July 2026

[PhiEaglesfan712]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

 

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
0154 AM EDT FRI JUL 10 2026

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT PHILADELPHIA PA...

A RECORD RAINFALL OF 2.70 INCHES WAS SET AT PHILADELPHIA PA TODAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD DAILY RECORD OF 1.79 INCHES SET IN 1952. THIS IS 
ALSO THE FIRST DAILY PRECIPITATION VALUE GREATER THAN 2 INCHES FOR 
PHILADELPHIA IN 837 DAYS, WHICH ENDS THE 4TH LONGEST SUCH STREAK ON 
RECORD.

PRECIPITATION RECORDS FOR THE PHILADELPHIA PA AREA DATE BACK TO 
NOVEMBER 1871.

I'm surprised 2015 didn't hold the record. It rained heavy in the morning and later in the day.

[SACRUS]

78 / 72 partly clear.  Mid 80s to low 90s in the hottest locations - where stay the clearest and driest.  Storms into approaching CPA should reach the area between 2 - 6 pm or some isolated sooner.  Saturday / Sunday looking mainly good but Saturday could see some storms in the PM is well before we enter a drier / warmer period 7/ 13 and beyond.   Ridge out west peaks Mon - Wed , more western heat comes in 2-3 day intervals before EC ridging towards the 23rd.

 

7/10 - 7/11 : Warm / humid scattered storms
7/12 - 7/13:  Dry - near - below normal - great days
7/14 - 7/16 : Western heat comes east mid - upper 90s, some 100 degree readings possible NJ-PHL area
7/17 - 7/22 : Near normal (warmest part of year = 85 - 90 type weather)
7/23 - beyond : Warmer - hot , heat perists into the east

 

[SACRUS]

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 105 (1993)
NYC: 102 (1993)
LGA: 99 (1993)
JFK: 100 (1993)



Lows:

EWR: 58 (2009)
NYC: 55 (1890)
LGA: 60 (1953)
JFK: 58 (2009)



Historical:

 

1776: A strong gale played a role in a battle between the Royal Governor of Virginia, Dunmore, and General Lewis of the rebel forces. The royal fleet had been injured prior to the storm by General Lewis' forces and was sailing from Gwynn's Island toward St. George's Island, in the Potomac. The British crew was without water and enduring smallpox when the gale struck. A flour-laden supply ship ran aground. One ships foundered at the Mouth of the Rappahannock, while another was stranded on the Eastern shore (Shomette). The H.M.S. Otter, the Governor's ship, was rescuing another ship in distress. They were rescued just in time. After loading the distressed ship's cargo, the ship sunk. The governor later left Virginia for good on August 5th. Many ships in the area suffered damage to their rigging, sails, and anchors. Two vessels were driven ashore in St. Mary's county (Shomette).  (Ref. Hurricane of 1776)
 

1911: The mercury hit 105 degrees at North Bridgton, Maine the hottest reading of record for Maine. North Bridgton also reached 105 degrees on the 4th of July in 1911.

1913 - The mercury hit 134 degrees at Greenland Ranch in Death Valley, CA, the hottest reading of record for the North American continent. Sandstorm conditions accompanied the heat. The high the previous day was 129 degrees, following a morning low of 93 degrees. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1926 - A lightning bolt struck an ammunition magazine in northern New Jersey, and a big red ball of fire leaped into the air triggering a series of explosions. All buildings within a half mile radius were destroyed, and debris fell as far as twenty-two miles away. Sixteen persons were killed, and property damage was seventy million dollars. (David Ludlum)

1936 - Afternoon highs of 112 degrees at Martinsburg, WV, 109 degrees at Cumberland, MD, and Frederick, MD, 110 degrees at Runyon, NJ, and 111 degrees at Phoenixville, PA, established all-time record highs for those four states. It was the hottest day of record for the Middle Atlantic Coast Region. (The Weather Channel)

 

1955: On July 10th Boston had severe thunderstorms producing the highest 1 hour precipitation total of 2.10 inches. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events)

1959: Yuma, AZ reached 118°, the hottest reading during an extended heat wave that saw temperatures rise to over 100° for an entire month. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1974: Central Ohio--One person was killed and another injured by a lightning strike on a golf course in Morrow County.
Tequesta, Palm Beach County, Fla.--Two employees of the Tequesta Water Company were struck by lightning while working on a water meter at a private residence. One was killed and the other knocked unconscious. Western Pennsylvania--One man was killed by lightning while cleaning up mud on a road; another died of a heart attack.(Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf)

1975: Manassas, VA a nine-year-old girl playing under a tree is struck and killed by lightning. (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)


1975: Baltimore, MD picked up 4.66 inches of rain in 24 hours.
 

