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2/15-16: Slopocalypse or Bust


bncho
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I can tell a lot of normal fellow weenies are broken this year.. we would see a lot more engagement from some in years past over a threat like this.. I wonder what did it? Maybe the cold but minimal snow this year? Previous years were way warmer and way worse and every chance got more excitement. I miss it.

Maybe im just extra crazy though.

To be on topic.. gfs seemed like it was trying though.

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4 minutes ago, bncho said:

Euro is a touch souther with the precip but it's colder than 18z at the upper levels.

Snow maps incoming

so the 850s were colder but the 925s are torching, no snow anywhere :(

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I can tell a lot of normal fellow weenies are broken this year.. we would see a lot more engagement from some in years past over a threat like this.. I wonder what did it? Maybe the cold but minimal snow this year? Previous years were way warmer and way worse and every chance got more excitement. I miss it.
Maybe im just extra crazy though.
To be on topic.. gfs seemed like it was trying though.

No one ever seriously thought we would get snow from 45 degree precipitation. The models have gotten stupider and so have we.


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7 hours ago, Whitecheddar said:

I can tell a lot of normal fellow weenies are broken this year.. we would see a lot more engagement from some in years past over a threat like this.. I wonder what did it? Maybe the cold but minimal snow this year? Previous years were way warmer and way worse and every chance got more excitement. I miss it.

...

That was it for me.  I know some get excited over long-lasting snowpack, but I am a snowfall bottom line guy.  We got 2" qpf with temps in the teens and got 6.5" snow out of it.  Meanwhile places like Pensacola, FL and Morehead City, NC got 10" and 16" clean snows the last two years

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1 hour ago, BlizzardNole said:

That was it for me.  I know some get excited over long-lasting snowpack, but I am a snowfall bottom line guy.  We got 2" qpf with temps in the teens and got 6.5" snow out of it.  Meanwhile places like Pensacola, FL and Morehead City, NC got 10" and 16" clean snows the last two years

That’s the same way I feel, it’s absolute bullshit. Especially up here in the pretty far N/W burbs, where that storm can absolutely drop 18” if we don’t have bad trends the last 24-36 hours to penetrate the primary so much more north and a razor thin ass warm nose at 925… 

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44 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

That’s the same way I feel, it’s absolute bullshit. Especially up here in the pretty far N/W burbs, where that storm can absolutely drop 18” if we don’t have bad trends the last 24-36 hours to penetrate the primary so much more north and a razor thin ass warm nose at 925… 

It's been a rough stretch.  If we're done, I got about 10" total this winter and last winter and haven't hit average since 2019.  Also have not seen a big (12-inch plus) snow since 2016.  The longest gap before that was 6 years going back to 1979

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58 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

It’s over?  Rest of Feb?  Ok

Not the winter, but next week looks like a legitimate pattern change compared to the last 3 months. I think by the end of next week we should have a good gauge on whether it’s temporary or an early spring sign.

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1 minute ago, RevWarReenactor said:

Pretty crazy how we punt entire months now like it’s fairly normal. Feb snow 0.0. Just another MA winter!

The biggest issue has definitely been a lack of precip.  I’m starting to realize it’s all a probability game and when the teleconnections are in our favor, it simply increases the odds. That said, I think we may have underestimated the importance of an active stj because precip is usually not our biggest issue. The biggest issue is typically having it be cold enough to snow. Long story short, it hasn’t been a warm/wet, cold/dry winter…it’s been mostly cold/dry.

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