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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread


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3 hours ago, canderson said:

HBG has a legit shot to have 4 100 degree days in a row. That would obliterate so many records. 

Yeah I keep seeing the temps on Saturday climbing and climbing towards 100. Would be absolutely insane if we got 4 days in a row of 100. Completely unprecedented in our current records.

 

Any temp that gets over 103 would put us in top 10 territory for that specific day heat wise. The only single time we ever got over 104 in Harrisburg was that absurd heatwave in 1966

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21 minutes ago, TheDreamTraveler said:

Yeah I keep seeing the temps on Saturday climbing and climbing towards 100. Would be absolutely insane if we got 4 days in a row of 100. Completely unprecedented in our current records.

 

Any temp that gets over 103 would put us in top 10 territory for that specific day heat wise. The only single time we ever got over 104 in Harrisburg was that absurd heatwave in 1966

1966 probably the hottest summer here

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45 minutes ago, TheDreamTraveler said:

Yeah I keep seeing the temps on Saturday climbing and climbing towards 100. Would be absolutely insane if we got 4 days in a row of 100. Completely unprecedented in our current records.

 

Any temp that gets over 103 would put us in top 10 territory for that specific day heat wise. The only single time we ever got over 104 in Harrisburg was that absurd heatwave in 1966

Didn't it hit 104 in Harrisburg in July 16, 1988,

I just checked it did I remember that day. Severe thunderstorms came through later in the  afternoon.

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In Texas the summer of 1980 is the goat. Dallas hit 113 twice and 112 for three days in a row. IIRC it hit 100 43 straight days. Like 30 of those were above 105  My mom always says she’s lucky I was born more than a year after then so she wasn’t pregnant (I’m an august baby)  

Hottest I’ve ever seen was 111 In September 2000. After-school football practice was wild - helmets were so hot linemen had to wear arm guards. The field temp was 130 that day lol. 

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I had some testing today so spent far too many hours waiting in between tests. Enough hours to download 50gb or so of all kinds of reanalysis data for land, soil, atmosphere, hydro. Anyways. Here are the top heat analogs when taking into account hydro and soil. 1999, 1966, 1991, 1953. Here is some info attached. 2011 thrown in for recent and ungodly dewpoints. CPA_HeatWave_1999.jpgCPA_HeatWave_1966.jpgCPA_HeatWave_2011.jpg

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This one is going to be bad. It also sets us up for a legit possibility of something worse later in July if drought doesn't break. I think the bigger story is due to the frost and our current trajectory, PA agriculture, especially in this area is going to have top 3 worse year in last 100. I have no idea just how bad it may become for them. CPA_FourHeatWaves_Comparison.jpgCPA_Drought_Analog_Briefing.jpg

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Didn't it hit 104 in Harrisburg in July 16, 1988,
I just checked it did I remember that day. Severe thunderstorms came through later in the  afternoon.
We've never hit 4 days above 100. I don't think weve had 4 days above 98 or 99. in a week a bunch will be in d3/d4 territory with no real break in 16 day forcast.

1966 was in a different stratosphere. In the midst of a 3-year severe drought and going into June with 15% rainfall. If you want to see something left look at the low temperatures not summer it would fly up into the mid and upper 90s and drop down to 60 at night. Basically we turned into Arizona

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With a chance that some locations could see a 100-degree day later this week I went back and analyzed 30 temperature stations across the area to see just how rare such a day has become. A 100-degree day is a rare occurrence across most spots across the County. With the potential being even more rare across the relatively higher ridge stations above 595 ft. In fact the last time any ridge location station saw a 100-degree reading was 15 years ago back on July 22, 2011. Of the 18 current stations across the area that report temperatures 9 of these have never recorded such a day. Our lowest elevation stations at Phoenixville and nearby Spring City both recorded a 100+ day last June. To illustrate how different the temperature elevation impact can be on June 26, 2025 while Spring City (256 ft ASL) was hitting the century mark....not too far away at Glenmoore DEOS (620 FT ASL) but 400 feet higher the high was 10 degrees cooler at "only" 90.6
image.png.4c2bd4025e3c5985de75845fd7e1d4ca.png
I guarantee you those differences are nearly all placement. I would bet my life on that.

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8 minutes ago, TheDreamTraveler said:

God might be 99, 102, 102 and 98 here during this heat wave. The pool temp is already 80 degrees if it gets any warmer than that it's not even going to feel refreshing to be in lol

Even here, Thursday and Friday are 99 and 98 respectively. On top of that, I can't ever remember Schuylkill County being included in an Extreme Heat Warning, let alone for multiple days.

Back in 2011, we hit 103, unofficially, on my weather station. It'll be interesting to see what I register with this one.