1979 - The temperature at El Paso, TX, hit 112 degrees, an all-time record for that location. The next day was 110 degrees. (The Weather Channel)

1980 - The temperature in downtown Kansas City, MO, hit 109 degrees, following a sultry overnight low of 89 degrees. The daily low of 89 degrees was the warmest of record for Kansas City, and overall it was the hottest July day of record. It was the seventh of a record seventeen consecutive days of 100 degree heat, and the mean temperature for the month of 90.2 degrees was also an all-time record for Kansas City.


1984: An F2 tornado touched down in the Dellwood subdivision along Castle Rock Lake, WI. A total of 59 homes were hit and 14 were destroyed. More than 2,000 trees were downed. Winds from the accompanying thunderstorm also flattened a potato warehouse 12 miles north of Friendship. An F1 tornado touched down south of Decorah, IA and wrought significant damage to more than one farmstead. The storm turned a 40,000 bushel grain bin inside out and wrapped it around a chicken house. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

1987 - An early morning thunderstorm in Minnesota produced wind gusts to 91 mph at Waseca. Later that day, thunderstorms in South Dakota produced wind gusts to 81 mph at Ipswitch, and baseball size hail near Hayes and Capa. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thunderstorms brought welcome rains to parts of the central U.S., but produced severe weather along the New England coast, in the Great Lakes Region, in North Carolina, and in the Southern Plateau Region. Strong thunderstorm winds gusting to 80 mph at Bullfrog, UT, sank three boats on Lake Powell. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Severe thunderstorms spawned seventeen tornadoes in the northeastern U.S. A powerful (F-4) tornado struck Hamden CT and New Haven, CT, causing 100 million dollars damage at Hamden, and another 20 million dollars damage around New Haven. Forty persons were injured in the tornado. Seventy persons were injured in a tornado which traveled from Watertown, CT, to Waterbury, CT, and another powerful (F-4) tornado touched down near Ames NY injuring twenty persons along its 43.5 mile track. It was the strongest tornado of record for eastern New York State. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)


1993: Seven inches of rain fell in one hour at Adrian, MN. During normal summers, such incredible downpours might cause flash flooding, but not widespread river flooding. But during the spring and summer of 1993, such events were commonplace and the resulting flooding was catastrophic.

1993: more record heat occurred across the east. Record highs included: Newark, NJ: 105°, NYC-Central Park, NY: 102°, Atlantic City, NY: 101°, NYC-Kennedy, NY: 100°, Providence, RI: 100°, Wilmington, NC: 100°, NYC-LaGuardia, NY: 99°, Dulles Airport, VA: 99°, Raleigh, NC: 99°, Portland, ME: 98°, Concord, NH: 98° and Islip, NY: 98°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2000: Thunderstorms brought heavy rain and strong winds to northeast Illinois, during the early morning hours. Flash flooding occurred in parts of La Salle, De Kalb, Kendall and Kankakee Counties, where rainfall of 4 to 7 inches was reported. Nearly 15,000 people were without power for 12 hours. Flooding ripped up 50 feet of pavement in downtown Kankakee. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2004: Kodiak, Alaska: The daily high ties the highest July temperature for Kodiak: 82°F. (Ref. WxDoctor)

2005: Although Dennis re-intensified into a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 145 mph early on July 10 over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, it weakened to Category 3 strength before making landfall over the western Florida Panhandle near Navarre Beach late that day. Dennis degenerated to a low pressure area over the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys, and it was eventually absorbed by an extratropical low over southeastern Canada on July 18. Dennis' Storm Track and other info.- NOAA.Gov.-N.H.C.

2005 - Hurricane Dennis landed near Pensacola, Florida as a category 3 storm. Maximum sustained winds at the time of landfall were near 120 mph. There were nine hurricane-related fatalities in the U.S. and preliminary estimates of insured losses ranged from $1 to $1.5 billion.

2009: More like a sizzling hot day in a desert location, instead of NW OK. Nonetheless, with highs of 115 degrees, Freedom broke its all-time record. On this record-setting day, Buffalo heated to 90 degrees by 6:00 a.m. and 107 by 11:00 a.m. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA)

[LAVistaNY]

16 hours ago, MANDA said:

They don't get a workout too often but nice to have one when you need one.

No more flashlights or candles.  No more freezing or roasting in the dark.  You pretty much go on with normal life when the power is out.

We did not have one for Sandy so that was the worst.  If we had not had one now this would have run a close second with no a/c in a heatwave for 3 days.

After Irene (4days) and snow-river (6days), in 2 months time, so many people had whole house generators installed in Westchester. During Sandy (9days) I had friends sitting with generators and no power because the propane co’s couldn’t keep up- just something to consider for long term outages!

