Prismshine Productions Posted Wednesday at 02:55 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:55 PM StyxAt least you are cultured XDSent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Wednesday at 03:11 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:11 PM 15 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Renegade by Styx, you never seen Supernatural? Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk Maybe I’ve heard it before, couldn’t figure out the lyrics. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Wednesday at 03:31 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:31 PM Maybe I’ve heard it before, couldn’t figure out the lyrics.Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Wednesday at 04:04 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:04 PM 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Oh momma, wtf are you singing? Epic winter coming 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted Thursday at 12:03 AM Share Posted Thursday at 12:03 AM NOAA https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/meteorology/winter-snow-map-shows-where-america-could-get-hit-hardest-this-winter/ar-AA29qYIG?uxmode=ruby&ctsrc=dgst&ocid=edgntpruby&pc=NMTS&cvid=6a73cc83ebf24e72ac5f9cfed76a9ce4&ei=18 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 02:20 AM Share Posted Thursday at 02:20 AM Direct Weathers preliminary winter outlook ( yes its too early ) https://youtu.be/IZqYlxG7C9U?is=3cdS4C1yUk_g8R87 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Thursday at 02:25 AM Share Posted Thursday at 02:25 AM NOAA https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/meteorology/winter-snow-map-shows-where-america-could-get-hit-hardest-this-winter/ar-AA29qYIG?uxmode=ruby&ctsrc=dgst&ocid=edgntpruby&pc=NMTS&cvid=6a73cc83ebf24e72ac5f9cfed76a9ce4&ei=18Let's see -5-10" still nets me 46-51... Take considering my call was 50-75% avgSent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 12:18 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 12:18 PM 13 hours ago, MJO812 said: Direct Weathers preliminary winter outlook ( yes its too early ) https://youtu.be/IZqYlxG7C9U?is=3cdS4C1yUk_g8R87 I don't understand on how he can can be so confident in below average temps throughout the NE in the most intense El Nino on record when there is no incidence of the NE being below average in an intense El Nino in recorded history. He said that he would explain early on, but never really did....just offered some vague rhetoric concerning +PNA inducing backdoor arctic shots. While arctic infiltration from the north is the most efficient avenue for arctic delivery in the NE, which was evident in the Feb 2016 outbreak, it is highly unlikely to be prevalent enough to be reflected in the seasonal mean. Above average snowfall virtually everywhere east of the apps?? I could see it for the mid atl, but not all throughout the NE....none of the intense events have pulled that off. He seems to be going with a 1957/1965 outcome, which is near average around here, but I think the magnitude of ENSO and the solar cycle make that a tough sell this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted Thursday at 01:50 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:50 PM warm and rainy 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 07:21 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:21 PM 5 hours ago, forkyfork said: warm and rainy More screenshots 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 07:22 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:22 PM 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted Friday at 01:55 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:55 AM On 8/5/2026 at 8:03 PM, ROOSTA said: NOAA https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/meteorology/winter-snow-map-shows-where-america-could-get-hit-hardest-this-winter/ar-AA29qYIG?uxmode=ruby&ctsrc=dgst&ocid=edgntpruby&pc=NMTS&cvid=6a73cc83ebf24e72ac5f9cfed76a9ce4&ei=18 No thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted Friday at 05:21 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:21 PM 21 hours ago, MJO812 said: I think Greta is the center fold this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarcmmKU Posted Friday at 09:01 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:01 PM On 8/6/2026 at 9:50 AM, forkyfork said: warm and rainy 50s and rain all the way up to the summits of the ski resorts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JACKASS Posted Friday at 11:42 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:42 PM 2 hours ago, MarcmmKU said: 50s and rain all the way up to the summits of the ski resorts. Nah, metfan has even more links you should check out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 09:39 AM Share Posted yesterday at 09:39 AM 9 hours ago, JACKASS said: Nah, metfan has even more links you should check out. I will once we get closer to winter . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted yesterday at 11:53 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:53 AM 18 hours ago, Dan76 said: I think Greta is the center fold this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted yesterday at 12:06 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:06 PM Pardon my ignorance: Is the magnitude of an El Nino determined by the absolute extent of warming temp or is it tied to the temp relative to the waters beyond the zone of warmth? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago Probably off to a slow start and not expecting a very good retention year given the high probability of warmer temp anomalies, but I think we have our chances. And there could be a couple of big boys that help out with the snowfall anomolies, even in a overall hostile regime. That's my early take. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 8 hours ago, CT Valley Snowman said: Probably off to a slow start and not expecting a very good retention year given the high probability of warmer temp anomalies, but I think we have our chances. And there could be a couple of big boys that help out with the snowfall anomolies, even in a overall hostile regime. That's my early take. I'm glad I still have Pit2. I think Pit1 is going to be toast following last year's epicosity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago @CoastalWx @40/70 Benchmark Thoughts? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Would love to see Feb-April to judge the full winter... Had a hunch it would be extremely back loaded this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, Prismshine Productions said: Would love to see Feb-April to judge the full winter... Had a hunch it would be extremely back loaded this year Seems like he expects an odd main storm track for those 2 months... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarcmmKU Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago On 8/6/2026 at 9:55 PM, powderfreak said: No thanks. Getting very nervous about this winter being a 2015-2016 like bust in vermont ski country. Same atmospheric patterns in place, in an even warmer background climate. Yikes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 hours ago, dendrite said: @CoastalWx @40/70 Benchmark Thoughts? I don't disagree it could suck on the coast, but I highly doubt the snow anomalies would just stop at the Catskills if that were the case. It's a weird distribution, but we know these maps are beer anyways. That guy is terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 32 minutes ago, MarcmmKU said: Getting very nervous about this winter being a 2015-2016 like bust in vermont ski country. Same atmospheric patterns in place, in an even warmer background climate. Yikes. I’m not worried about 2015-16 because that was something so absurd and record breaking that I think even that pattern repeated again would be snowier. Maybe that’s a poor assumption on my part but at least on Mount Mansfield where most of my knowledge is rooted in, I take some comfort in that even a standard deviation on the bad side of normal is still a lot snowier than 15-16. I do think there’s definitely concern about a strong El Niño though. But there’s a fine line in there where our normals are cold enough to snow decently even with a +4 or +5 winter month (could also be heavy snows at elevation, lackluster in valleys)… but it’s once it gets to +7 or +8 that we often tip the scale to real bad at all elevations. We’ve also seen the El Ninos that have had below normal snow and snowpack down where people live but 2,000+ feet is buried in multiple marginal events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don't disagree it could suck on the coast, but I highly doubt the snow anomalies would just stop at the Catskills if that were the case. It's a weird distribution, but we know these maps are beer anyways. That guy is terrible. Disappointed you gave it any critical thinking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 58 minutes ago Share Posted 58 minutes ago Will the stake see any accums this winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 34 minutes ago Share Posted 34 minutes ago 24 minutes ago, dendrite said: Will the stake see any accums this winter? 0.0 on 12/25? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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