Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread

[SnowenOutThere]

Can see the dipole low form in response to the best H5 diffluence being over the coast. 

[Interstate]

The H5 gets even better at 99

[Solution Man]

Man nice run

[Paleocene]

lol. 976mb east of Norfolk. Rekkage

[SnowenOutThere]

Snow ending for all but Delmarva. 

[CAPE]

Eastern VA gonna get destroyed

[Kay]

Delmarva delmolished

[Interstate]

That is all I needed... and the H5 can get even better for us... I am telling you, this is our storm.

[SnowenOutThere]

Beautiful occlusion as the low moves out to sea

[Paleocene]

 One for the digital snow memory books.

 

[snowfan]

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

1pm

Sorry to deb but 1pm w marginal temps is going to struggle to accumulate unless its really coming down. If you're in the best banding you can achieve a pasting but it could be tough.

 

[bncho]

[Shad]

well the GFS 18z and CMC 12z both have given me over 24 inches in the Northern Neck...... my guess is ill be lucky to see 3"

[rjvanals]

We all know the 0z GFS will be skirting Bermuda 

[SnowenOutThere]

Just now, snowfan said:

Sorry to deb but 1pm w marginal temps is going to struggle to accumulate unless its really coming down. If you're in the best banding you can achieve a pasting but it could be tough.

 

This is completely true but with that sound snow would be coming down. Look at that lift in the DGZ and it saturated. Agree that accumulation will be hurt but it wouldn't have any problem sticking to grass. 

[CAPE]

If this works out I'm taking credit for insisting on a thread just in time for HH. If it fucks up its @Maestrobjwa's fault

[snowfan]

1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

This is completely true but with that sound snow would be coming down. Look at that lift in the DGZ and it saturated. Agree that accumulation will be hurt but it wouldn't have any problem sticking to grass. 

No doubt its snow, but the crazy accums are wayyy overdone.

[TSSN+]

2 minutes ago, rjvanals said:

We all know the 0z GFS will be skirting Bermuda 

More like Bethany Beach 

[CAPE]

[Interstate]

Why is everyone being a downer. This is happening. 

[mappy]

Just now, snowfan said:

No doubt its snow, but the crazy accums are wayyy overdone.

But they’re so pretty to post 

[ravensrule]

Just now, snowfan said:

No doubt its snow, but the crazy accums are wayyy overdone.

It's the GFS 4 days away, are you really parsing the fine details?. 

[bncho]

4 minutes ago, snowfan said:

Sorry to deb but 1pm w marginal temps is going to struggle to accumulate unless its really coming down. If you're in the best banding you can achieve a pasting but it could be tough.

 

Even being conservative that's still probably 10" at Short Pump assuming 7.5:1 ratios and 3" of melting

[mappy]

Can someone share qpf 

[LordBaltimore]

MECS is best of course but that norlun on the icon would be cool for the novelty value

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, Interstate said:

Why is everyone being a downer. This is happening. 

Because the surface temps kinda suck ass

[IronTy]

If the GFS verifies then @Maestrobjwa is nominated to start every storm thread going forward.  

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Because the surface temps kinda suck ass

29-31 works for me 

[stormtracker]

Good HH until that fuck ass Euro drags us down

[snowfan]

1 minute ago, ravensrule said:

It's the GFS 4 days away, are you really parsing the fine details?. 

I took 30 seconds to look at a sounding. Shrug. Didn't take much effort.