[FPizz]

4 minutes ago, LAVistaNY said:

After Irene (4days) and snow-river (6days), in 2 months time, so many people had whole house generators installed in Westchester. During Sandy (9days) I had friends sitting with generators and no power because the propane co’s couldn’t keep up- just something to consider for long term outages!

Natural gas line if you can is the way to go.  You are correct that if you have propane, it would only be good if you are getting the supply refreshed after a few days.

[uofmiami]

47 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Natural gas line if you can is the way to go.  You are correct that if you have propane, it would only be good if you are getting the supply refreshed after a few days.

Always depends on size of propane tank.  I have a natural gas line for my WHG (20kw), but my parent’s house has a buried 500 gallon tank for their WHG (50kw), as I recall.  It was getting low a week after Sandy.

[WeatherGeek2025]

[SACRUS]

Up to 86 and about another 30 - 90 mins before more clouds and isolated showers come advancing east

[MANDA]

1 hour ago, FPizz said:

Natural gas line if you can is the way to go.  You are correct that if you have propane, it would only be good if you are getting the supply refreshed after a few days.

I had friends in Sandy with portable generators.  Problem was they could not get gas.  Driving around looking for it.  Many gas stations had no power to pump.  In addition is was 2-3 days before you could get out of your local area since so many trees were blocking roads.  Natural gas only way to go if you can.  I know some can't.

[Brian5671]

Just now, MANDA said:

I had friends in Sandy with portable generators.  Problem was they could not get gas.  Driving around looking for it.  Many gas stations had no power to pump.  In addition is was 2-3 days before you could get out of your local area since so many trees were blocking roads.  Natural gas only way to go if you can.  I know some can't.

alot of the gas stations here put in generators after Sandy-that was crazy to have no access to gasoline for days and days

[SACRUS]

8 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

Just ran the top analogs through GPT for listing comparions with / based off this updated info

 

Table 1 — Current ENSO Snapshot

Metric	Latest Reading	Period	Signal
ENSO Status	El Niño Advisory	July 2026	El Niño underway and strengthening
Niño 3.4 Weekly	+2.0°C	Latest weekly update	Strong El Niño territory
Niño 3.4 Monthly	+1.44°C	June 2026	Strong monthly warm anomaly
Niño 3 Monthly	+1.71°C	June 2026	Strong eastern-central Pacific warming
Niño 1+2 Monthly	+2.82°C	June 2026	Very strong far-eastern Pacific warming
Niño 4 Monthly	+1.22°C	June 2026	Basinwide support
MEI.v2	+1.52	May-June 2026	Strong coupled El Niño signal
SOI	-2.40	June 2026	Strong atmospheric El Niño response

Table 2 — Closest SOI Analogs

Rank	Year	June SOI	May-June SOI Avg	Match Level	Why It Supports the Ranking
1	1997	-2.30	-2.25	Very High	Very close to 2026’s June SOI of -2.40 and strong negative atmospheric coupling
2	1972	-0.90	-1.75	High	Strong May-June negative SOI, similar developing El Niño atmosphere
3	1982	-1.70	-1.15	High	Strong June negative SOI during major El Niño onset
4	2015	-0.90	-1.05	High	Clearly negative SOI with strong coupled El Niño development
5	1991	-0.20	-0.95	Moderate	Negative May-June atmospheric signal, but weaker than 2026
6	1994	-0.70	-0.90	Moderate	Negative SOI, but structure less similar
7	2002	-0.40	-0.90	Moderate	Developing El Niño with weaker SOI support
8	2023	+0.40	-0.65	Moderate	May was strongly negative, but June rebounded positive
9	1957	+0.30	-0.40	Lower-Moderate	Some early negative signal, but June not close
10	1965	-0.90	-0.30	Lower-Moderate	June negative, but May-June average weaker
11	2009	+0.20	0.00	Lower	Not strongly coupled by June
12	1986	+1.60	+0.60	Lower	Ocean warming developed later; SOI was not yet similar

Table 3 — Closest MEI Analogs

Rank	Year	Apr-May MEI	May-June MEI	June-July MEI	Match Level	Notes
1	1997	+0.71	+2.34	+2.27	Closest	Explosive transition into strongly coupled El Niño
2	2015	+0.95	+1.90	+1.79	Very Close	Strong early-summer coupled signal
3	1982	-0.11	+0.63	+1.65	Close	Major El Niño onset; coupling surged after June
4	2023	-0.06	+0.43	+0.51	Moderate-Close	Similar cool-to-warm transition, but weaker than 2026
5	2002	-0.14	+0.34	+0.43	Moderate	Developing El Niño, weaker coupling
6	1991	+0.36	+0.97	+0.91	Moderate	Solid coupling, but different SST structure
7	1994	-0.02	+0.26	+0.96	Lower-Moderate	Coupled later, more central-Pacific leaning
8	1986	-0.26	+0.02	+0.41	Lower-Moderate	Slower-developing event
9	2009	-0.72	-0.05	+0.56	Lower	Not strongly coupled by May-June
10	1972	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	Pre-1979 MEI.v2 direct data unavailable
11	1957	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	Pre-1979 MEI.v2 direct data unavailable
12	1965	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	Pre-1979 MEI.v2 direct data unavailable
Current	2026	+0.27	+1.52	N/A	Baseline	Strong May-June coupled El Niño signal

