Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,656
    Total Members
    14,841
    Most Online
    AVF21
    Newest Member
    AVF21
    Joined

The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026


Rjay
 Share

Recommended Posts

29 minutes ago, Mo Snow said:

Hey neighbor!

Carteret is the most NE town in middlesex county though, so usually go with Upton forecasts. I live literally 2 miles from Staten Island haha

Me too.
Staten Island forecasts verify more often, over the years, versus Mt. Holly, which seems to lump me in with the area south of me.
I'm actually a few hundred yards from the boundary of the two offices.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 minutes ago, Mo Snow said:

Got it, thank you. Appreciate you posting it!

Is there any other free sites people use for radar - specifically for tracking heavy banding? That accuweather radar UI is so crisp, love it 

Next best thing if you don't have premium.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0Q-1-48

Link to comment
Share on other sites

You can only imagine how intense this will be when the coastal starts bombing out, the upper support is hours away from phasing even now. 500 mb low is over WV, 700 mb central VA to w/c PA. I can't see any process by which this retracts the development south so it's virtually at the doorstep now. The usual rule seems to be that maximum snow bands are always a bit further north than models anticipate. All high end forecasts are probably in play here but I just wonder if it's going to zoom past eventually which will cut down on the most aggressive forecast totals. 

The contest consensus values are in the range of 19 to 23 inches like the NWS forecasts. A few are closer to the 25 to 30 inch range, and a few are more conservative in the 12 to 16 range. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Freezing Drizzle said:

Me too.
Staten Island forecasts verify more often, over the years, versus Mt. Holly, which seems to lump me in with the area south of me.
I'm actually a few hundred yards from the boundary of the two offices.

Can't blame Mt. Holly honestly. Just how the counties are set up. Middlesex county is quite large and our towns are tucked in the very NE corner next to staten island. The other corner of Middlesex county borders Princeton!

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Roger Smith said:

You can only imagine how intense this will be when the coastal starts bombing out, the upper support is hours away from phasing even now. 500 mb low is over WV, 700 mb central VA to w/c PA. I can't see any process by which this retracts the development south so it's virtually at the doorstep now. The usual rule seems to be that maximum snow bands are always a bit further north than models anticipate. All high end forecasts are probably in play here but I just wonder if it's going to zoom past eventually which will cut down on the most aggressive forecast totals. 

The contest consensus values are in the range of 19 to 23 inches like the NWS forecasts. A few are closer to the 25 to 30 inch range, and a few are more conservative in the 12 to 16 range. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wind just ramped up 10 minutes ago on barnegat bay.  Dumping good now with heavy paste. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

@dseagull

I saw that location and wondered if you were on the barrier island or the mainland? You are going to see quite a storm unfold there.

I posted somewhere that a max snowfall depth of 30-36 inches could verify in central NJ, Freehold to Sayreville would be my guess as to where, possibly extending south towards Mt Holly. Winds likely to increase rapidly next three hours and peak around 8 pm to midnight.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Roger Smith said:

I saw that location and wondered if you were on the barrier island or the mainland? You are going to see quite a storm unfold there.

Bayfront Waretown.  Looking forward to enjoying it.  First two days off in almost a month. Hope you get to enjoy as well. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...