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Junorch obs and discussion 2026


Damage In Tolland
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On 5/30/2026 at 2:15 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Putting a warmer than normal spring behind us . Moving onto summer. Will it be Steiner or Dewey and stormy ? June looks to start off torched after the first 2 days . 
Long pants are not to be worn by anyone other than work , church or funerals until mid October at earliest.

 

atleast the warmest spring month (MAY) was 2 degrees  below normal here :thumbsup:

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Couple of borderline needling OCD observations about tomorrow  ( Tues)

I would argue that frontal like PP passing thru the region early tomorrow morning is not a cold front.  It's more of a warm front, nondescript but qualitatively.  It's unusual that the pressure rises behind a warm front, but not impossible.  Most importantly, the 850 mb temperatures are rising several degrees over today and tonight, having flooded over lower Ontario upstream, sourcing from the ridge nodal block N of Lake Superior, and about to spill SE - said boundary-like feature demarcates.   

Tomorrow probably pushes against the ceiling of perfection. It can't actually get there, because ... easy philosophy, perfection is unknowable.  What is a 10::10 for any given consensus, is likely to have contrived flaw(s) by TauntonBlizzard2013 ... Or, is thematically operative in a dry dystopian horror film by Michael Bay's buddy, Damage In Tolland.   Excluding these fringe tarnishing efforts/aspect,  tomorrow will be a text book down slope study case.   800 mb to surface flow is unidirection to the sfc, transporting out of that upstream warmth ... at about 15kts up top to barely noticeable at the surface/valleys.  DPs are not appreciably high so thermal absorption into water vapor is low.   The mixing layer may stop at 900 or 875 mb, because of +d(PP)/DVM on-going, but this compresses to go along with the d-slope katabatic action.   I would go above the 77 MAV/MEX mean.   I guess to be fair... there may be some pancake tendencies around noon, but that may be transient while mixing out.

 

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2 minutes ago, kdxken said:

49° and misery mist. Welcome to the first day of summer.

this is probably that 15th time this spring I've pondered how in the hell civility decided to footprint this cold atmospheric sewage cistern of planetary region ... It's gonna be 70 in Maine after morning coffee while we're being strapped down in Labrador's rape shack

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twisted dark humor aside, we're in some kind of fractal this spring for this dog shit cold pooling (recurrent leitmotif).   If it's not synoptic in scale, it's this shit above, even more so relative to our climate - which is bad enough for this in the first place.

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