Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range

[87storms]

8 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z AI compared to 6Z; I'll take it!

 

That’s significantly worse than 6z lol. Trends are the only thing that matters at this range and that shift wasn’t good. We’ll see if it holds steady or continues to be a late phaser over the next day or so.

[Weather Will]

1 minute ago, 87storms said:

That’s significantly worse than 6z lol. Trends are the only thing that matters at this range and that shift wasn’t good. We’ll see if it holds steady or continues to be a late phaser over the next day or so.

5 days out still.  Need to see the ensemble.

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, 87storms said:

That’s significantly worse than 6z lol. Trends are the only thing that matters at this range and that shift wasn’t good. We’ll see if it holds steady or continues to be a late phaser over the next day or so.

I am sorry, do you expect the runs to look exactly the same for days 5 days out? Jesus Christ you people are annoying. 

[stormtracker]

So, I'm at 117.   More (LIGHT) precip at this hour than 6z.  Could just be faster...we shall next.  Money panels coming up

[psuhoffman]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

I am sorry, do you expect the runs to look exactly the same for days 5 days out? Jesus Christ you people are annoying. 

yes

[stormtracker]

Euro sucks.  Worse than 6z.  Progressive POS

Comparing to 6z is what I mean.  There's some light shit, but it's def a step back.  Sorry yall

[TSSN+]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Euro sucks.  Worse than 6z.  Progressive POS

Only models that shows this. Euro has been pretty awful lately. 

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Euro sucks.  Worse than 6z.  Progressive POS

And that’s a wrap for this “threat”.

 

 

 

(just kidding)

[Ji]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Euro sucks.  Worse than 6z.  Progressive POS

thats not good. and the AI shifted towards it. were cooked i think

[Amped]

Euro has no support from other models. Not even the AI Euro.

[Ji]

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Euro sucks.  Worse than 6z.  Progressive POS

Comparing to 6z is what I mean.  There's some light shit, but it's def a step back.  Sorry yall

well 6z was terrible so being worse than 6z isnt good

[Ji]

1 minute ago, Amped said:

Euro has no support from other models. Not even the AI Euro.

when there is one model that shows no snow....its best to probably buy it. Especially if its dr no

[TSSN+]

Just now, Amped said:

Euro has no support from other models. Not even the AI Euro.

Euro doing the reverse from last year. Was showing the big blizzard while others didn’t at this range. Now the others models have a storm this year and it doesn’t. It’s the same weekend as last year I believe too. 

[mitchnick]

12 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

He might have to up his patreon charge to six cents a day just to cover the bills

Please don't force his family to support the addiction. 

[87storms]

10 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

I am sorry, do you expect the runs to look exactly the same for days 5 days out? Jesus Christ you people are annoying. 

No, but you do if you’re getting hyped over one run at this range lol.

[TSSN+]

Just now, 87storms said:

No, but you do if you’re getting hyped over one run at this range lol.

Been more than one run. Models been showing this for days. 

[mappy]

Yall the bickering with each other is just as annoying as troll posts. Go fight in banter 

[LeesburgWx]

1 hour ago, LeesburgWx said:

Ok, I've seen enough. I am ALL-IN!

Quote

11 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Euro sucks.  Worse than 6z.  Progressive POS

Comparing to 6z is what I mean.  There's some light shit, but it's def a step back.  Sorry yall

I'm out again.

[Weather Will]

12Z WB GDPS Para much improved over 0Z.

[TSSN+]

Pretty much all the models for NJ show 12” or more. Euro nada lol. Something seems fishy. 

[WEATHER53]

1 hour ago, GreyHat said:

I'm not a met and don't pretend to be one.

I see I hit a sore spot on a joke that I've heard.

You all have fun poking me.

It was a joke get over it.

Not in a position to do that and then tell others to get over it

[87storms]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

Been more than one run. Models been showing this for days. 

 

My post was completely objective. It got worse from 6z. If run to run shifts don’t matter, then what are we tracking? Also, I would put a lot of weight on the euro ai at this range. It lasered in pretty well at 7 days with the last system. That said, I never said I don’t think it’ll snow…just kinda weird to see all the digital snow hype at this lead time especially with the mild pattern leading in.

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, 87storms said:

 

My post was completely objective. It got worse from 6z. If run to run shifts don’t matter, then what are we tracking? Also, I would put a lot of weight on the euro ai at this range. It lasered in pretty well at 7 days with the last system. That said, I never said I don’t think it’ll snow…just kinda weird to see all the digital snow hype at this lead time especially with the mild pattern leading in.

It might be like 50 degrees prior, people act like it’s 90. 

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, 87storms said:

 

My post was completely objective. It got worse from 6z. If run to run shifts don’t matter, then what are we tracking? Also, I would put a lot of weight on the euro ai at this range. It lasered in pretty well at 7 days with the last system. That said, I never said I don’t think it’ll snow…just kinda weird to see all the digital snow hype at this lead time especially with the mild pattern leading in.

Honestly, the euro has been windshield wipering between no storm and storm. I don’t care about run to run shifts on op models at this lead time. Ensembles only until 84-96 hours

[87storms]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

It might be like 50 degrees prior, people act like it’s 90. 

Yes, but as someone who has lived here long enough…it’s a caution flag.

[psuhoffman]

5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Pretty much all the models for NJ show 12” or more. Euro nada lol. Something seems fishy. 

Consult the chart 

 

[bncho]

4 minutes ago, 87storms said:

 

My post was completely objective. It got worse from 6z. If run to run shifts don’t matter, then what are we tracking? Also, I would put a lot of weight on the euro ai at this range. It lasered in pretty well at 7 days with the last system. That said, I never said I don’t think it’ll snow…just kinda weird to see all the digital snow hype at this lead time especially with the mild pattern leading in.

Jan 3 2022

[TSSN+]

Just now, 87storms said:

Yes, but as someone who has lived here long enough…it’s a caution flag.

I have heard so many times but it’s too warm only to have those people posting during the storm how much snow they are getting. The air the days before little warm but nothing wild and then cools the day leading in. 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

1 minute ago, 87storms said:

Yes, but as someone who has lived here long enough…it’s a caution flag.

Agree we’ve been burned many times waiting for dynamic cooling, it’s never a guarantee.  Hopefully we can actually get this low cranking to make it happen.  Ai ensembles out yet? Or perhaps the weathernext? Would like to have those two on our side. 

[87storms]

Just now, bncho said:

Jan 3 2022

That storm sucked in Frederick lol