Wet late Monday 6/22 or another Fizzle?

[high risk]

17 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Cloudy again here.  WB 12Z HRRR through midnight is not impressive for most of us.  More of a fizzle I'm afraid....

 

        It's a good soaking for most tomorrow morning.   And I wouldn't call its forecast for today a fizzle;  it's just more isolated with its heavier amounts, and it's a bit of an outlier in that regard.

[JenkinsJinkies]

1 hour ago, dailylurker said:

Severe around here is always really isolated

Thing is this is such a small area that a decent sized squall line would impact 90% of us.

[Weather Will]

18 minutes ago, high risk said:

        It's a good soaking for most tomorrow morning.   And I wouldn't call its forecast for today a fizzle;  it's just more isolated with its heavier amounts, and it's a bit of an outlier in that regard.

I hope the morning soaker is accurate!  I saw it but the HRRR at range...

[aldie 22]

4 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

I hope the morning soaker is accurate!  I saw it but the HRRR at range...

Technically what you posted saying fizzle was the HRRR at range as well

[Weather Will]

Well, WB 3K NAM now has a Tuesday soaker for southern zones. Significant shift north compared to 6Z. I guess this is why we always go crazy all winter... precip. Field making big shifts inside 24 hours.

[LongRanger]

the cluster now in WV is headed our way, but will is survive the mountains?

[Weather Will]

I just had 20 drops fall on my yard.  Heading due east....

[Roger Ramjet]

Just now, Weather Will said:

I just had 20 drops fall on my yard.  Heading due east....

Got you beat - I had 22.

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z RRFS through Tuesday.

[SnowenOutThere]

Shear looks better than forecasted last night. Surface winds are nearly due south instead of the more westerly direction shown by the models.