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Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?


weatherwiz
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2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah, you’d think if the state’s HI record was 115F, the post would want to focus on all the sites above that level in this image… not the one showing an erroneous 133F.  Numerous sites above that 115F level but they lose the viewer by elevating the highest outlier.

Not questing it is nasty for heat index, just let's not get carried away.  When big wx is going on, all too often some just deliberately "pile on" the negative b/c they know many are already in a vulnerable state of alert, fear, or anxious.  

Actually, these days it does not even had to be "big wx" going for this nonsense.  "Run-of-the mill wx" does just "fine." :fulltilt:

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I actually see it as purposefully using bad data, not to support climate change, but to discredit it.  The point isn’t to cause fear or anxiety, the point is to cause skepticism through intentionally flawed/exaggerated statements.  It takes the narrative away from the event, makes it seem like it’s agenda/hype driven, and takes away from legitimate discussion.  The dupe isn’t getting you to think everything extreme, the dupe is making everyone overly skeptical so it’s okay to buy into whatever you choose to believe regardless of fact.  
 

It’s like dressing up like a clown before having a serious discussion.  You aren’t trying to be taken seriously, you’re trying to get people to think that those who hold the position are clowns.  

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13 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

Not here but I think we're going to hear alot about this Typhoon in the coming days

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_wpac_48.png

NW Pac is typically very active in strong El Nino years, and so far that is the case.  Most standard parameters (NS, NSD, ACE, etc.) are running about 200% of avg season-to-date, and TY Bavi will add to ACE big time in the next week.

 

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9 hours ago, tamarack said:

No surprise at EWR, while Central Park gets surrounded by ever taler trees.  From 2000 on, NYC has reached 100 six times, the most recent in July of 2012.  EWR has notched 40 triples during the same 26 years (don't have June numbers yet) and 17 of those have occurred in the 2020s.

KNYC 100°

And 15 minutes later my data becomes outdated.  :o

Earlier this decade for a significant period, EWR was clearly 2 F too warm.  Every month, it would be +2 higher than all the other CLI sties in the OKX CWA.  The issue go beyond just UHI and asphalt runways nearby.  New constriction causes artificial heat issues as well.  BWI has this issue, but only when the wind blows a certain direction.  This is why one can't smooth out or "THREADEX"  warm biases over time b/c each CLI location has different issues over time.

Probably the worst sited CLI site, at least at an airport, is PHX.  Right downtown and given the massive growth of the city in the last 70 years alone?

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