Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Saturday at 07:44 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:44 PM Also, Apr-May 2026 SOI will be the lowest 2-month SOI since Apr 2016.. Already the Strongest Nino in 10 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Saturday at 07:47 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:47 PM August is a big test month for how the El Nino is propagating to the mid latitudes June-August has decent correlation numbers CPC is going with no below average at all on their Summer forecast maps.. let's see if the warmth wins out, like they are forecasting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Saturday at 10:17 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:17 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Saturday at 10:19 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:19 PM Still haven't had a thunderstorm here this year, unless I missed one. 2023 it wasn't until June 24th. Over the last few years/decades, our storm season has moved away from Spring, and more into Summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Saturday at 10:25 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:25 PM 5 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Still haven't had a thunderstorm here this year, unless I missed one. 2023 it wasn't until June 24th. Over the last few years/decades, our storm season has moved away from Spring, and more into Summer. More active pattern as we near mid-June possibly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Saturday at 11:16 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 11:16 PM 56 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Still haven't had a thunderstorm here this year, unless I missed one. 2023 it wasn't until June 24th. Over the last few years/decades, our storm season has moved away from Spring, and more into Summer. There must be a localized force field for you. My first storm was in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted yesterday at 12:20 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:20 AM 2 hours ago, frd said: Not sure about that dude. And he used the word 'risk' twice in one sentence. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 01:27 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:27 PM WB 6Z EURO. Quiet, dry work week ahead with heat slowly building back in with Friday in the low 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 01:36 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:36 PM WB 0Z EPS for 2nd week of June. Summer returns with above normal temps. Precipitation normal to slightly above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago WB latest Euro weeklies for mid June to mid July. Amazing how fast time flies already posting thru mid summer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago https://x.com/webberweather/status/2061163954496237618 Eric Webb @webberweather This is probably the biggest Pacific Jet extension I’ve ever seen in June & it isn’t surprising to see as we discussed several days ago. Buckle up… Eric Webb @webberweather All the ingredients are there for a gigantic Pacific Jet extension later in week 2 & 3, which should lead to a more favorable pattern for tornadoes by mid-June: Kara Sea ridge >> East Asia cold shot Mei-Yu front south of Japan Pacific MJO event Developing Super El Niño Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago 19 hours ago, CAPE said: Not sure about that dude. And he used the word 'risk' twice in one sentence. I even take normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago Looking beyond days 8 to 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 12z EPS really warmed up over the region, for pretty much the first half of June! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 53 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: 12z EPS really warmed up over the region, for pretty much the first half of June! Warmest weather relative to seasonal averages in June and early July, then we trend down in later July and August. Wishful thinking, or possible outcome with the El Nino coupling faster than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago El Nino isn't coupling with PNA or the North Pacific High so far. -PDO hit some lowest monthly numbers in 150 years, over the last few years. Interesting battle this Summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Euro says next weekend is an inferno around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago The title of this thread is terrible. The first sentence should be deleted. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: The title of this thread is terrible. The first sentence should be deleted. It definitely didn't age well lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 28 minutes ago, dailylurker said: It definitely didn't age well lol Yeah half of the area is in a severe drought with no rain in sight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 hours ago, CAPE said: Yeah half of the area is in a severe drought with no rain in sight. Whatever happened to thunderstorms? It seems like we don't get thunderstorms until July these days. Any weather at all has been hard to come by for years. The most exciting weather event in the past several years was the sleet fest back in Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Deserts spreading everywhere. Having to water my garden daily. Must have felt similar during the Permian Mass Extinction. SMH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I hope that map you just posted isn't right! If we get only around a half inch of rainfall thru June 17, we will be in huge trouble around here. We're gonna start seeing wells dry up and wildfires Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 51 minutes ago Share Posted 51 minutes ago 11 hours ago, snowfan said: Euro says next weekend is an inferno around here. Gotta wonder if that's the old Euro mid/long range heat bias kicking in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted 20 minutes ago Share Posted 20 minutes ago 55 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said: I hope that map you just posted isn't right! If we get only around a half inch of rainfall thru June 17, we will be in huge trouble around here. We're gonna start seeing wells dry up and wildfires Oh it won't verify. 1/2" is probably being too optimistic, it'll be less than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted 3 minutes ago Share Posted 3 minutes ago Yikes, the ensembles are not pretty for total rainfall for the next couple weeks. Posting the canadian for no real reason, the others all tell the same dry story: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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