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Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?


weatherwiz
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While obviously not real-time empirical data like GOES, HRRR has smoke guidance you can see on Pivotal to give you an estimate of current and future placement of the band

Looks like thick smoke enters most of MA / SNH early afternoon 17-20z

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7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

The loop I just provided suggests we might be in trouble by 2 ...4pm

Yeah, we might get that stuff in upstate New York, which is why I said we may get some hazy skies this afternoon, but I don’t anticipate anything close to yesterday. Yesterday was a disaster.

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3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

No EMLs but outside of Saturday night, Tuesday looks decent too for storms. Good shortwave and shear...just have to see how timing works out and what instability is like

If the pattern keeps doing this ... ?    fire up the May/2027 thread

image.png.f51d99281ae5f59a5cd701b1865376de.png

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1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

that looks probably isn't terrible for severe wx potential...would probably mean strong fronts moving through with good shear...probably not good for EML potential 

you're dreamin'    That's an autumn shut-it-downer pattern big time

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1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Awesome. Get out in it!

Just went for a three mile run. Honestly wasn’t too bad. Didn’t feel any different than a normal run. Though it also doesn’t feel quite as smoky as yesterday was at this moment?

Also it looks like GOES-19 is back online. 

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