May 2026 Obs/Discussion

[powderfreak]

Radiators mount up.

30F here and 42F up the road at base of ski area.

[Modfan2]

4 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Radiators mount up.

30F here and 42F up the road at base of ski area.

It was down to 33F at one point here in E CT, back up to 36F

[ineedsnow]

6 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

Gonna be a lot of this 

I don't even work in a warehouse and im in ac all the time lol sucks for people that are though 

[dendrite]

6 hours ago, dendrite said:

34.0° 

That was as low as it got. Saved by clouds and a breeze as the WAA started coming in aloft.

39° now

[Damage In Tolland]

Will plant garden/ veggies this coming weekend. Mid month on looking torchier.

[CoastalWx]

23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Will plant garden/ veggies this coming weekend. Mid month I’m looking torchier.

Yeah looks warmer after mid month 

[Chrisrotary12]

If I copied the forecast from 5 Saturday’s ago, it would still be applicable to this coming Saturday. WTF. 

[dendrite]

Even this week feels like a step up. Freeze threats and highs in the 40s are waning…although the 6z GFS tries to shit on Saturday again.

[Typhoon Tip]

4 hours ago, dendrite said:

Even this week feels like a step up. Freeze threats and highs in the 40s are waning…although the 6z GFS tries to shit on Saturday again.

The operational models, all of them ... are lagging behind the mid month warm signal that both the numerical indices, and the extended range ensemble synoptics ( all three) suggest.   They are flipping the script after ~ 12th to 15th in there, but the oper versions are feeling pretty strongly that a winter pattern is most appropriate and likely during the entire summer of 2026 as we continue to face an inevitable GW future...

The operational versions are oblivious.  Reloading a winter mocking pattern foot. They're stuck.  It's gotta end at some point...

So I guess we'll see.  

[metagraphica]

32.45 for the low. Hopefully that was the last one. Summah coming in a week or so. 

[Typhoon Tip]

And here we are ... 63+ already.  Full sun.  Bit of a breeze but we're probably making 74 for a high so that won't be much of a factor. 

Tomorrow's warmer yet...

So it was 53 here yesterday.  Dry though. Grading is subjective silliness but will play ball for a miniute and say it was a C day.  Today is an A.    

[Ginx snewx]

5 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Will plant garden/ veggies this coming weekend. Mid month on looking torchier.

Memorial day as always 

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Memorial day as always 

Always early May . We don’t frost or freeze after May 1

[Ginx snewx]

4 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah looks warmer after mid month 

Damn Scott hope you are right. Need consistency with 70s 80s none of this 30s bullshit in the mornings either. EPS LR looks like the past month. A couple days here and there like today and tomorrow but crap overall if expecting long periods of summer. Looks much better by June 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Always early May . We don’t frost or freeze after May 1

Yes you live on a high hill 

[Typhoon Tip]

Egads.... don't turn the wind onshore this summer.  

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Yes you live on a high hill 

I would have done it yesterday but was so irritated by the chilly winds and clouds decided to do Saturday this coming weekend 

[Ginx snewx]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Always early May . We don’t frost or freeze after May 1

Yes while you on the hills mean last freeze is 4/30 Coventry down the road from you mean last freeze is 5/26

[powderfreak]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Yes while you on the hills mean last freeze is 4/30 Coventry down the road from you mean last freeze is 5/26

What's the climo period for that one?  No way the past 30 years last 32F average is 5/26 there?

[powderfreak]

Oh the Coventry, CT data ended in 1990... ok that makes sense of 5/26 back then.

No way that still holds true 30+ years later.

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Oh the Coventry, CT data ended in 1990... ok that makes sense of 5/26 back then.

No way that still holds true 30+ years later.

That area of town there is in a low valley too. Coventry as a whole is fairly hilly

[powderfreak]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That area of town there is in a low valley too. Coventry as a whole is fairly hilly

The data looks fine for the time frame...  but given how we've seen last frost/freezes move over the past three decades, that could be like two weeks earlier now.

It looks like the coldest was when the station started in the late 1950s, 1960s and early 1970s if you toggle to the late freeze dates.  Skews almost to June 1 back then and then has been moving up until the last May/June data in 1990.

https://wrcc.dri.edu/cgi-bin/cliMAIN.pl?ct1689

[Ginx snewx]

Holy wind

[powderfreak]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That area of town there is in a low valley too. Coventry as a whole is fairly hilly

34F in July of 1956 and 34F in August of 1956.

9 of the first 12 years of that Coventry station back in the the 1950s and 1960s saw July min temps in the 30s.

Good luck with that today.

Looking at that reminds me of when Dendrite posts the old CON data and it just looks so far fetched to what we see these summers at night.

[Ginx snewx]

5 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

The data looks fine for the time frame...  but given how we've seen last frost/freezes move over the past three decades, that could be like two weeks earlier now.

It looks like the coldest was when the station started in the late 1950s, 1960s and early 1970s if you toggle to the late freeze dates.  Skews almost to June 1 back then and then has been moving up until the last May/June data in 1990.

https://wrcc.dri.edu/cgi-bin/cliMAIN.pl?ct1689

2023 we froze 5/18 believe me these low valleys can freeze right up to Memorial day let's not forget all it takes is one frost which is not recorded. No way do I plant before the end of May.

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

34F in July of 1956 and 34F in August of 1956.

9 of the first 12 years of that Coventry station back in the the 1950s and 1960s saw July min temps in the 30s.

Good luck with that today.

Lol the famous never say never. You should know better 

[Brian5671]

Winds have started ripping here.

[powderfreak]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

2023 we froze 5/18 believe me these low valleys can freeze right up to Memorial day let's not forget all it takes is one frost which is not recorded. No way do I plant before the end of May.

 

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Lol the famous never say never. You should know better 

Oh I wasn’t saying put your plants in the ground.

But you cannot say that currently you’d expect 5/26 to be the mean last freeze in whatever climate we’ve got going.

Sure, could pop a 30F on June 1st… but you know what I was getting at.

Go look at those summer minimum temps from 1955-1975 and tell me that’s not different from what we see on average lately.  It’d be entertaining to see mid-30s in CT valleys in July, always a chance.

 

[Ginx snewx]

42 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

 

Oh I wasn’t saying put your plants in the ground.

But you cannot say that currently you’d expect 5/26 to be the mean last freeze in whatever climate we’ve got going.

Sure, could pop a 30F on June 1st… but you know what I was getting at.

Go look at those summer minimum temps from 1955-1975 and tell me that’s not different from what we see on average lately.  It’d be entertaining to see mid-30s in CT valleys in July, always a chance.

 

Definitely warmer but...never say never.