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Winter 2026-2027 Speculation


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9 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Direct Weathers preliminary winter outlook ( yes its too early )

 

 

https://youtu.be/IZqYlxG7C9U?is=3cdS4C1yUk_g8R87

I don't understand on how he can can be so confident in below average temps throughout the NE in the most intense El Nino on record when there is no incidence of the NE being below average in an intense El Nino in recorded history. He said that he would explain early on, but never really did....just offered some vague rhetoric concerning +PNA inducing backdoor arctic shots. Arctic infiltration from the north is the most efficient avenue for arctic deliver in the NE, which was evident in the Feb 2016 outbreak, however, it is highly unlikely to be prevalent enough to be reflected in the seasonal mean. 

Above average snowfall virtually everywhere east of the apps?? I could see it for the mid atl, but not all throughout the NE....none of the intense events have pulled that off.

He seems to be going with a 1957/1965 outcome, but I think the magnitude of ENSO and the solar cycle make that a tough sell this year.

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