bncho Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: You’re right, wrong panels This is a bncho performance in PBP. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Pretty sure the EURO says what storm even for SNE but I don’t have all the panels to be 100% sure Looks like its a tad too late for us... but sne gets hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Is this Euro we're waiting on the same one that gave us PDIII last week ago with a foot+? Yeah, I thought so. The hell with that model, especially when it it looks nothing like it's AI brother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Yeah with lasts night storm at this range the euro ai basically had the idea right while the euro op had a major blizzard for New England which of course didn’t happen. Euro ai gets the Synoptics right and then as we get closer the other models refine the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Eps have been pretty snowy for this threat thru 0z's run. We'll see shortly how they look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 15 minutes ago, mitchnick said: We all know they can suck, but being constantly pessimistic sux more, so we stay optimistic. Okay, I see your point 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Op euro doesn’t quite do it, but a step closer to the good camps. We don’t have consensus yet, so probably need to wait until Wednesday for that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago EPS jumped south with qpf and snow means, more consolidated MSLP signal 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Op euro doesn’t quite do it, but a step closer to the good camps. We don’t have consensus yet, so probably need to wait until Wednesday for that. Hopefully this week is better as the handwriting on the wall was evident last Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: EPS jumped south with qpf and snow means, more consolidated MSLP signal that's good right?...not sure I know what's good anymore...sounds good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: EPS jumped south with qpf and snow means, more consolidated MSLP signal "Jumping south" is the phrase of the winter in most threats. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Op euro doesn’t quite do it, but a step closer to the good camps. We don’t have consensus yet, so probably need to wait until Wednesday for that. Wednesday? Psssh maybe by Saturday we will have consensus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 32 minutes ago, Solution Man said: They have struggled but when the global lock in together, it’s fairly clean I've seen this happen before when the models were on board. Back then the Euro was labeled King. Back then I followed a lot on wxdisco.com. Just saying I'm not getting my hopes up till Friday. I like the reading and everyone thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, TSSN+ said: Wednesday? Psssh maybe by Saturday we will have consensus. We had consensus last Wed for last night’s storm. Just a few straggler models trying to reel us back in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago One of those times I'd rather not see snow this weekend. Oldest is performing in the Maryland All State Chorus on Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, RickinBaltimore said: One of those times I'd rather not see snow this weekend. Oldest is performing in the Maryland All State Chorus on Sunday. Now you know it's going to snow. It's always when you don't want it to snow that it actually snows here. Thank you for your help. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 13 minutes ago, Terpeast said: We had consensus last Wed for last night’s storm. Just a few straggler models trying to reel us back in Maybe for you. Gfs, Nam had me getting 3”+ a day out and euro still showed a little snow inside 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Maybe for you. Gfs, Nam had me getting 3”+ a day out and euro still showed a little snow inside 48 Yep. Models have struggled up here with their snow happy tendencies for the past few years. Once they finally realize I moved up here from Bwi land, reality will set in and they'll start denying snow regularly more in line with my curse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago really nice configuration on the AIFS-EPS synoptically... Pacific trough is spiking a ridge over MT, decaying block over SE Canada with confluence, and vort amping underneath the block. one of the better setups we've had recently 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soadforecasterx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago IDK seems like Nam/GFS did a good job for the most part with this part storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, soadforecasterx said: IDK seems like Nam/GFS did a good job for the most part with this part storm. But it didn’t. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago MJO phase 4-5 isn’t going to get you snow in mid Atlantic. But glad to see everyone jumping for joy on a Monday lol. 15 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, jewell2188 said: MJO phase 4-5 isn’t going to get you snow in mid Atlantic. But glad to see everyone jumping for joy on a Monday lol. MJO is a pattern driver. That means that it will favor certain patterns, but that doesn't mean those favored patterns will happen all the time. If it's a look like @brooklynwx99 showed up there, the MJO is negligible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Here were some EPS members that I found cool 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 10 minutes ago, jewell2188 said: MJO phase 4-5 isn’t going to get you snow in mid Atlantic. But glad to see everyone jumping for joy on a Monday lol. I see that this hobby isn’t for you 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 22 minutes ago, soadforecasterx said: IDK seems like Nam/GFS did a good job for the most part with this part storm. That’s a laugh. unremarkable here. Drizzle 40s upper 30s 3:00 to 7:00 snow mixed with rain from 7:30 to 11:45 33f We had snow 11:50 to 2:00 am result 0.03” of snow rain total 0.19” models gfs and HRRR consistently showed 2-4” here were terrible even amount of precipitation would not have produced that here. Model score card for central Delaware County F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 52 minutes ago Share Posted 52 minutes ago 20 minutes ago, bncho said: Here were some EPS members that I found cool I'd take either one lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 51 minutes ago Share Posted 51 minutes ago 20 minutes ago, bncho said: Here were some EPS members that I found cool Ya if 02 happened I’d eat my boots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 51 minutes ago Share Posted 51 minutes ago 27 minutes ago, jewell2188 said: MJO phase 4-5 isn’t going to get you snow in mid Atlantic. But glad to see everyone jumping for joy on a Monday lol. Starving for attention are we? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago 5 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: That’s a laugh. unremarkable here. Drizzle 40s upper 30s 3:00 to 7:00 snow mixed with rain from 7:30 to 11:45 33f We had snow 11:50 to 2:00 am result 0.03” of snow rain total 0.19” models gfs and HRRR consistently showed 2-4” here were terrible even amount of precipitation would not have produced that here. Model score card for central Delaware County F. The NAM did a remarkable(well not for the NAM) 180 from one run to the next near gametime. The ICON was better lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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