The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing

[stormtracker]

Blame me if it fails.  Give me glory if it succeeds.  I'll take all the smoke.

[overcautionisbad]

I mean Hampton Roads has to be pretty excited right now. Their odds are the highest out of all of us and they haven't had a good snow yet this winter, have they?

[bncho]

The WxNEXT 2.0 was "a monster" according to SouthernWX. What that means for here is TBD. It has been one of the best models by verification rate.

[Kleimax]

I’ve got a feeling we haven’t reached the peak yet

[Terpeast]

Just now, bncho said:

The WxNEXT 2.0 was "a monster" according to SouthernWX. What that means for here is TBD. It has been one of the best models by verification rate.

18z already in? I don’t see it

[JakkelWx]

Its just some dude on the southernwx forum saying "weathernext is a MONSTER" without actually posting an image. come on

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

The WxNEXT 2.0 was "a monster" according to SouthernWX. What that means for here is TBD. It has been one of the best models by verification rate.

I’ll be really interested to see those plots.  What’s good for the south, to some extent, is probably good for us. 

[overcautionisbad]

Do we not have any pic or info of that model?

[understudyhero]

They always come north.

This last storm was north and west.

We couldn't be in a better place right?

[NorthArlington101]

18z already in? I don’t see it

The data is disseminated but folks with nerdy know how need to turn it into pretty graphics. Waiting for someone to share them publicly.

[Climate175]

Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

I’ll be really interested to see those plots.  What’s good for the south, to some extent, is probably good for us. 

Same. 

[Amped]

Trending in the right direction, but we still got a lot of work cut out for us. LFG

[stormtracker]

What the hell is this wxnext model??

[ravensrule]

1 minute ago, Kleimax said:

I’ve got a feeling we haven’t reached the peak yet

It takes me a long time to reach the peak, give me a few more days. 

[H2O]

me when I see a storm thread started this early

 

[Snowman.]

The GGEM was the first model to start picking up on the mixing issues with this past weekends storm. I’m most interested in its 00z run to see if it’s in the GFS camp.

[bncho]

2 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

18z already in? I don’t see it

I'm not sure, but one of the mets there has some sort of special access. He hasn't posted maps yet.

[ravensrule]

Just now, stormtracker said:

What the hell is this wxnext model??

Some new AI model i just started seeing being posted. 

[Nomz]

https://efisher828.github.io/weathernext/ 

Here's the only public source of weathernext 2 maps I believe. Like 12 hours behind and only ptype, rate, and 500mb heights.

[J.Mike]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

What the hell is this wxnext model??

BTW, my bet still holds.

[H2O]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

What the hell is this wxnext model??

Don't care.  Just want it to be Wxgood or WxRight or WxAccurate

[ravensrule]

Just now, J.Mike said:

BTW, my bet still holds.

This is a lot of work for a measly $100, i think you should raise it to $1,000. 

[Climate175]

1 minute ago, ravensrule said:

Some new AI model i just started seeing being posted. 

It was pretty accurate with this most recent storm I've heard.

[Cobalt]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

What the hell is this wxnext model??

Google's AI model I believe. It got some credit for latching onto the northwest trend for this past weekend's storm pretty early on. I believe it's available on StormVista?

[stormtracker]

3 minutes ago, H2O said:

me when I see a storm thread started this early

 

Man, you really don't like being here.

[stormtracker]

3 minutes ago, J.Mike said:

BTW, my bet still holds.

We gonna eat good.   I'm for sure getting the most expensive things on the menu.  Surf and Turf, twin lobster tails and a bone-in Ribeye.  Old Fashione(S) to dringk.

This man got money yall. 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

There is some pretty interesting discussion in the New England forum about this.  I’ve been reading Mets in there since the models lost this yesterday explaining why it would come back.  They seem pretty confident it’s not done trending. 

[Climate175]

6 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

Google's AI model I believe. It got some credit for latching onto the northwest trend for this past weekend's storm pretty early on. I believe it's available on StormVista?

Yes, it is available on StormVista. According to Evan Fischer, it has regular updates there.

[Buddy1987]

Ok I’m doing it.. what do 0z SREF show?

[overcautionisbad]

AI model? I don't trust it then. It is the cause of the ram prices