Wet late Monday 6/22 or another Fizzle?

[high risk]

17 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Cloudy again here.  WB 12Z HRRR through midnight is not impressive for most of us.  More of a fizzle I'm afraid....

 

        It's a good soaking for most tomorrow morning.   And I wouldn't call its forecast for today a fizzle;  it's just more isolated with its heavier amounts, and it's a bit of an outlier in that regard.

[JenkinsJinkies]

1 hour ago, dailylurker said:

Severe around here is always really isolated

Thing is this is such a small area that a decent sized squall line would impact 90% of us.

[Weather Will]

18 minutes ago, high risk said:

        It's a good soaking for most tomorrow morning.   And I wouldn't call its forecast for today a fizzle;  it's just more isolated with its heavier amounts, and it's a bit of an outlier in that regard.

I hope the morning soaker is accurate!  I saw it but the HRRR at range...

[aldie 22]

4 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

I hope the morning soaker is accurate!  I saw it but the HRRR at range...

Technically what you posted saying fizzle was the HRRR at range as well

[Weather Will]

Well, WB 3K NAM now has a Tuesday soaker for southern zones. Significant shift north compared to 6Z. I guess this is why we always go crazy all winter... precip. Field making big shifts inside 24 hours.

[LongRanger]

the cluster now in WV is headed our way, but will is survive the mountains?

[Weather Will]

I just had 20 drops fall on my yard.  Heading due east....

[Roger Ramjet]

Just now, Weather Will said:

I just had 20 drops fall on my yard.  Heading due east....

Got you beat - I had 22.

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z RRFS through Tuesday.

[SnowenOutThere]

Shear looks better than forecasted last night. Surface winds are nearly due south instead of the more westerly direction shown by the models. 

[WxUSAF]

GFS is pretty solid for tomorrow.  That might be the main rainmaker across the region.  Especially Delmarva.

[MN Transplant]

The GFS has joined the HRRR/NAM/RRFS for a decent soak on Tuesday.  

[Weather Will]

32 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

GFS is pretty solid for tomorrow.  That might be the main rainmaker across the region.  Especially Delmarva.

WB 12Z GFS through Tuesday.

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z Can. Is also onboard for tomorrow.  Much wetter than 0Z.

[WxUSAF]

Can we actually back into a nice event??

[Weather Will]

WB 15Z NBM through Tuesday would be nice .75 to inch for most of us.

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z EURO compared to 6Z.  If this were winter, the site would crash!

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z EURO compared to 6Z.  Dr. No is onboard for some rain!!!

[Weather Will]

WB 18Z NBM through Tuesday.

[Eskimo Joe]

Finally get field work, including concrete and trench digging schedule for tomorrow and it decides to rain.

[aldie 22]

Drought busting 0.03 with this batch 

[CAPE]

This morning Mount Holly actually had 1-2" in the forecast here for tonight, with a quarter to a half inch today. I knew that forecast was a bust. Now a half to three quarters tonight, and pretty much nothing this afternoon/early evening. See what it gives. There's always the delayed but not denied thing for tomorrow if tonight underwhelms with another piece of energy slowing the front. I'm sure it will all work out.

[MN Transplant]

It is raining and it is glorious 

[dailylurker]

Heavy tropical rain and a bunch of lightning just rolled through the lowlands of AA County. I don’t hate the radar. I can already hear the cell near DC. Hopefully this area is about to get some training. 

[WxUSAF]

Another fucking swing and a miss

[pazzo83]

12 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

It is raining and it is glorious 

my yard is so happy lol

[mappy]

12 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Another fucking swing and a miss

If it makes you feel any better it’s only lightly raining here and not enough to cancel softball. I’m so sore and tired and could have used a night off 

[frd]

26 minutes ago, CAPE said:

This morning Mount Holly actually had 1-2" in the forecast here for tonight, with a quarter to a half inch today. I knew that forecast was a bust. Now a half to three quarters tonight, and pretty much nothing this afternoon/early evening. See what it gives. There's always the delayed but not denied thing for tomorrow if tonight underwhelms with another piece of energy slowing the front. I'm sure it will all work out.

If I am guessing your exact location correctly, it appears that some crazy ass storms are on the way from your WSW 

[MN Transplant]

About an inch from that cell.  I’ll still complain if we whiff tomorrow, but not as much.

[Wintrest]

Glorious in N. Arlington. It’s been steady for at least 30 min, and dumping for the last 15. Heaviest of this particular storm right now.
 

When clean gutters can’t handle the intensity, you’ve generally got a good thing… especially if you grow food.

 

 

The intensity died down tremendously while writing that post - gutters functioning as intended. Hope for many more of these events. I prefer an inch over a few hours vs. over two days.