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Even here, Thursday and Friday are 99 and 98 respectively. On top of that, I can't ever remember Schuylkill County being included in an Extreme Heat Warning, let alone for multiple days.
Back in 2011, we hit 103, unofficially, on my weather station. It'll be interesting to see what I register with this one.

This is what you’ve been waiting for! How exciting!
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Today should be our last sub 90 degree high until Monday. Mid to upper 80's today rising into the low to mid 90's tomorrow and then upper 90's in higher spots to near 100 in our valley locations both Thursday and Friday. Shower chances increase later July 4th with the days trending slightly cooler with highs by Monday in the upper 80's.

image.png.2b861b9a5f041a396e16f24a14c0525a.pngimage.thumb.png.26047c18be10639ddd7407b6b86cd628.png

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2 hours ago, TheDreamTraveler said:

God might be 99, 102, 102 and 98 here during this heat wave. The pool temp is already 80 degrees if it gets any warmer than that it's not even going to feel refreshing to be in lol

I can remember back in 1988 summer when it was hot. I took a thermometer in the creek at my place where we have a swimming hole in the middle of the creek. The hole is about 5 foot deep in between 2 big rocks. In between the rocks the current flows, thats where I held a wire that was attached to My thermometer about half a foot under the water. The temperature was 88. The water felt like bath water. You cooled off but it wasn't exactly what I call refreshing. If we get several days of hot temperatures this week I'll have to see what the temperature of the creek is this time.

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8 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

I can remember back in 1988 summer when it was hot. I took a thermometer in the creek at my place where we have a swimming hole in the middle of the creek. The hole is about 5 foot deep in between 2 big rocks. In between the rocks the current flows, thats where I held a wire that was attached to My thermometer about half a foot under the water. The temperature was 88. The water felt like bath water. You cooled off but it wasn't exactly what I call refreshing. If we get several days of hot temperatures this week I'll have to see what the temperature of the creek is this time.

Early July 1966-104,107,104 followed by a 100 on July 10th,and 100 on July 26th. and most other days that Summer were in the 90's

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Hey all.  First time poster, long time reader.  I was up in Slate Run on Pine Creek during the worst of the July 2011 heatwave.  All the trout were huddled where the tiny seeps and feeders trickled into the main stem of Pine creek.  They were so distressed you could pick them up with your hands.  Walleye just floated up to the surface and you could grab them by hand as well.  I don't know what the water temperature was, but there was no relief from being in the water.

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55 minutes ago, PaWeatherNut said:

Hey all.  First time poster, long time reader.  I was up in Slate Run on Pine Creek during the worst of the July 2011 heatwave.  All the trout were huddled where the tiny seeps and feeders trickled into the main stem of Pine creek.  They were so distressed you could pick them up with your hands.  Walleye just floated up to the surface and you could grab them by hand as well.  I don't know what the water temperature was, but there was no relief from being in the water.

Welcome!  Great story, I love all things Pine Creek related ha. 

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Of course station location placement and relative elevation
What I mean is the elevation is accounting for less than 10% of that difference. Everything else is due to what type of area it was placed it, canopy location, if it had good radiation shielding, if it used an aspirator, location of it to buildings, decks, house, rows. Realistically elevation is almost certainly less than 5% of the difference

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I can remember back in 1988 summer when it was hot. I took a thermometer in the creek at my place where we have a swimming hole in the middle of the creek. The hole is about 5 foot deep in between 2 big rocks. In between the rocks the current flows, thats where I held a wire that was attached to My thermometer about half a foot under the water. The temperature was 88. The water felt like bath water. You cooled off but it wasn't exactly what I call refreshing. If we get several days of hot temperatures this week I'll have to see what the temperature of the creek is this time.
You have one of the most studied watersheds in America in your backyard relatively speaking. 1966. Produced some of the most cited and best done hydrology research in the world to this day.
https://www.tucson.ars.ag.gov/icrw/Proceedings/Gburek.pdf

They have minute by minute rainfall data since the 1960s!!! Only a handful of places in world have that

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MDT daily record highs for July 1 thru July 4 -- 100, 104, 107, and 104.  That is one tough set of records to breach.  Tomorrow is obviously the most gettable but that's also the one day where my current forecast is under 100.  We shall see but quite the historic heat wave on tap regardless.  
Every top heatwave aside 1953 in August hit this week

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17 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

You have one of the most studied watersheds in America in your backyard relatively speaking. 1966. Produced some of the most cited and best done hydrology research in the world to this day.
https://www.tucson.ars.ag.gov/icrw/Proceedings/Gburek.pdf

They have minute by minute rainfall data since the 1960s!!! Only a handful of places in world have that

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That's something!

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