Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread

[anotherman]

50 here.

[Yardstickgozinya]

Day 4 clips, western Pa nwhat's slighr risk and Day 5 clips, southeastern Pa with slight risk. 

[Yardstickgozinya]

Maybe those rascals over at the SPC are making up stories again, who knows.  

   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0337 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

   Valid 271200Z - 011200Z

   ...DISCUSSION...
   ...Day 4/Monday...
   A prominent upper high will remain centered over the central and
   southern Plains with a belt of enhanced mid-level flow forecast
   along the periphery of that feature from the northern Plains into
   the Great Lakes. Within that flow regime, a short-wave trough is
   forecast to translate through the Great Lakes in tandem with a
   surface low and trailing cold front. A hot and moist boundary layer
   is expected ahead of the front, yielding moderate to strong
   instability by afternoon. Despite veered low-level winds,
   strengthening mid/upper-level winds in the exit region of a jet
   streak will contribute to sufficient vertical shear for organized
   severe storms across portions of the Great Lakes into the OH Valley
   Monday afternoon into night.


   ...Day 5/Tuesday...
   The Day 4/Monday short-wave trough is forecast to evolve into an
   upper low across southwest ON and the lower Great Lakes with an
   associated belt of stronger cyclonic flow developing from the OH
   Valley into the southern Mid-Atlantic and NC. At the surface, an
   area of low pressure will develop from the lower Great Lakes into
   central NY with a trailing cold front advancing through the upper OH
   Valley, central Appalachians, and Mid-Atlantic.

   Thunderstorms may be ongoing Tuesday morning along and ahead of the
   front from the lower Great Lakes and upper OH Valley into the
   Mid-Atlantic. Stronger heating is anticipated to the south of the
   early-day storms from the southern Mid-Atlantic into NC, where
   moderate to potentially strong instability is forecast. The
   strongest instability will coincide with modestly strong deep-layer
   shear to support some severe weather threat in those areas Tuesday
   afternoon and evening.

[Voyager]

36 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

45 this morning here. 

You yell at me about heat in the car, and look at you. Wearing a winter coat...lol

[mahantango#1]

28 minutes ago, Voyager said:

You yell at me about heat in the car, and look at you. Wearing a winter coat...lol

This cold requires drastic measures.