gets here

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

radar looks great for here.. hopefully it doesn't die out by the time it gets here

You’re laughing along with a strong leftist in those posts.  In case you didn’t know 

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You’re laughing along with a strong leftist in those posts.  In case you didn’t know 

he wasn't wrong with what he said.. and trust me far from left but lets stick to weather 

[JACKASS]

.46 already here in Enfield.

[ineedsnow]

crazy rain in westfield

https://www.westfieldwebcam.com/

[tamarack]

54 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

 no cool? what do you call the last couple weeks?  dews near or over 70 for weeks? why didn't you tell us you moved to Florida? 

July 1-4:    85/66  +10  (Dews 70+)
July 5-27:  76/53   -1    (7 mornings in the 40s)

[Hailstoned]

.99 now with the rain temporarily eased. Thunder rumbling to the south heralding the next batch.

[CT Valley Snowman]

Nice batch of heavy rain with thunder anf lightning here.

[CoastalWx]

Precision steining for Tolland.

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Precision steining for Tolland.

Just not our year for storms . I mean to literally not get one all summer
I think this is 9 or 10 times had a miss . Three of them was under a severe warning lol

[Damage In Tolland]

July 23 had over 14” of rain here and every storm hit and would blow up overhead . Mother Nature always balances things out 

[Damage In Tolland]

Someone to my NW getting a nice storm . Solid thunder up that way 

[WxWatcher007]

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0877
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1247 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

Areas affected...Southeastern New York through Western New England

Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding likely

Valid 281646Z - 282245Z

SUMMARY...Numerous thunderstorms have developed across portions of
New York into New England. Flash flooding is likely as the storms
interact with the terrain.

DISCUSSION...Numerous thunderstorms have formed in several
clusters from central New York through portions of western New
England this afternoon. These clusters have a history of producing
multiple-inch-per-hour rainfall rates. Duration has also been a
distinguishing factor as some portions of central New York have
seen heavy rainfall for several hours. The clusters of storms have
developed ahead of a strong upper level negatively tilted trough,
on the leading edge of a potent low level jet advecting high PWATs
to 1.5 to 1.75 inches right into eastern New York and western New
England. With plentiful terrain in these areas, the combination of
upslope into the south-facing slopes of the mountains, heavy rain
that's likely to persist for multiple hours, and plentiful
moisture allowing storms to train and backbuild will all combine
to make flash flooding likely in this region through the
afternoon.

While the heaviest rain has been in Central New York thus far,
streamers of storms will fill in most areas in eastern New York
over to western New England through the afternoon as peak heating
and instability advection both increase the coverage, severity,
and duration of the strongest storms. Urban and small stream
flooding are most likely, especially off the south-facing slopes
of the mountains and in the urban areas subject to the longer
durations of heavy rainfall. Locally significant flash flooding
can't be ruled out.

High resolution CAMs guidance suggests the most persistent rains
will be in the western areas from Binghamton up I-88, and for
eastern areas from western Connecticut into southern Vermont from I-91 west. There remains some uncertainty for the Catskills
through the Hudson Valley, where southerly flow may limit the
convective coverage since terrain won't necessarily help
concentrate the heaviest rainfall, and storms to the south may
limit how much instability can advect into that area.

Wegman

[Brewbeer]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Someone to my NW getting a nice storm . Solid thunder up that way 

that'd be me 

torrential downpour here right now

[codfishsnowman]

Loving this weather...keep those 90s away

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, Brewbeer said:

that'd be me 

torrential downpour here right now

Nice . Enjoy . 

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, Brewbeer said:

that'd be me 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

This station is about 5 miles or so NW 1.55” .

Sun trying to come back out so hopefully another chance later 

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, kdxken said:

 

HREF is missing the rain coming through now

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This station is about 5 miles or so NW 1.55” .

Sun trying to come back out so hopefully another chance later 

Don't think we see more east of berks until later tonight.

[weatherwiz]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Don't think we see more east of berks until later tonight.

Looks like this stuff was fueled by a pretty tight theta-e gradient and on the edge of some pretty decent MUCAPE. MUCAPE values of 2000 J surging north through SNE. That's not too bad...I don't recall guidance having MUCAPE that high 

[Damage In Tolland]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Don't think we see more east of berks until later tonight.

That dude in Monson must have 2-3”

[tamarack]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

found a spot 14 on this map.. and yes I know it wont even be close for some that will say this is my call 

[w1pf]

Quick 0.46" here in Holyoke.. enough to test my sewer backwater valve (it held fine, but the cover gasket seeped a bit... cleaned and retightened..)