Table 4 — SST Region Analog Ranking

Rank	Year	Apr Niño 3.4	May Niño 3.4	June Niño 3.4	Latest Niño 3.4	Overall SST Match
1	1997	+0.16	+0.64	+1.09	Strongly rising	Best full-pattern match; rapid warming like 2026
2	2015	+0.70	+0.92	+1.18	Strongly rising	Strong basinwide El Niño match
3	1982	+0.21	+0.45	+0.53	Strongly rising later	Major analog, but June Niño 3.4 was weaker than 2026
4	2023	+0.14	+0.46	+0.84	Rising	Good transition analog, but less coupled than 2026
5	1972	+0.07	+0.38	+0.45	Rising	Classic east-Pacific developing El Niño
6	1957	+0.41	+0.62	+0.63	Rising	Developing El Niño, but weaker June warming
7	2002	+0.02	+0.31	+0.72	Rising	Good warming trend, weaker than 2026
8	1965	-0.44	+0.06	+0.36	Rising later	Early-stage warming, weaker overall
9	1991	+0.19	+0.26	+0.52	Rising	Moderate warm development
10	1994	+0.26	+0.31	+0.32	Modest warming	Warm but weaker and less similar
11	2009	-0.35	+0.06	+0.31	Rising later	Weaker early-summer event
12	1986	-0.33	-0.53	-0.31	Rising later	Later-developing event; not close by June
Current	2026	+0.29	+0.90	+1.44	+2.0	Baseline; rapid strengthening into strong El Niño territory

Optional Add-On — Current 3 SST Areas Key to El Niño

Region	Latest / Recent Value	Why It Matters
Niño 3.4	+2.0°C latest weekly / +1.44°C June monthly	Main ENSO-monitoring region; now in strong El Niño territory on the latest weekly reading
Niño 3	+1.71°C June monthly	Shows strong eastern-central Pacific warming
Niño 1+2	+2.82°C June monthly	Very strong far-eastern Pacific warming; supports east-weighted structure
Niño 4	+1.22°C June monthly	Shows the warmth is not only coastal/eastern, but also basinwide

[FPizz]

8 minutes ago, MANDA said:

I had friends in Sandy with portable generators.  Problem was they could not get gas.  Driving around looking for it.  Many gas stations had no power to pump.  In addition is was 2-3 days before you could get out of your local area since so many trees were blocking roads.  Natural gas only way to go if you can.  I know some can't.

Yup, I remember that.  I was super lucky that somehow my street only lost power for 14 hours.  My mother, on the other side of town, was out for nearly 2 weeks.  I know many can't go the natural gas route, but if you can, like you said, that is the way to go.  

[MANDA]

11 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

alot of the gas stations here put in generators after Sandy-that was crazy to have no access to gasoline for days and days

I've not noticed that around here but maybe I'm just not paying close enough attention.  I know many supermarkets put them in around here.  The food loss during Sandy was extreme.  I remember seeing food being loaded into dumpsters in the supermarket parking lots.  We were out for 7-10 days around here. While a Sandy like track into the Jersey coast has a very high return period it would not take much more than a Cat 1 or a low Cat 2 on a track up along or just off the coast to cause similar or worse power outages over a large area.    

[Dan76]

30 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

alot of the gas stations here put in generators after Sandy-that was crazy to have no access to gasoline for days and days

That was mandated down here.

[uofmiami]

6 minutes ago, Dan76 said:

That was mandated down here.

I think any new gas station or existing gas station that does a renovation is required to install a generator, to alleviate any gas runs.

[NEG NAO]

18 hours ago, FPizz said:

I was in Piscataway 36 years and remember losing power during Gloria and Sandy, and maybe like 3 other times haha.  Im not sure why we lose it so often here 

last weeks power outages were a warning - we will have widespread massive power outages again if we are hit by a cat 1 or 2 hurricane - aging infrastructure has a lot to do with it. Many telephone poles are very old and need to be replaced -  the same with transformers on those poles - ever notice a rusting transformer ? Plus these towns are allowing various cable companies add their wire and equipment to the old poles .